HUDGY nearly.trade

hudgy.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 20 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

  • +20
    Trade tax 1.00% buy / 1.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 33.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 100, sell_bps 100, creator_bps 3300).
    Evidence: launch hudgy.nearlytrade.near

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 29 % (746 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 25.14 NEAR.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
  • Sold by: hudgyisme.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-10-21 14:31:39 UTC, 25.2 min after the launch: 2dLR9cDpzdbH1…ey4Qu.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -25.14 NEAR · insiders' net result: +2.95 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-10-21 14:06:30 UTC · block 220955564 · history: launch only
TransactionBJJcd2KryRZTC…cXqFs
Creatorhudgyisme.near explorer
Poolhudgy.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy25.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 33.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:45 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-23 03:36 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-10-23 03:36 UTC
Price now0.98x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.43x the peak
Outside buyers in profit17 of 39 · 43.6%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group0% · 0 of 25 hold
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%0%100%100%100%
Dev's first sell after launch——25.2 min25.2 min25.2 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)2636373739
Buyers spent396.14 NEAR609.14 NEAR748.45 NEAR748.45 NEAR749.47 NEAR
Buyers net result+101.81 NEAR+122.47 NEAR-24.50 NEAR-25.14 NEAR-29.01 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%0%100%100%100%
Insiders' net result+19.01 NEAR+21.67 NEAR+2.95 NEAR+2.95 NEAR+2.95 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.84x2.23x2.29x2.29x2.29x
Holders2326985
Top 10 holders' share65.7%64.7%100%100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 2.3% · holds 2.3% · holds 0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 21.3% · 19 of 23 hold 19.8% · 16 of 25 hold 0.9% · 2 of 25 hold
Other early buyers 2.8% · 3 of 3 hold 3.4% · 5 of 5 hold 2.7% · 4 of 5 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)24.1% · 26 wallets23.2% · 30 wallets3.6% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)73.6%74.5%96.4%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)65.7%64.7%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 2 merged98.8% · 2 merged100% · 1 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 wrapz-z.near independent sniper 5 s · transaction 2.00 NEAR 114 s after buying · transaction +1.44 NEAR
pair bought within 3.5 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 452 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.9 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.4 s of ro52.near · 171 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 16 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 558 of 1042 launches (not put in a group)
2 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 6 s · transaction 19.40 NEAR 17.6 min after buying · transaction +10.29 NEAR
pair bought within 1.1 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 194 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.8 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 158 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.7 s of wrapz-z.near · 119 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 15 more pairs · all pairs
3 ro52.near 7 s · transaction 2.00 NEAR 86 s after buying · transaction +1.19 NEAR
pair bought within 1.2 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 206 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.5 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 191 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.4 s of wrapz-z.near · 171 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 14 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 231 of 314 launches (not put in a group)
4 c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 trading bot developer 8 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 4.7 min after buying · transaction +0.63 NEAR
pair bought within 0.6 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.9 s of wrapz-z.near · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 16.8 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 254 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 16 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
5 b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent sniper 8 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 7.2 min after buying · transaction +0.40 NEAR
pair bought within 0.6 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 3.5 s of wrapz-z.near · 452 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.2 s of ro52.near · 206 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 16 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 734 of 1047 launches (not put in a group)
6 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b 24 s · transaction 1.70 NEAR 15.5 min after buying · transaction +1.03 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 212 of those launches
pair bought within 16.8 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 254 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 16.2 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 142 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 11.5 s of alola.near · 103 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 16 more pairs · all pairs
7 d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 26 s · transaction 30.00 NEAR 13.5 min after buying · transaction +19.36 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 194 of those launches
pair bought within 10.3 s of alola.near · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 18.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 107 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.2 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 73 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 18 more pairs · all pairs
8 lowfrog6012.near 27 s · transaction 27.00 NEAR 22.6 min after buying · transaction +3.48 NEAR
group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 20 of those launches
pair bought within 0.6 s of finequiche1009.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of flatbat5958.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 9.3 s of alola.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 17 more pairs · all pairs
9 finequiche1009.near 27 s · transaction 30.00 NEAR 12.1 min after buying · transaction +9.10 NEAR
group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 20 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of flatbat5958.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of lowfrog6012.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 8.7 s of alola.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 17 more pairs · all pairs
10 flatbat5958.near 27 s · transaction 40.00 NEAR 22.6 min after buying · transaction +0.90 NEAR
group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 20 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of finequiche1009.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of lowfrog6012.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 8.7 s of alola.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 17 more pairs · all pairs
11 irene.user.intear.near 30 s · transaction 9.90 NEAR 69 s after buying · transaction +3.40 NEAR
pair bought within 5.1 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 3.9 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 6.4 s of alola.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
12 alola.near 36 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 22.5 min after buying · transaction -0.08 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches
pair bought within 27.7 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 28.3 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 31.2 s of wrapz-z.near · 138 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 19 more pairs · all pairs
13 stillurial1675.near 40 s · transaction 48.00 NEAR 22.3 min after buying · transaction +11.75 NEAR
group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 19 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of longquiche338.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.3 s of dryoil1584.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 12.4 s of finequiche1009.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 18 more pairs · all pairs
14 longquiche338.near 40 s · transaction 48.00 NEAR 22.4 min after buying · transaction -6.37 NEAR
group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 19 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of stillurial1675.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.3 s of dryoil1584.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 12.4 s of finequiche1009.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 18 more pairs · all pairs
15 dryoil1584.near 41 s · transaction 43.00 NEAR 22.3 min after buying · transaction +2.31 NEAR
group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 19 of those launches
pair bought within 1.3 s of longquiche338.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.3 s of stillurial1675.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 13.7 s of finequiche1009.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 18 more pairs · all pairs
16 realsite8942.near 48 s · transaction 36.00 NEAR 57 s after buying · transaction -5.98 NEAR
group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 14 of those launches
pair bought within 4.0 s of roughzone8076.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.6 s of sickuser1627.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 7.3 s of dryoil1584.near · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 18 more pairs · all pairs
17 sickuser1627.near 50 s · transaction 46.00 NEAR 55 s after buying · transaction +3.13 NEAR
group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 17 of those launches
pair bought within 2.4 s of roughzone8076.near · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 10.3 s of longquiche338.near · 16 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 14.0 s of alola.near · 16 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 18 more pairs · all pairs
18 roughzone8076.near 52 s · transaction 26.00 NEAR 22.1 min after buying · transaction -2.28 NEAR
group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 18 of those launches
pair bought within 2.4 s of sickuser1627.near · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 12.7 s of longquiche338.near · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 16.4 s of alola.near · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 18 more pairs · all pairs
19 pinkzest7538.near 61 s · transaction 24.00 NEAR 22.0 min after buying · transaction -5.82 NEAR
group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 14 of those launches
pair bought within 9.2 s of roughzone8076.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 11.6 s of sickuser1627.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 20.5 s of dryoil1584.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 17 more pairs · all pairs
20 sharpharbor717.near 64 s · transaction 19.00 NEAR 22.0 min after buying · transaction -3.25 NEAR
group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 13 of those launches
pair bought within 11.3 s of roughzone8076.near · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.1 s of pinkzest7538.near · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 13.7 s of sickuser1627.near · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 13 more pairs · all pairs
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of hudgyisme.near

None known.