HACKED nearly.trade

hacked.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 20 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

+20
Trade tax 1.00% buy / 1.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 33.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 100, sell_bps 100, creator_bps 3300).
Evidence: launch hacked.nearlytrade.near

The largest funder's (vipbro.near) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 21 % (1774 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; the price held at 75 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 612.5% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Sold by: 1602821567850ed3e8d23…12e12 (dev).
Passed the threshold at 2026-10-02 10:10:28 UTC, 1084.5 min after the launch: DDuhuBXXR98yF…PqVfV.
Outside buyers' net result: -7.44 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.51 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 75% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-10-01 16:05:57 UTC · block 218078892 · history: launch only
Transaction	8bH8qb36UioV8…7kUiq
Creator	1602821567850ed3e8d239a01612904704607efbd885e3f313b18f2490312e12 explorer
Pool	hacked.nearlytrade.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	0.10 NEAR
Tax options	buy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 33.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:44 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-10-02 10:10 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0 · no trade seen in our live data

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	0%	0%	0%	0%	612.5%
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	—	—	1084.5 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)	13	16	16	16	16
Buyers spent	178.48 NEAR	209.48 NEAR	209.48 NEAR	209.48 NEAR	209.48 NEAR
Buyers net result	+6.65 NEAR	+9.43 NEAR	+6.25 NEAR	+4.72 NEAR	-7.44 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	0%	0%	0%	0%	612.5%
Insiders' net result	+0.02 NEAR	+0.02 NEAR	+0.02 NEAR	+0.02 NEAR	+0.51 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.34x	1.34x	1.34x	1.34x	1.34x
Holders	10	10	8	6	3
Top 10 holders' share	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	<0.01% · holds	<0.01% · holds	<0.01% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	9.6% · 9 of 13 hold	9.3% · 8 of 13 hold	7.8% · 3 of 13 hold
Other early buyers	—	1.6% · 2 of 3 hold	1.6% · 2 of 3 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	9.6% · 13 wallets	10.9% · 16 wallets	9.4% · 16 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	90.3%	89.1%	90.5%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	100%	100%	100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	100% · 1 merged	100% · 1 merged	100% · 1 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 16 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	f17d0815e8d5bf4…b21f6	69 s · transaction	5.00 NEAR	22.5 min after buying · transaction	+0.95 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of d57878e9a3a7c41…03d5b · 122 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 12.4 s of 0d76b5633dbe9a7…31d9a · 59 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 7e4213671de0c86…672c0 · 37 launches together · their buy · evidence early buyer in 334 of 709 launches (not put in a group)
2	d57878e9a3a7c41…03d5b	69 s · transaction	30.00 NEAR	not sold	+3.68 NEAR	group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 95 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of f17d0815e8d5bf4…b21f6 · 122 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 12.4 s of 0d76b5633dbe9a7…31d9a · 36 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 7e4213671de0c86…672c0 · 28 launches together · their buy · evidence
3	7e4213671de0c86…672c0	69 s · transaction	20.00 NEAR	not sold	+2.54 NEAR	group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 41 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of f17d0815e8d5bf4…b21f6 · 37 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of d57878e9a3a7c41…03d5b · 28 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 12.4 s of 0d76b5633dbe9a7…31d9a · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
4	0d76b5633dbe9a7…31d9a	81 s · transaction	5.00 NEAR	43.6 min after buying · transaction	+0.45 NEAR	group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 56 of those launches pair bought within 12.4 s of f17d0815e8d5bf4…b21f6 · 59 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 12.4 s of d57878e9a3a7c41…03d5b · 36 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 12.4 s of 7e4213671de0c86…672c0 · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
5	axxe.near	2.7 min · transaction	40.00 NEAR	not sold	+1.11 NEAR	pair bought within 33.6 s of 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 24.4 s of d1de82541ee4575…a191b · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 57.6 s of badriansyahirwa….near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
6	tuyulz.near	3.1 min · transaction	10.00 NEAR	95 s after buying · transaction	-0.24 NEAR	pair bought within 42.4 s of 920b3a669f9f318…ce387 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.8 s of d1de82541ee4575…a191b · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 35.0 s of badriansyahirwa….near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
7	a3cb153394cd999…41e6c	3.1 min · transaction	2.00 NEAR	51 s after buying · transaction	+0.13 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of d1de82541ee4575…a191b · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 40.6 s of 920b3a669f9f318…ce387 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 9.2 s of 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
8	d1de82541ee4575…a191b	3.1 min · transaction	0.99 NEAR	39.6 min after buying · transaction	-0.03 NEAR	pair bought within 40.6 s of 920b3a669f9f318…ce387 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 10.7 s of ebisidiaidi.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of a3cb153394cd999…41e6c · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
9	4ae627b0c091dac…352f4	3.2 min · transaction	5.00 NEAR	14.4 min after buying · transaction	-0.06 NEAR	pair bought within 33.6 s of axxe.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 54.7 s of sessssssssss.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 9.2 s of a3cb153394cd999…41e6c · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
10	ebisidiaidi.near	3.3 min · transaction	50.00 NEAR	52 s after buying · transaction	-1.65 NEAR	pair bought within 10.7 s of d1de82541ee4575…a191b · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 53.3 s of sessssssssss.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
11	badriansyahirwa….near	3.6 min · transaction	0.49 NEAR	11.3 min after buying · transaction	-0.05 NEAR	pair bought within 30.8 s of sessssssssss.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 33.2 s of d1de82541ee4575…a191b · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 35.0 s of tuyulz.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
12	920b3a669f9f318…ce387	3.8 min · transaction	5.00 NEAR	58 s after buying · transaction	-0.59 NEAR	pair bought within 23.4 s of sessssssssss.near · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 40.6 s of d1de82541ee4575…a191b · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 40.6 s of a3cb153394cd999…41e6c · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
13	sessssssssss.near	4.2 min · transaction	10.00 NEAR	51 s after buying · transaction	-0.47 NEAR	pair bought within 23.4 s of 920b3a669f9f318…ce387 · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 30.8 s of badriansyahirwa….near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 54.7 s of 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
14	92befaeab31c07a…0b783	5.4 min · transaction	1.00 NEAR	not sold	-0.02 NEAR	none found
15	292ae6ca7faf0c0…0c96d	9.1 min · transaction	20.00 NEAR	not sold	-0.83 NEAR	none found
16	barrey.near	11.1 min · transaction	5.00 NEAR	3.6 min after buying · transaction	-0.20 NEAR	none found

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of 1602821567850ed3e8d23…12e12

Time	Launchpad	Token	Risk	Outcome	Data
2026-10-02 10:04 UTC	nearly.trade	jolly-3.nearlytrade.near	25 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-26 13:25 UTC	justhoot v2	mns-3.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near	5 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only