GRLANT nearly.trade

grlant.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 20 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

  • +20
    Trade tax 1.00% buy / 1.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 33.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 100, sell_bps 100, creator_bps 3300).
    Evidence: launch grlant.nearlytrade.near

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 37 % (755 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired by T+24 h, below the 80 % threshold.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 0% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
  • Outside buyers' net result: -17.58 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.22 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
  • Price at T+24 h: 68% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-10-24 07:32:02 UTC · block 221357518 · history: launch only
Transaction9Av8t9qxPyj3S…1YqLg
Creatorgreenlanternillia.near explorer
Poolgrlant.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy1.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 33.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:44 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-03 15:40 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-11-03 15:40 UTC
Price now1.01x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.55x the peak
Outside buyers in profit16 of 60 · 26.7%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev<0.01% · 2 of 2 hold
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group0% · 0 of 16 hold
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%0%0%0%0%
Dev's first sell after launch—————
Buyers (other than the insiders)1530404555
Buyers spent284.04 NEAR491.97 NEAR555.04 NEAR691.48 NEAR873.31 NEAR
Buyers net result+38.66 NEAR+74.33 NEAR+98.14 NEAR+16.01 NEAR-17.58 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%0%0%0%0%
Insiders' net result+0.43 NEAR+0.64 NEAR+0.74 NEAR+0.40 NEAR+0.22 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.56x1.71x1.84x1.84x1.84x
Holders1627342319
Top 10 holders' share95.5%85.0%77.6%89.3%97.7%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0.1% · holds 0.1% · holds 0.1% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 7.6% · 12 of 12 hold 12.4% · 14 of 16 hold 3.5% · 4 of 16 hold
Other early buyers 9.3% · 3 of 3 hold 10.1% · 13 of 14 hold 5.5% · 12 of 14 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)17.0% · 15 wallets22.5% · 30 wallets9.0% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)82.9%77.4%90.9%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)95.5%85.0%89.3%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder97.8% · 2 merged90.0% · 2 merged92.2% · 1 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 tyty.sendler-b.near bot_wallet 3 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 32.6 min after buying · transaction +0.47 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 307 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 249 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 207 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 396 of 533 launches (not put in a group)
2 b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper 3 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 49.2 min after buying · transaction +0.28 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 307 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
3 c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 3 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 49.6 min after buying · transaction +0.28 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 249 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
4 wrapz-z.near independent_sniper 3 s · transaction 3.00 NEAR 48.9 min after buying · transaction +0.96 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 207 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
5 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 4 s · transaction 21.68 NEAR not sold +7.90 NEAR
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 140 of those launches
pair bought within 1.1 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 194 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.1 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 158 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.1 s of wrapz-z.near · 119 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
6 onlyrekt.near 6 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 9.6 min after buying · transaction +0.55 NEAR
pair bought within 2.9 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 118 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.9 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.9 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 90 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 123 of 395 launches (not put in a group)
7 30fa5c4f5bc5e32…57e92 10 s · transaction 5.00 NEAR not sold +1.64 NEAR
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 114 of those launches
pair bought within 7.3 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 168 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 6.2 s of 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 · 101 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 7.3 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 79 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
8 62d1b9c88f35252…f6973 40 s · transaction 10.83 NEAR not sold +3.34 NEAR
pair bought within 37.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 7.7 s of 3ab30e9ce2099d0…c3804 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
9 807c0817f8b8bc8…eefc9 46 s · transaction 86.58 NEAR 6.6 min after buying · transaction +12.85 NEAR none found
10 3ab30e9ce2099d0…c3804 48 s · transaction 86.52 NEAR 71 s after buying · transaction +4.85 NEAR
pair bought within 44.7 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 27 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 44.7 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 24 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 44.7 s of wrapz-z.near · 24 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
11 magaji11.near 57 s · transaction 25.00 NEAR not sold -1.45 NEAR none found
12 6777c764a8bf936…043c1 76 s · transaction 10.83 NEAR not sold -0.91 NEAR none found
13 3e5f029edb67f02…4bd45 97 s · transaction 10.81 NEAR 33.0 min after buying · transaction +0.22 NEAR
pair bought within 49.1 s of 3ab30e9ce2099d0…c3804 · 10 launches together · their buy · evidence
14 teeflux.user.in….near 3.4 min · transaction 29.70 NEAR 28.8 min after buying · transaction +0.60 NEAR
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 8 of those launches
pair bought within 19.6 s of shortgirl.user.….near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
15 shortgirl.user.….near 3.8 min · transaction 28.71 NEAR 3.7 min after buying · transaction +2.20 NEAR
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 12 of those launches
pair bought within 19.6 s of teeflux.user.in….near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
16 5d194c7b6c82ebe…2b4cc 5.1 min · transaction 6.00 NEAR not sold -0.24 NEAR none found
17 hmmmm.user.intear.near 6.1 min · transaction 84.15 NEAR 64 s after buying · transaction -0.05 NEAR
pair bought within 17.3 s of rusty_bot84.use….near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
18 rusty_bot84.use….near 6.4 min · transaction 8.82 NEAR 83 s after buying · transaction -1.32 NEAR
pair bought within 17.3 s of hmmmm.user.intear.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
19 bamashin.near 8.0 min · transaction 0.79 NEAR 24.6 min after buying · transaction +0.05 NEAR none found
20 49149698e58a511…953cf 8.2 min · transaction 10.81 NEAR 6.5 min after buying · transaction +1.64 NEAR none found
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of greenlanternillia.near

None known.