FAMOUS nearly.trade

famous.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 20 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

  • +20
    Trade tax 2.00% buy / 2.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 20.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 200, sell_bps 200, creator_bps 2000).
    Evidence: launch famous.nearlytrade.near

The largest funder's (5c33c6218d47e00ef229f60da78d0897e1ee9665312550b8afd5f9c7bc6957d2) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 21 % (2027 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; the price held at 58 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 115.0% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
  • Sold by: famous777.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-10-02 09:38:57 UTC, 111.7 min after the launch: HzTVRuV3uYdEz…Vfeh8.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -15.85 NEAR · insiders' net result: +1.83 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
  • Price at T+24 h: 58% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-10-02 07:47:14 UTC · block 218174481 · history: launch only
Transaction7Z3oPYQAFfACA…eB6bu
Creatorfamous777.near explorer
Poolfamous.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy7.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 2.00% · sell 2.00% · creator's share of the tax 20.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:44 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade2026-10-02 13:14 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0 · no trade seen in our live data
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%0%0%0%115.0%
Dev's first sell after launch————111.7 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)1125252627
Buyers spent118.10 NEAR383.95 NEAR383.95 NEAR393.85 NEAR394.85 NEAR
Buyers net result+5.24 NEAR+130.86 NEAR-9.72 NEAR-8.01 NEAR-15.85 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%0%0%0%115.0%
Insiders' net result+1.20 NEAR+5.95 NEAR+1.07 NEAR+1.25 NEAR+1.83 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.18x1.87x1.87x1.87x1.87x
Holders122614148
Top 10 holders' share98.8%86.2%99.4%99.4%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0.7% · holds 0.7% · holds 0.7% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 5.9% · 9 of 9 hold 10.7% · 13 of 13 hold 0.3% · 3 of 13 hold
Other early buyers 4.0% · 2 of 2 hold 15.6% · 12 of 12 hold 7.5% · 7 of 13 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)9.9% · 11 wallets26.3% · 25 wallets7.7% · 26 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)89.4%73.0%91.6%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)98.8%86.2%99.4%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 1 merged90.4% · 1 merged99.4% · 1 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 f17d0815e8d5bf4…b21f6 9 s · transaction 5.00 NEAR 24.9 min after buying · transaction +0.61 NEAR
pair bought within 16.3 s of neverekt.near · 48 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 17.7 s of 8033c5e8d587f59…817b7 · 24 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 53.5 s of 3347dd8076331ad…52407 · 24 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 334 of 709 launches (not put in a group)
2 neverekt.near 26 s · transaction 2.50 NEAR 30.4 min after buying · transaction +0.26 NEAR
pair bought within 16.3 s of f17d0815e8d5bf4…b21f6 · 48 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 30.5 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 31 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 37.2 s of 3347dd8076331ad…52407 · 26 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
3 8033c5e8d587f59…817b7 27 s · transaction 4.95 NEAR 16.1 min after buying · transaction +1.35 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 48 of those launches
pair bought within 17.7 s of f17d0815e8d5bf4…b21f6 · 24 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 7.0 s of d1de82541ee4575…a191b · 18 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 35.9 s of 3347dd8076331ad…52407 · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
4 d1de82541ee4575…a191b 34 s · transaction 2.48 NEAR 21.6 min after buying · transaction +0.32 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 58 of those launches
pair bought within 22.2 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 21 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 7.0 s of 8033c5e8d587f59…817b7 · 18 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 24.6 s of f17d0815e8d5bf4…b21f6 · 18 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
5 d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 56 s · transaction 44.68 NEAR 15.1 min after buying · transaction +9.78 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 194 of those launches
pair bought within 30.5 s of neverekt.near · 31 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 6.7 s of 3347dd8076331ad…52407 · 25 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 22.2 s of d1de82541ee4575…a191b · 21 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
6 3347dd8076331ad…52407 63 s · transaction 0.50 NEAR 14.8 min after buying · transaction +0.12 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 55 of those launches
pair bought within 37.2 s of neverekt.near · 26 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 6.7 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 25 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 53.5 s of f17d0815e8d5bf4…b21f6 · 24 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
7 92befaeab31c07a…0b783 118 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR not sold +0.05 NEAR
pair bought within 3.6 s of sessssssssss.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 55.0 s of 3347dd8076331ad…52407 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
8 sessssssssss.near 2.0 min · transaction 5.00 NEAR 13.4 min after buying · transaction +2.39 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 66 of those launches
pair bought within 58.6 s of 3347dd8076331ad…52407 · 16 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 3.6 s of 92befaeab31c07a…0b783 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 42.2 s of louduser4868.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
9 smallrice2186.near 2.2 min · transaction 1.00 NEAR 25.7 min after buying · transaction -0.0095 NEAR none found
10 louduser4868.near 2.7 min · transaction 1.00 NEAR not sold +0.03 NEAR
pair bought within 42.2 s of sessssssssss.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
11 supremegay.near 4.8 min · transaction 50.00 NEAR 10.7 min after buying · transaction +16.34 NEAR none found
12 sharpdegen.near 5.6 min · transaction 5.00 NEAR 10.0 min after buying · transaction +0.91 NEAR none found
13 kashekee.near 5.8 min · transaction 10.00 NEAR not sold -0.72 NEAR none found
14 ultra-dolphin-7….near 5.9 min · transaction 0.10 NEAR not sold -0.0080 NEAR none found
15 betteralex.near 6.0 min · transaction 58.00 NEAR not sold -7.16 NEAR none found
16 iagipero.near 6.8 min · transaction 40.00 NEAR 8.9 min after buying · transaction -1.89 NEAR none found
17 3f86257afb55fe8…ccf80 7.3 min · transaction 3.00 NEAR not sold -0.58 NEAR none found
18 supremeanal.near 8.0 min · transaction 34.00 NEAR 9.5 min after buying · transaction -7.31 NEAR
pair bought within 33.6 s of badriansyahirwa….near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
19 badriansyahirwa….near 8.5 min · transaction 0.50 NEAR 14.8 min after buying · transaction -0.12 NEAR
pair bought within 33.6 s of supremeanal.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
20 vasjaberegovo.tg 9.3 min · transaction 2.00 NEAR not sold -0.48 NEAR none found
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of famous777.near

None known.