JADOODOO nearly.trade

jadoodoo.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 20 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

  • +20
    Trade tax 2.00% buy / 2.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 33.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 200, sell_bps 200, creator_bps 3300).
    Evidence: launch jadoodoo.nearlytr….near

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 21 % (1494 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; the price held at 47 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 224.5% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
  • Sold by: traderjadoojadoo.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-10-01 10:40:29 UTC, 988.9 min after the launch: BjfA2R7FyxqUW…G5ETD.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -30.86 NEAR · insiders' net result: +1.55 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
  • Price at T+24 h: 47% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-09-30 18:11:34 UTC · block 217949537 · history: launch only
TransactionFKXx6GCGXg6Ny…uAoVX
Creatortraderjadoojadoo.near explorer
Pooljadoodoo.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy1.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 2.00% · sell 2.00% · creator's share of the tax 33.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:45 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-16 23:07 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-10-16 23:07 UTC
Price now0.99x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.45x the peak
Outside buyers in profit16 of 38 · 42.1%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group0.4% · 1 of 18 hold
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%0%0%0%224.5%
Dev's first sell after launch————988.9 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)1331373838
Buyers spent99.54 NEAR434.70 NEAR585.11 NEAR588.57 NEAR588.57 NEAR
Buyers net result-2.46 NEAR+119.68 NEAR+10.41 NEAR-15.31 NEAR-30.86 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%0%0%0%224.5%
Insiders' net result+0.06 NEAR+0.81 NEAR+0.12 NEAR-0.15 NEAR+1.55 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.17x1.84x2.22x2.22x2.22x
Holders73014116
Top 10 holders' share100%71.7%99.0%100.0%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0.1% · holds 0.1% · holds 0.1% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 3.6% · 5 of 12 hold 18.4% · 16 of 18 hold 9.2% · 6 of 18 hold
Other early buyers 0.2% · 1 of 1 hold 7.5% · 12 of 12 hold 0.1% · 1 of 12 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)3.8% · 13 wallets25.9% · 30 wallets9.3% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)96.1%74%90.5%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%71.7%100.0%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 3 merged84.4% · 4 merged100% · 4 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 f17d0815e8d5bf4…b21f6 9 s · transaction 5.00 NEAR 54 s after buying · transaction +0.58 NEAR
pair bought within 1.8 s of d57878e9a3a7c41…03d5b · 122 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.3 s of 0d76b5633dbe9a7…31d9a · 59 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 13.3 s of db9077fc36538dd…6c79b · 55 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 334 of 709 launches (not put in a group)
2 0d76b5633dbe9a7…31d9a 10 s · transaction 5.00 NEAR 113 s after buying · transaction +0.05 NEAR
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 56 of those launches
pair bought within 1.3 s of f17d0815e8d5bf4…b21f6 · 59 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of d57878e9a3a7c41…03d5b · 36 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 12.1 s of db9077fc36538dd…6c79b · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
3 d57878e9a3a7c41…03d5b 10 s · transaction 15.00 NEAR not sold +2.69 NEAR
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 95 of those launches
pair bought within 1.8 s of f17d0815e8d5bf4…b21f6 · 122 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 11.5 s of db9077fc36538dd…6c79b · 38 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of 0d76b5633dbe9a7…31d9a · 36 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
4 db9077fc36538dd…6c79b 22 s · transaction 20.00 NEAR not sold +2.82 NEAR
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 43 of those launches
pair bought within 13.3 s of f17d0815e8d5bf4…b21f6 · 55 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 11.5 s of d57878e9a3a7c41…03d5b · 38 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 12.1 s of 0d76b5633dbe9a7…31d9a · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
5 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 26 s · transaction 18.42 NEAR 41 s after buying · transaction -0.76 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 60 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 58 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 56 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 14.9 s of alola.near · 28 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
6 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 26 s · transaction 18.42 NEAR 42 s after buying · transaction -0.51 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 63 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 60 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 58 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 14.9 s of alola.near · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
7 33319fac01abb0a…182c0 26 s · transaction 18.42 NEAR 41 s after buying · transaction -0.57 NEAR
group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 19 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
8 c28ebb8af189396…a8c13 26 s · transaction 18.42 NEAR 41 s after buying · transaction -2.35 NEAR
group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 19 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 33319fac01abb0a…182c0 · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
9 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 26 s · transaction 18.42 NEAR 41 s after buying · transaction -2.08 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 77 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 60 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 56 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 14.9 s of alola.near · 32 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
10 8033c5e8d587f59…817b7 31 s · transaction 4.95 NEAR 17.8 min after buying · transaction +4.07 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 48 of those launches
pair bought within 22.2 s of f17d0815e8d5bf4…b21f6 · 24 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 9.7 s of alola.near · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 20.4 s of d57878e9a3a7c41…03d5b · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
11 alola.near 41 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 24.3 min after buying · transaction +0.29 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches
pair bought within 14.9 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 32 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 14.9 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 14.9 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 28 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
12 truezest4223.near 56 s · transaction 20.00 NEAR 22 s after buying · transaction -2.20 NEAR
group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 3 of those launches
pair bought within 15.2 s of alola.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 30.0 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 30.0 s of 33319fac01abb0a…182c0 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
13 5d194c7b6c82ebe…2b4cc 3.5 min · transaction 2.10 NEAR 22.6 min after buying · transaction +0.33 NEAR none found
14 920b3a669f9f318…ce387 5.7 min · transaction 10.00 NEAR 23 s after buying · transaction +3.96 NEAR none found
15 locnload.near 6.5 min · transaction 8.50 NEAR 13.5 min after buying · transaction +7.03 NEAR none found
16 895cf76a92f3c92…fcc76 7.3 min · transaction 10.91 NEAR 17.8 min after buying · transaction +0.31 NEAR none found
17 kimpet77.near 7.9 min · transaction 10.00 NEAR 16.8 min after buying · transaction +6.39 NEAR
pair bought within 22.5 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
18 579b7294974b54d…30203 8.3 min · transaction 10.00 NEAR 16.6 min after buying · transaction +3.98 NEAR
pair bought within 22.5 s of kimpet77.near · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 42.9 s of 1abb937e7aebae7…3416e · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
19 87096e94dbec6b1…ce668 8.6 min · transaction 6.94 NEAR 17.7 min after buying · transaction +0.10 NEAR none found
20 nonearforyou.near 8.9 min · transaction 39.68 NEAR not sold +0.13 NEAR
group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 10 of those launches
pair bought within 4.2 s of 1abb937e7aebae7…3416e · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of traderjadoojadoo.near

TimeLaunchpadTokenRiskOutcomeData
2026-10-01 10:44 UTC nearly.trade long.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only