HOOT nearly.trade

hoot-7.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 25 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

+20
Trade tax 1.00% buy / 1.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 33.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 100, sell_bps 100, creator_bps 3300).
Evidence: launch hoot-7.nearlytrade.near
+5
The name 'hoot' was already used 4.0 h earlier by another creator (hoot-6.nearlytrade.near).
Evidence: launch hoot-6.nearlytrade.near

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 6 % (485 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 32.25 NEAR.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
Sold by: justhoott.near (dev).
Passed the threshold at 2026-09-28 19:43:47 UTC, 2.6 min after the launch: 5krgUN4fUA8Sw…mVdqZ.
Outside buyers' net result: -32.25 NEAR · insiders' net result: +16.71 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-09-28 19:41:09 UTC · block 217675578 · history: launch only
Transaction	HsS6vfJxAi1x2…PjKWq
Creator	justhoott.near explorer
Pool	hoot-7.nearlytrade.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	25.00 NEAR
Tax options	buy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 33.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:44 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-09-29 14:07 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0 · no trade seen in our live data

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Dev's first sell after launch	2.6 min	2.6 min	2.6 min	2.6 min	2.6 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)	23	23	23	23	24
Buyers spent	449.87 NEAR	449.87 NEAR	449.87 NEAR	449.87 NEAR	469.87 NEAR
Buyers net result	+13.19 NEAR	-32.25 NEAR	-32.25 NEAR	-32.25 NEAR	-33.04 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Insiders' net result	+16.71 NEAR	+16.71 NEAR	+16.71 NEAR	+16.71 NEAR	+16.71 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.71x	1.71x	1.71x	1.71x	1.71x
Holders	13	4	4	7	5
Top 10 holders' share	99.1%	100%	100%	100%	100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	7.5% · 9 of 17 hold	0.1% · 3 of 17 hold	0.1% · 3 of 17 hold
Other early buyers	8.5% · 3 of 6 hold	0% · 0 of 6 hold	0% · 0 of 6 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	16.1% · 23 wallets	0.1% · 23 wallets	0.1% · 23 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	83.9%	99.9%	99.9%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	99.1%	100%	100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	100% · 2 merged	100% · 2 merged	100% · 2 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	betteralex.near	29 s · transaction	19.40 NEAR	5.5 min after buying · transaction	+0.56 NEAR	group one of 5 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 15 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of gigasnipe.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of samegrain2799.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of steepgoat5771.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs
2	gigasnipe.near	29 s · transaction	19.40 NEAR	5.6 min after buying · transaction	-0.82 NEAR	group one of 5 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 14 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of betteralex.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of samegrain2799.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of steepgoat5771.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs
3	steepgoat5771.near	29 s · transaction	19.40 NEAR	5.9 min after buying · transaction	-2.60 NEAR	group one of 5 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 13 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of betteralex.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of gigasnipe.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of samegrain2799.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs
4	samegrain2799.near	29 s · transaction	19.40 NEAR	5.8 min after buying · transaction	-2.65 NEAR	group one of 5 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 14 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of betteralex.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of gigasnipe.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of steepgoat5771.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs
5	3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735	35 s · transaction	27.22 NEAR	2.2 min after buying · transaction	+1.76 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 60 of those launches pair bought within 1.6 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 58 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 56 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 6cac4e44915931a…b5879 · 38 launches together · their buy · evidence and 9 more pairs · all pairs
6	7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8	35 s · transaction	27.22 NEAR	2.1 min after buying · transaction	+2.27 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 77 of those launches pair bought within 1.6 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 60 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 56 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 6cac4e44915931a…b5879 · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence and 11 more pairs · all pairs
7	6cac4e44915931a…b5879	35 s · transaction	27.22 NEAR	2.1 min after buying · transaction	+3.97 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 43 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 38 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.6 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 38 launches together · their buy · evidence and 9 more pairs · all pairs
8	03712631d52c0ad…1b110	37 s · transaction	27.22 NEAR	2.1 min after buying · transaction	+4.77 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 63 of those launches pair bought within 1.6 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 60 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.6 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 58 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.6 s of 6cac4e44915931a…b5879 · 38 launches together · their buy · evidence and 9 more pairs · all pairs
9	alola.near	38 s · transaction	1.50 NEAR	not sold	-0.34 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches pair bought within 19.0 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 10.1 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 103 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 2.2 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 32 launches together · their buy · evidence and 10 more pairs · all pairs
10	70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b	48 s · transaction	1.50 NEAR	2.9 min after buying · transaction	+0.15 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 212 of those launches pair bought within 10.1 s of alola.near · 103 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 8.9 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 73 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 38.1 s of barrey.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs
11	d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6	57 s · transaction	4.84 NEAR	4.8 min after buying · transaction	-0.78 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 194 of those launches pair bought within 19.0 s of alola.near · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 8.9 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 73 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 21.2 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs
12	neardotneardot.near	58 s · transaction	14.92 NEAR	111 s after buying · transaction	+1.36 NEAR	pair bought within 21.3 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 22.9 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 22.9 s of 6cac4e44915931a…b5879 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
13	longisland380.near	82 s · transaction	10.00 NEAR	3.0 min after buying · transaction	-0.22 NEAR	none found
14	badriansyahirwa….near	85 s · transaction	0.50 NEAR	10.0 min after buying · transaction	-0.18 NEAR	pair bought within 47.1 s of alola.near · 21 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 37.1 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 49.3 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
15	barrey.near	86 s · transaction	2.98 NEAR	5.2 min after buying · transaction	-1.06 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 47 of those launches pair bought within 48.2 s of alola.near · 22 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 38.1 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 29.2 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs
16	80289da0a50f047…d6989	86 s · transaction	10.00 NEAR	29 s after buying · transaction	-0.39 NEAR	pair bought within 48.8 s of alola.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 38.8 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 29.9 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
17	lambadaa.near	2.0 min · transaction	18.00 NEAR	70 s after buying · transaction	-1.68 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 43 of those launches pair bought within 35.0 s of 80289da0a50f047…d6989 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 36.7 s of badriansyahirwa….near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 31.4 s of 4282ce57357f41f…87b2d · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
18	someonetobeloved.near	2.3 min · transaction	19.90 NEAR	33 s after buying · transaction	-0.53 NEAR	none found
19	00867ad7c43fe5a…cdd9c	2.3 min · transaction	74.25 NEAR	2.7 min after buying · transaction	-16.51 NEAR	none found
20	4282ce57357f41f…87b2d	2.5 min · transaction	4.98 NEAR	2.9 min after buying · transaction	-1.87 NEAR	pair bought within 31.4 s of lambadaa.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of justhoott.near

None known.