Passed the threshold at 2026-11-05 22:06:41 UTC, 3.3 min after the launch: CWmzDAtvPE9VH…ngM7j.
Outside buyers' net result: -32.47 NEAR · insiders' net result: +2.07 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.
buy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 33.00%
Live state not a forecast · as of 14:45 UTC
No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-08 01:04 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.
Facts now
Last trade
2026-11-08 01:04 UTC
Price now
0.97x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.39x the peak
Outside buyers in profit
8 of 16 · 50%
Last 15 min
0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min
0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour
0
Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far
Dev account
0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev
—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side
—
Early buyers in a bundle
—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group
0% · 0 of 6 hold
What these facts are
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
What happened after the launch
Metric
T+5 min
T+15 min
T+30 min
T+60 min
T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Dev's first sell after launch
3.3 min
3.3 min
3.3 min
3.3 min
3.3 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)
7
14
15
15
16
Buyers spent
62.80 NEAR
940.40 NEAR
980.40 NEAR
980.40 NEAR
980.70 NEAR
Buyers net result
-4.15 NEAR
-7.55 NEAR
-30.45 NEAR
-32.47 NEAR
-32.02 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)
1
1
1
1
1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Insiders' net result
+2.07 NEAR
+2.07 NEAR
+2.07 NEAR
+2.07 NEAR
+2.07 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer
1.19x
2.49x
2.49x
2.49x
2.49x
Holders
2
4
2
2
3
Top 10 holders' share
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far
Holder
T+5 min
T+15 min
T+60 min
Dev account
0% · holds nothing
0% · holds nothing
0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev
—
—
—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side
—
—
—
Early buyers in a bundle
—
—
—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group
1.8% · 1 of 6 hold
1.8% · 1 of 6 hold
1.8% · 1 of 6 hold
Other early buyers
2.4% · 1 of 1 hold
11.4% · 4 of 8 hold
3.4% · 2 of 9 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)
4.2% · 7 wallets
13.3% · 14 wallets
5.2% · 15 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)
95.8%
86.7%
94.8%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)
100%
100%
100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder
100% · 0 merged
100% · 0 merged
100% · 0 merged
How to read the table
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
Early buyers the first 15 wallets that bought, and what links them
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.