ironclaw.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near
Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.
Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0
No risk signal fired for this launch.
It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.
Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 39 % (817 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.
No rug. insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing; insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing by T+24 h.
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.
| Launched | 2026-10-27 10:39:59 UTC · block 221815447 · history: launch only |
|---|---|
| Transaction | 678puySS9eSJc…muFpR |
| Creator | dyolo.near explorer |
| Pool | ironclaw.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near|wrap.near|10000 |
| Dev buy | 0.00 NEAR |
No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-03 16:08 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.
| Last trade | 2026-11-03 16:08 UTC |
|---|---|
| Price now | 1.00x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.66x the peak |
| Outside buyers in profit | 9 of 34 · 26.5% |
| Last 15 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Last 60 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Buyers in the last hour | 0 |
| Dev account | 0% · 0 of 1 hold |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | <0.01% · 1 of 23 hold |
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
| Metric | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+30 min | T+60 min | T+24 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dev's first sell after launch | — | — | — | — | — |
| Buyers (other than the insiders) | 22 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 33 |
| Buyers spent | 301.69 NEAR | 445.57 NEAR | 447.06 NEAR | 447.06 NEAR | 477.94 NEAR |
| Buyers net result | +8.95 NEAR | -21.06 NEAR | -24.63 NEAR | -27.59 NEAR | -31.75 NEAR |
| Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Insiders sold (share of what they acquired) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Insiders' net result | 0.00 NEAR | 0.00 NEAR | 0.00 NEAR | 0.00 NEAR | 0.00 NEAR |
| Highest price vs first buyer | 1.52x | 1.52x | 1.52x | 1.52x | 1.52x |
| Holders | 15 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 4 |
| Top 10 holders' share | 98.0% | 97.4% | 99.5% | 100% | 100% |
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
| Holder | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+60 min |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dev account | 0% · holds nothing | 0% · holds nothing | 0% · holds nothing |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — | — | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 11.5% · 14 of 21 hold | 4.2% · 9 of 23 hold | 2.0% · 6 of 23 hold |
| Other early buyers | 0.5% · 1 of 1 hold | 2.0% · 6 of 7 hold | 0.8% · 3 of 7 hold |
| All early buyers (the six rows above) | 12.0% · 22 wallets | 6.2% · 30 wallets | 2.8% · 30 wallets |
| Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers) | 88.0% | 93.8% | 97.2% |
| Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets) | 98.0% | 97.4% | 100% |
| Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder | 98.0% · 1 merged | 97.4% · 2 merged | 100% · 1 merged |
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
| # | Wallet | After the launch | Spent | First sell | Net result at T+60 | Links (recorded transfers and trades) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent sniper | 6 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 15.1 min after buying · transaction | +0.07 NEAR |
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 734 of 1047 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 2 | c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 trading bot developer | 6 s · transaction | 8.00 NEAR | 5.0 min after buying · transaction | -1.67 NEAR |
and 9 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 3 | tyty.sendler-b.near trading bot wallet | 6 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 61 s after buying · transaction | +0.12 NEAR |
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 396 of 533 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 4 | wrapz-z.near independent sniper | 6 s · transaction | 3.00 NEAR | 5.2 min after buying · transaction | +0.35 NEAR |
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 558 of 1042 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 5 | cockis.near | 6 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | not sold | +0.0092 NEAR |
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 64 of those launches
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 6 | js1112s.near | 12 s · transaction | 40.00 NEAR | 5.0 min after buying · transaction | +4.66 NEAR |
and 10 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 7 | hooting.near | 15 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 5.1 min after buying · transaction | +0.04 NEAR |
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 8 | 5d8f34a3434e2ec…d9c57 | 32 s · transaction | 12.34 NEAR | 88 s after buying · transaction | +1.03 NEAR |
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 9 | cyber_blob.user….near | 33 s · transaction | 14.85 NEAR | 4.0 min after buying · transaction | +3.19 NEAR | |
| 10 | alola.near | 43 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | not sold | -0.09 NEAR |
and 12 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 11 | hmmmm.user.intear.near | 45 s · transaction | 29.70 NEAR | 2.8 min after buying · transaction | +5.73 NEAR |
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 9 of those launches
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 12 | phbo.near | 53 s · transaction | 10.00 NEAR | 20 s after buying · transaction | +0.35 NEAR |
group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 53 of those launches
and 10 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 13 | fuck_you_all.us….near | 63 s · transaction | 29.70 NEAR | 3.6 min after buying · transaction | -0.93 NEAR |
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 14 | hybrid.user.int….near | 69 s · transaction | 46.53 NEAR | 3.7 min after buying · transaction | -1.69 NEAR |
group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 8 of those launches
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 15 | stranger.user.i….near | 69 s · transaction | 66.33 NEAR | 8.0 min after buying · transaction | -3.11 NEAR |
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 16 | 51206134269a0d4….near | 82 s · transaction | 5.00 NEAR | 3.5 min after buying · transaction | -0.30 NEAR |
group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 5 of those launches
|
| 17 | rusty_drone.use….near | 86 s · transaction | 9.90 NEAR | 4.9 min after buying · transaction | -0.09 NEAR | |
| 18 | 5330416d2d20245…f7cb5 | 111 s · transaction | 9.90 NEAR | 4.7 min after buying · transaction | -1.32 NEAR | |
| 19 | toxic_parasite.….near | 114 s · transaction | 9.90 NEAR | 3.0 min after buying · transaction | -1.37 NEAR | |
| 20 | destruktor.near | 2.3 min · transaction | 9.00 NEAR | 48.5 min after buying · transaction | -2.81 NEAR | none found |
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.
| Time | Launchpad | Token | Risk | Outcome | Data |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 16:20 UTC | justhoot v1 | nearlyhoot-d58fc1.launchpad.justh….near | 0 Low retro | no rug | history: launch only |
| 2026-11-10 01:32 UTC | justhoot v2 | sinu-2.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near | 5 Low | no rug | live |