GONORRHEA nearly.trade

gonorrhea.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 20 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

  • +20
    Trade tax 2.00% buy / 2.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 33.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 200, sell_bps 200, creator_bps 3300).

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 1 % (152 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; the price held at 51 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 2; they sold 143.6% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
  • Sold by: itshuey.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-09-28 17:39:32 UTC, 1334.0 min after the launch: 5gZKvmjFTqjxs…gRpaf.
  • Received tokens from the dev: aggregatedex.near.
  • Outside buyers' net result: +0.00 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.00 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
  • Price at T+24 h: 51% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-09-27 19:25:34 UTC · block 217528242 · history: launch only
TransactionBndDiSqqub8DL…qj7dX
Creatoritshuey.near explorer
Poolgonorrhea.nearlytrade.near|token.rhealab.near|10000
Dev buy0.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 2.00% · sell 2.00% · creator's share of the tax 33.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:44 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-14 11:17 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-10-14 11:17 UTC
Price now1.13x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.32x the peak
Outside buyers in profit36 of 124 · 29.0%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev2.8% · 1 of 1 hold
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group—
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%0%0%0%143.6%
Dev's first sell after launch————1334.0 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)163048119
Buyers spent0.0029 NEAR0.0035 NEAR0.01 NEAR0.02 NEAR0.08 NEAR
Buyers net result-0.0001 NEAR+0.0002 NEAR+0.0037 NEAR+0.01 NEAR+0.0022 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11112
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%0%0%0%143.6%
Insiders' net result+0.0000 NEAR+0.0000 NEAR+0.0001 NEAR+0.0001 NEAR+0.0003 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.00x1.11x1.73x2.23x3.52x
Holders38304757
Top 10 holders' share100%100%83.7%66.7%69.4%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0.2% · holds 0.2% · holds 0.3% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group — — —
Other early buyers 7.0% · 1 of 1 hold 8.3% · 6 of 6 hold 22.7% · 25 of 30 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)7.0% · 1 wallets8.3% · 6 wallets22.7% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)92.8%91.5%77.0%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%100%66.7%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged66.7% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 scorp56.near 2.2 min · transaction 0.0029 NEAR not sold +0.0034 NEAR
2 seven7777.near 11.3 min · transaction 0.0008 NEAR not sold +0.0004 NEAR
3 pravijn.near 11.8 min · transaction 0.0001 NEAR not sold +0.0001 NEAR
4 ogdefinewbie.near 12.2 min · transaction 0.0001 NEAR not sold +0.0001 NEAR
5 kaluabhai1.tg 13.9 min · transaction 0.0001 NEAR not sold +0.0001 NEAR
6 xert.near 14.1 min · transaction 0.0000 NEAR not sold +0.0000 NEAR
7 quietuser4110.near 15.8 min · transaction 0.0014 NEAR not sold +0.0013 NEAR
8 52a25e2e1d11655…d4ecc 16.4 min · transaction 0.0003 NEAR 9.0 min after buying · transaction +0.0001 NEAR
9 wetnode8811.near 16.8 min · transaction 0.0007 NEAR not sold +0.0005 NEAR
10 cryptopoorency.near 18.0 min · transaction 0.0001 NEAR 22.1 min after buying · transaction +0.0000 NEAR
11 d45388b6b42db69…73888 18.5 min · transaction 0.0002 NEAR not sold +0.0001 NEAR
12 ajida.near 18.6 min · transaction 0.0001 NEAR 14.0 min after buying · transaction +0.0000 NEAR
13 ddd677c8455ff08…63c01 19.1 min · transaction 0.0001 NEAR 11.3 min after buying · transaction +0.0000 NEAR
14 cryptovulcanedge.near 19.2 min · transaction 0.0002 NEAR not sold +0.0002 NEAR
15 omajari199.near 19.4 min · transaction 0.0010 NEAR not sold +0.0007 NEAR
16 b895883e97042e3…edad4 19.7 min · transaction 0.0003 NEAR not sold +0.0002 NEAR
17 0f208036034ac96…8e5e4 19.8 min · transaction 0.0001 NEAR not sold +0.0001 NEAR
18 544dfa1031c3374…7c75d 20.5 min · transaction 0.0014 NEAR 8.9 min after buying · transaction +0.0002 NEAR
19 wedhoz.near 21.8 min · transaction 0.0005 NEAR not sold +0.0002 NEAR
20 cc509f3e710df2b…a3009 22.0 min · transaction 0.0001 NEAR not sold +0.0000 NEAR
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of itshuey.near

None known.