hooters-202700.launchpa….near justhoot v1

hooters-202700.launchpad.justhoot.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 5 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 19 % (1423 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing; the price held at 41 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 161.0% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
  • Sold by: vastoasis3267.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-10-01 13:14:02 UTC, 1422.4 min after the launch: Hhsw6MF9P6jN7…eR2zz.
  • Outside buyers' net result: +12.74 NEAR · insiders' net result: +31.66 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
  • Price at T+24 h: 41% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-09-30 13:31:36 UTC · block 217923028 · history: launch only
Transaction2fM8uAWTNdyJV…F7oPs
Creatorvastoasis3267.near explorer
Poolhooters-202700.launchpad.justhoot.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy49.57 NEAR

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:45 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-05 22:38 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-11-05 22:38 UTC
Price now0.92x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.26x the peak
Outside buyers in profit28 of 71 · 39.4%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev4.9% · 1 of 1 hold
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group0% · 0 of 5 hold
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)————161.0%
Dev's first sell after launch————1422.4 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)1523333569
Buyers spent538.97 NEAR715.13 NEAR789.24 NEAR1,021.24 NEAR1,799.23 NEAR
Buyers net result+272.95 NEAR+316.70 NEAR+179.36 NEAR+264.22 NEAR+12.74 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)————161.0%
Insiders' net result0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR+31.66 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer2.29x2.41x2.62x2.62x3.56x
Holders1521242521
Top 10 holders' share87.8%87.6%90.9%92.4%95.5%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0% · holds nothing 0% · holds nothing 0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 16.0% · 5 of 5 hold 16.0% · 5 of 5 hold 16.0% · 5 of 5 hold
Other early buyers 16.4% · 9 of 10 hold 18.0% · 15 of 18 hold 10.8% · 14 of 25 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)32.4% · 15 wallets34.0% · 23 wallets26.7% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)67.6%66.0%73.3%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)87.8%87.6%92.4%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder99.8% · 1 merged97.7% · 1 merged98.1% · 1 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 cockis.near 5 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR not sold +1.29 NEAR
2 nolifekrisu.near 28 s · transaction 40.00 NEAR not sold +48.08 NEAR
3 sleet.near 38 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 73 s after buying · transaction +0.25 NEAR
4 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 40 s · transaction 25.00 NEAR 28.4 min after buying · transaction +20.73 NEAR
5 ethetheth.near 62 s · transaction 35.00 NEAR 6.2 min after buying · transaction +35.24 NEAR
6 bombaclaacc.tg 93 s · transaction 229.00 NEAR 5.9 min after buying · transaction +40.83 NEAR
7 llllord.near 110 s · transaction 50.00 NEAR 40.1 min after buying · transaction +18.70 NEAR
8 gutsah.near 2.2 min · transaction 60.00 NEAR not sold +35.23 NEAR
9 smallicon823.near 2.2 min · transaction 60.00 NEAR not sold +26.70 NEAR
10 onionsage.near 2.2 min · transaction 60.00 NEAR not sold +19.26 NEAR
11 soonlink3248.near 2.2 min · transaction 60.00 NEAR not sold +12.74 NEAR
12 majornecktie8007.near 2.2 min · transaction 60.00 NEAR not sold +7.00 NEAR
13 3f0dbeaa83e8cf1…c7e2e 3.8 min · transaction 2.97 NEAR not sold +0.21 NEAR
14 0xpoww.near 4.5 min · transaction 45.00 NEAR 4.6 min after buying · transaction -4.78 NEAR
15 80289da0a50f047…d6989 4.6 min · transaction 10.00 NEAR 2.4 min after buying · transaction -0.20 NEAR
16 lilvan.near 8.9 min · transaction 20.00 NEAR not sold +2.41 NEAR
17 wildjaguar2131.near 9.4 min · transaction 19.90 NEAR 45.2 min after buying · transaction +2.45 NEAR
18 3ba96812ab58128…9790a 9.5 min · transaction 2.48 NEAR not sold +0.38 NEAR
19 bold-rover-2827….near 11.5 min · transaction 0.98 NEAR not sold +0.12 NEAR
20 bd39e700aafaa08…a816f 12.4 min · transaction 1.50 NEAR 13.5 min after buying · transaction +0.12 NEAR
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of vastoasis3267.near

TimeLaunchpadTokenRiskOutcomeData
2026-09-27 10:34 UTC nearly.trade duct.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only