FAR nearly.trade

far-17.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 25 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

  • +20
    Trade tax 3.00% buy / 3.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 20.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 300, sell_bps 300, creator_bps 2000).
    Evidence: launch far-17.nearlytrade.near
  • +5
    The name 'far' was already used 5.6 h earlier by another creator (far-16.nearlytrade.near).
    Evidence: launch far-16.nearlytrade.near

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 2 % (188 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. no outside buyers; no outside buyers.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 0% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
  • Outside buyers' net result: +0.00 NEAR · insiders' net result: -0.14 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
  • Price at T+24 h: 100% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-09-28 03:38:30 UTC · block 217578179 · history: launch only
TransactionBrx8E1btwjana…XKR6c
Creatorhuphup405.near explorer
Poolfar-17.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy4.50 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 3.00% · sell 3.00% · creator's share of the tax 20.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:44 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-09-28 03:38 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-09-28 03:38 UTC
Price nowno outside buyer yet · 0.98x the peak
Outside buyers in profit0 of 0
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0.4% · 1 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group—
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%0%0%0%0%
Dev's first sell after launch—————
Buyers (other than the insiders)00000
Buyers spent0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR
Buyers net result0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%0%0%0%0%
Insiders' net result-0.14 NEAR-0.14 NEAR-0.14 NEAR-0.14 NEAR-0.14 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer—————
Holders22222
Top 10 holders' share100%100%100%100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0.4% · holds 0.4% · holds 0.4% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group — — —
Other early buyers — — —
All early buyers (the six rows above)0% · 0 wallets0% · 0 wallets0% · 0 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)99.6%99.6%99.6%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Other launches of huphup405.near

None known.