illia.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near
Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.
Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0
No risk signal fired for this launch.
It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.
Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 36 % (727 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.
No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; the price held at 72 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.
| Launched | 2026-10-23 17:07:52 UTC · block 221266896 · history: launch only |
|---|---|
| Transaction | DBJ4YBojuHVpZ…M4yDJ |
| Creator | illiapolosuckin.near explorer |
| Pool | illia.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near|wrap.near|10000 |
| Dev buy | 54.78 NEAR |
No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-29 04:34 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.
| Last trade | 2026-10-29 04:34 UTC |
|---|---|
| Price now | 0.89x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.66x the peak |
| Outside buyers in profit | 8 of 29 · 27.6% |
| Last 15 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Last 60 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Buyers in the last hour | 0 |
| Dev account | 0% · 0 of 1 hold |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 0.1% · 1 of 16 hold |
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
| Metric | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+30 min | T+60 min | T+24 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| Dev's first sell after launch | — | — | — | — | 1389.5 min |
| Buyers (other than the insiders) | 20 | 23 | 26 | 26 | 28 |
| Buyers spent | 197.85 NEAR | 243.78 NEAR | 277.14 NEAR | 277.14 NEAR | 289.48 NEAR |
| Buyers net result | +15.48 NEAR | -1.15 NEAR | -10.56 NEAR | -17.85 NEAR | -26.80 NEAR |
| Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Insiders sold (share of what they acquired) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| Insiders' net result | +79.43 NEAR | +75.48 NEAR | +72.25 NEAR | +67.94 NEAR | +51.19 NEAR |
| Highest price vs first buyer | 1.34x | 1.34x | 1.34x | 1.34x | 1.34x |
| Holders | 17 | 17 | 16 | 11 | 3 |
| Top 10 holders' share | 94.2% | 94.8% | 96.2% | 99.5% | 100% |
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
| Holder | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+60 min |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dev account | 5% · holds | 5% · holds | 5% · holds |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — | — | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 9.7% · 12 of 16 hold | 6.0% · 9 of 16 hold | 1.6% · 4 of 16 hold |
| Other early buyers | 2.0% · 4 of 4 hold | 2.4% · 6 of 7 hold | 3.5% · 5 of 10 hold |
| All early buyers (the six rows above) | 11.7% · 20 wallets | 8.4% · 23 wallets | 5.2% · 26 wallets |
| Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers) | 83.3% | 86.6% | 89.8% |
| Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets) | 94.2% | 94.8% | 99.5% |
| Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder | 94.2% · 0 merged | 94.8% · 0 merged | 99.5% · 0 merged |
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
| # | Wallet | After the launch | Spent | First sell | Net result at T+60 | Links (recorded transfers and trades) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | tyty.sendler-b.near trading bot wallet | 5 s · transaction | 0.50 NEAR | 64 s after buying · transaction | +0.05 NEAR |
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 396 of 533 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 2 | jopka.sendler-b.near trading bot wallet | 5 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | not sold | +0.09 NEAR |
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 294 of 644 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 3 | b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent sniper | 5 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 40.1 min after buying · transaction | +0.07 NEAR |
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 4 | c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 trading bot developer | 5 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 35.1 min after buying · transaction | +0.07 NEAR |
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 5 | bright-panda-28….near trading bot wallet | 5 s · transaction | 2.00 NEAR | 3.0 min after buying · transaction | +0.15 NEAR |
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 125 of 223 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 6 | wrapz-z.near independent sniper | 5 s · transaction | 3.00 NEAR | 85 s after buying · transaction | +0.23 NEAR |
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 7 | phbo.near | 9 s · transaction | 10.00 NEAR | 30.1 min after buying · transaction | -0.64 NEAR |
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 8 | p0tz.near | 26 s · transaction | 49.50 NEAR | 5.6 min after buying · transaction | +3.70 NEAR |
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 9 | adekrypt.near | 45 s · transaction | 3.00 NEAR | 20.0 min after buying · transaction | -0.0034 NEAR | none found |
| 10 | 56c9a6ef438223b….near | 50 s · transaction | 24.00 NEAR | 19.4 min after buying · transaction | +0.48 NEAR |
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 11 | ab2295f07e95ecb…8fa65 | 60 s · transaction | 45.00 NEAR | 2.4 min after buying · transaction | -5.13 NEAR |
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 12 | 07c4f546ac45df7…72216 | 3.4 min · transaction | 2.00 NEAR | not sold | -0.19 NEAR | |
| 13 | bravox3.near | 3.5 min · transaction | 0.99 NEAR | 2.3 min after buying · transaction | +0.02 NEAR | none found |
| 14 | 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 | 4.0 min · transaction | 13.00 NEAR | not sold | -0.95 NEAR | |
| 15 | warmseal3003.near | 4.1 min · transaction | 21.00 NEAR | not sold | -2.06 NEAR | none found |
| 16 | 3a5bc6ac4eca6a5…e0ede | 4.2 min · transaction | 29.88 NEAR | 116 s after buying · transaction | -3.69 NEAR | |
| 17 | 51206134269a0d4….near | 4.3 min · transaction | 10.00 NEAR | 55 s after buying · transaction | -1.03 NEAR | |
| 18 | b7fea875a454f51…24509 | 4.5 min · transaction | 9.96 NEAR | 99 s after buying · transaction | -1.52 NEAR | |
| 19 | c3f8bfd9b2668a2…95e1a | 4.5 min · transaction | 9.96 NEAR | 100 s after buying · transaction | -1.77 NEAR | |
| 20 | zachkag.near | 4.6 min · transaction | 5.00 NEAR | 43.0 min after buying · transaction | -1.03 NEAR | none found |
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.
| Time | Launchpad | Token | Risk | Outcome | Data |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 16:31 UTC | justhoot v2 | illia-3.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near | 5 Low retro | rug | history: launch only |