hooters-f5dd7a.launchpa….near justhoot v1

hooters-f5dd7a.launchpad.justhoot.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

No risk signal fired for this launch.

The largest funder's (tipbot.near) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 25 % (815 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing; insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing by T+24 h.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold — of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Outside buyers' net result: +19.88 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.00 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 37% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-10-18 17:35:33 UTC · block 220543113 · history: launch only
Transaction	3PBLRq6qkKuwb…UVu6v
Creator	zavodil.near explorer
Pool	hooters-f5dd7a.launchpad.justhoot.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	79.95 NEAR

Live state not a forecast · as of 20:41 UTC

38 out of 100 · formula ls-2 · the mean of the four parts below · how it is built

Buyers in profit	27	86 of 313 outside buyers
Buy pressure	100	buys 5.80 NEAR · sells 0.00 NEAR in the last 60 min
Price vs peak	26	the last price against the highest price since the launch
Activity	0	0 different buyers in the last 60 min (100 from 20)

Facts now

Last trade	2026-11-13 20:23 UTC
Price now	2.62x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.26x the peak
Outside buyers in profit	86 of 313 · 27.5%
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	3 buys (5.80 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account	0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	0.8% · 3 of 14 hold

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	—	—	—
Buyers (other than the insiders)	40	87	114	129	170
Buyers spent	1,339.17 NEAR	2,479.47 NEAR	4,061.00 NEAR	4,780.68 NEAR	5,988.98 NEAR
Buyers net result	+1,360.44 NEAR	+1,307.94 NEAR	+2,189.96 NEAR	+1,151.97 NEAR	+19.88 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Insiders' net result	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	4.41x	5.87x	7.48x	7.48x	7.48x
Holders	41	74	89	83	130
Top 10 holders' share	76.0%	66.4%	58.9%	63.8%	69.0%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	19.8% · 14 of 14 hold	10.8% · 13 of 14 hold	2.4% · 10 of 14 hold
Other early buyers	24.3% · 16 of 16 hold	25.5% · 15 of 16 hold	15.5% · 11 of 16 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	44.0% · 30 wallets	36.3% · 30 wallets	17.9% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	55.9%	63.7%	82.1%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	76.0%	66.4%	63.8%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	78.8% · 1 merged	66.4% · 1 merged	63.8% · 1 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	wrapz-z.near independent sniper	1 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	not sold	+3.38 NEAR	pair bought within 0.6 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 452 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.2 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 6.0 s of cockis.near · 197 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 558 of 1042 launches (not put in a group)
2	ro52.near	2 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	3.8 min after buying · transaction	+2.69 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 206 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 191 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of wrapz-z.near · 171 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 231 of 314 launches (not put in a group)
3	b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent sniper	2 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	42.4 min after buying · transaction	+4.07 NEAR	pair bought within 0.6 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.6 s of wrapz-z.near · 452 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 5.4 s of cockis.near · 244 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 734 of 1047 launches (not put in a group)
4	c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 trading bot developer	2 s · transaction	6.00 NEAR	not sold	+4.79 NEAR	pair bought within 0.6 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.2 s of wrapz-z.near · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 4.7 s of cockis.near · 236 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
5	cockis.near	7 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	not sold	+3.35 NEAR	pair bought within 5.4 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 244 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 4.7 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 236 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 6.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 197 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs
6	56c9a6ef438223b….near	15 s · transaction	48.00 NEAR	7.3 min after buying · transaction	+182.34 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 21 of those launches pair bought within 12.5 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 79 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 13.1 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 64 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 13.7 s of wrapz-z.near · 61 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs
7	js1112s.near	18 s · transaction	75.00 NEAR	8.4 min after buying · transaction	+155.93 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 24 of those launches pair bought within 16.1 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 47 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 17.3 s of wrapz-z.near · 26 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 16.7 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 24 launches together · their buy · evidence and 8 more pairs · all pairs
8	ethereal_tentac….near	30 s · transaction	2.97 NEAR	20.6 min after buying · transaction	+7.60 NEAR	pair bought within 11.3 s of js1112s.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 27.4 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 28.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
9	heyyyyyyy.user.….near	30 s · transaction	44.55 NEAR	19.9 min after buying · transaction	+125.87 NEAR	pair bought within 27.4 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 28.6 s of wrapz-z.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 11.3 s of js1112s.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
10	e8a162641a55288…58210	39 s · transaction	8.00 NEAR	3.1 min after buying · transaction	+17.64 NEAR	pair bought within 36.7 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 100 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 37.3 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 45 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 37.9 s of wrapz-z.near · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
11	567e43c697f4113…84e34	55 s · transaction	225.00 NEAR	11.0 min after buying · transaction	+340.53 NEAR	pair bought within 52.7 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 26 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 53.3 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 23 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 53.9 s of wrapz-z.near · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
12	diamondcash.near	68 s · transaction	25.00 NEAR	not sold	+44.98 NEAR	none found
13	cyber_processor….near	70 s · transaction	1.98 NEAR	11.6 min after buying · transaction	+3.34 NEAR	pair bought within 51.8 s of js1112s.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 55.4 s of 56c9a6ef438223b….near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
14	volat.near	90 s · transaction	30.00 NEAR	18.8 min after buying · transaction	+67.74 NEAR	pair bought within 51.5 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
15	kakoilogin.tg	100 s · transaction	3.00 NEAR	not sold	+4.90 NEAR	none found
16	buymorerhea.near	105 s · transaction	100.00 NEAR	not sold	+146.91 NEAR	none found
17	h2onear.near	111 s · transaction	7.60 NEAR	17.3 min after buying · transaction	+1.74 NEAR	pair bought within 56.5 s of 567e43c697f4113…84e34 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
18	telerman.near	111 s · transaction	47.00 NEAR	not sold	+58.87 NEAR	none found
19	4fff4175970134e…82fa3	2.2 min · transaction	50.00 NEAR	not sold	+38.90 NEAR	none found
20	metallic_snowma….near	2.4 min · transaction	19.80 NEAR	44.8 min after buying · transaction	+10.24 NEAR	none found

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of zavodil.near

Time	Launchpad	Token	Risk	Outcome	Data
2026-10-09 14:09 UTC	nearly.trade	sherifchenko.nearlytrade.near	0 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only