HUNTR nearly.trade

huntr.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 20 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

+20
Trade tax 2.00% buy / 2.00% sell; after the platform's 30.00% cut the creator gets 35.00% of it (0.700% per buy, 0.700% per sell; creator_bps 5000, platform_bps 3000).
Evidence: launch huntr.nearlytrade.near

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 22 % (1326 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 20.55 NEAR.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 125.0% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
Sold by: huntrnear.near (dev).
Passed the threshold at 2026-10-14 13:11:39 UTC, 27.2 min after the launch: C5PmQJi1MZgC2…mWJft.
Outside buyers' net result: -20.55 NEAR · insiders' net result: +1.59 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-10-14 12:44:24 UTC · block 219936095 · history: launch only
Transaction	CWHBphfpnyGdw…6ecSg
Creator	huntrnear.near explorer
Pool	huntr.nearlytrade.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	7.00 NEAR
Tax options	buy 2.00% · sell 2.00% · creator's share of the tax 50.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:45 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-15 12:04 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-10-15 12:04 UTC
Price now	0.97x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.60x the peak
Outside buyers in profit	10 of 20 · 50%
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account	0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	0% · 0 of 11 hold

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	0%	0%	100%	125.0%	125.0%
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	27.2 min	27.2 min	27.2 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)	16	20	20	20	20
Buyers spent	300.02 NEAR	432.62 NEAR	432.62 NEAR	432.62 NEAR	432.62 NEAR
Buyers net result	+24.43 NEAR	-18.96 NEAR	-20.39 NEAR	-20.55 NEAR	-21.32 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	0%	0%	100%	125.0%	125.0%
Insiders' net result	+2.70 NEAR	+0.41 NEAR	-0.12 NEAR	+1.59 NEAR	+1.59 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.40x	1.61x	1.61x	1.61x	1.61x
Holders	15	5	2	5	2
Top 10 holders' share	97.0%	100%	100%	100%	100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0.7% · holds	0.7% · holds	0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	6.6% · 9 of 11 hold	2.5% · 3 of 11 hold	1.8% · 2 of 11 hold
Other early buyers	8.6% · 5 of 5 hold	0.3% · 1 of 9 hold	0% · 0 of 9 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	15.2% · 16 wallets	2.9% · 20 wallets	1.8% · 20 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	84.2%	96.5%	98.2%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	97.0%	100%	100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	99.0% · 1 merged	100% · 1 merged	100% · 1 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 bot_developer	7 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	10.4 min after buying · transaction	+0.07 NEAR	pair bought within 3.3 s of 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 · 194 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 45.9 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 107 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 26.4 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 100 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
2	farfrog7358.near	9 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	13.8 min after buying · transaction	+0.03 NEAR	pair bought within 2.3 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 26 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 24.1 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.0 s of 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 27 of 29 launches (not put in a group)
3	976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8	10 s · transaction	19.99 NEAR	10.9 min after buying · transaction	+0.57 NEAR	pair bought within 3.3 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 194 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 42.6 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 55 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 23.1 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 30 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
4	axxe.near	33 s · transaction	20.00 NEAR	not sold	-1.40 NEAR	pair bought within 20.3 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 25.6 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 22.3 s of 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 · 10 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
5	e8a162641a55288…58210	33 s · transaction	8.00 NEAR	18.5 min after buying · transaction	-0.50 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 145 of those launches pair bought within 26.4 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 100 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 19.5 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 52 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 23.1 s of 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 · 30 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
6	d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6	53 s · transaction	12.48 NEAR	9.0 min after buying · transaction	+0.19 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 194 of those launches pair bought within 42.2 s of alola.near · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 45.9 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 107 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 42.6 s of 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 · 55 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
7	d1de82541ee4575…a191b	73 s · transaction	1.70 NEAR	7.9 min after buying · transaction	+0.31 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 58 of those launches pair bought within 21.7 s of alola.near · 23 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 20.5 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 21 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 40.0 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
8	80289da0a50f047…d6989	73 s · transaction	10.00 NEAR	7.0 min after buying · transaction	+1.83 NEAR	pair bought within 21.7 s of alola.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 20.5 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 40.0 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
9	alola.near	95 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	not sold	-0.14 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches pair bought within 42.2 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 21.7 s of d1de82541ee4575…a191b · 23 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 21.7 s of 80289da0a50f047…d6989 · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
10	truezest4223.near	110 s · transaction	50.00 NEAR	60 s after buying · transaction	+1.22 NEAR	pair bought within 14.8 s of alola.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 57.0 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
11	ebisidiaidi.near	2.2 min · transaction	100.00 NEAR	50 s after buying · transaction	-3.72 NEAR	pair bought within 34.6 s of alola.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 56.3 s of d1de82541ee4575…a191b · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 56.3 s of 80289da0a50f047…d6989 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
12	e9826429e935604…ec819	2.9 min · transaction	99.00 NEAR	6.7 min after buying · transaction	-9.29 NEAR	none found
13	ultra-dolphin-7….near	3.2 min · transaction	1.00 NEAR	10.0 min after buying · transaction	-0.24 NEAR	none found
14	zjroboz3r0.near	3.5 min · transaction	10.00 NEAR	4.3 min after buying · transaction	+1.31 NEAR	none found
15	e61312b0b15a928…26dd1	3.5 min · transaction	4.95 NEAR	17.5 min after buying · transaction	-1.34 NEAR	none found
16	tuyulz.near	4.4 min · transaction	19.80 NEAR	3.6 min after buying · transaction	-1.10 NEAR	none found
17	lowpant8440.near	5.2 min · transaction	17.00 NEAR	2.6 min after buying · transaction	+0.28 NEAR	none found
18	memexxx.near	5.8 min · transaction	1.00 NEAR	2.4 min after buying · transaction	-0.07 NEAR	none found
19	5249d63913e1405…591d1	6.1 min · transaction	25.00 NEAR	102 s after buying · transaction	+0.36 NEAR	none found
20	kulesh_off.user….near	8.0 min · transaction	29.70 NEAR	2.3 min after buying · transaction	-8.92 NEAR	none found

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of huntrnear.near

Time	Launchpad	Token	Risk	Outcome	Data
2026-10-16 14:09 UTC	justhoot v1	huntr-d88a82.launchpad.justhoot.near	30 Elevated retro	no rug	history: launch only