JUSTAI nearly.trade

justai.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 25 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

  • +20
    Trade tax 1.00% buy / 1.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 33.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 100, sell_bps 100, creator_bps 3300).
    Evidence: launch justai.nearlytrade.near
  • +5
    The name 'justai' was already used 44.3 h earlier by another creator (justai.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near).
    Evidence: launch justai.v2-launchp….near

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 41 % (800 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired by T+24 h, below the 80 % threshold.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 0% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
  • Outside buyers' net result: -24.74 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.35 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
  • Price at T+24 h: 48% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-10-28 14:55:53 UTC · block 221990822 · history: launch only
TransactionFMBgZXjH6GurG…ZQvnC
Creatorjustai.near explorer
Pooljustai.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy3.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 33.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:45 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-05 02:09 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-11-05 02:09 UTC
Price now0.99x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.41x the peak
Outside buyers in profit14 of 35 · 40%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group0% · 0 of 11 hold
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%0%0%0%0%
Dev's first sell after launch—————
Buyers (other than the insiders)915243035
Buyers spent60.03 NEAR267.03 NEAR654.94 NEAR693.33 NEAR893.32 NEAR
Buyers net result+1.09 NEAR+61.66 NEAR+247.72 NEAR+21.04 NEAR-24.74 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%0%0%0%0%
Insiders' net result+0.22 NEAR+1.63 NEAR+3.67 NEAR+1.24 NEAR+0.35 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.12x1.57x2.26x2.39x2.39x
Holders61221174
Top 10 holders' share100%99.1%83.2%96.2%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0.3% · holds 0.3% · holds 0.3% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 4.9% · 5 of 9 hold 5.0% · 5 of 9 hold 1.9% · 5 of 11 hold
Other early buyers — 14.9% · 6 of 6 hold 14.5% · 11 of 19 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)4.9% · 9 wallets19.9% · 15 wallets16.4% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)94.8%79.8%83.3%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%99.1%96.2%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 0 merged99.1% · 0 merged96.2% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 tyty.sendler-b.near trading bot wallet 3 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 60 s after buying · transaction +0.08 NEAR
pair bought within 0.7 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 307 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 249 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.7 s of wrapz-z.near · 207 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 396 of 533 launches (not put in a group)
2 c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 trading bot developer 3 s · transaction 3.00 NEAR 59.0 min after buying · transaction +0.20 NEAR
pair bought within 0.7 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.7 s of wrapz-z.near · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.7 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 251 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
3 jopka.sendler-b.near trading bot wallet 3 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 59 s after buying · transaction +0.08 NEAR
pair bought within 0.7 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 251 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 196 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 192 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 294 of 644 launches (not put in a group)
4 b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent sniper 3 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR not sold +0.41 NEAR
pair bought within 0.7 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.7 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 307 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
5 dolph.sendler-b.near trading bot wallet 3 s · transaction 0.50 NEAR 3.0 min after buying · transaction +0.03 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 196 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.7 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 179 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 141 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 212 of 335 launches (not put in a group)
6 wrapz-z.near independent sniper 3 s · transaction 3.00 NEAR 3.2 min after buying · transaction +0.16 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.7 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.7 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 207 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
7 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 4 s · transaction 21.83 NEAR 26.5 min after buying · transaction +15.97 NEAR
pair bought within 1.8 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 194 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.1 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 158 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.1 s of wrapz-z.near · 119 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
8 sneaky_jambolog….near 34 s · transaction 29.70 NEAR 26.6 min after buying · transaction +22.33 NEAR
pair bought within 30.8 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 30.8 s of wrapz-z.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 31.4 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
9 alola.near 45 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 31.6 min after buying · transaction +0.72 NEAR
pair bought within 42.1 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 42.8 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 42.1 s of wrapz-z.near · 138 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
10 js1112s.near 8.7 min · transaction 10.00 NEAR not sold +2.67 NEAR none found
11 muratt.near 8.8 min · transaction 50.00 NEAR 18.1 min after buying · transaction +31.02 NEAR none found
12 51206134269a0d4….near 10.7 min · transaction 14.00 NEAR 16.3 min after buying · transaction +3.90 NEAR none found
13 17206d092bab74f…96111 11.7 min · transaction 66.00 NEAR 34.4 min after buying · transaction +16.03 NEAR none found
14 betteralex.near 13.5 min · transaction 58.00 NEAR not sold -1.69 NEAR none found
15 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 14.3 min · transaction 35.00 NEAR not sold -6.66 NEAR none found
16 1abb937e7aebae7…3416e 16.8 min · transaction 60.00 NEAR not sold -8.17 NEAR none found
17 jdkhghgs.near 17.3 min · transaction 10.00 NEAR not sold -1.80 NEAR none found
18 klosd.near 19.9 min · transaction 60.00 NEAR 26.5 min after buying · transaction -3.05 NEAR none found
19 frigid_polar1.u….near 25.2 min · transaction 8.91 NEAR not sold -2.47 NEAR
pair bought within 27.7 s of brave-owl-21.se….near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
20 holdyourbag.near 25.7 min · transaction 65.00 NEAR 18.8 min after buying · transaction +3.18 NEAR none found
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of justai.near

None known.