In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.
+20
Trade tax 3.00% buy / 3.00% sell; after the platform's 20.00% cut the creator gets 80.00% of it (2.400% per buy, 2.400% per sell; creator_bps 10000, platform_bps 2000).
Passed the threshold at 2026-09-27 12:32:28 UTC, 4.9 min after the launch: HgRxhMorTTZcZ…7vSTm.
Outside buyers' net result: -54.03 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.60 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 54% of its peak.
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.
Launch
Launched
2026-09-27 12:27:33 UTC · block 217486019 · history: launch only
buy 3.00% · sell 3.00% · creator's share of the tax 100.00%
Live state not a forecast · as of 14:45 UTC
No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-24 15:36 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.
Facts now
Last trade
2026-10-24 15:36 UTC
Price now
0.98x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.29x the peak
Outside buyers in profit
18 of 90 · 20%
Last 15 min
0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min
0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour
0
Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far
Dev account
0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev
—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side
—
Early buyers in a bundle
—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group
0% · 0 of 2 hold
What these facts are
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
What happened after the launch
Metric
T+5 min
T+15 min
T+30 min
T+60 min
T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Dev's first sell after launch
4.9 min
4.9 min
4.9 min
4.9 min
4.9 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)
5
28
47
71
87
Buyers spent
193.74 NEAR
637.80 NEAR
1,069.26 NEAR
1,677.64 NEAR
2,490.07 NEAR
Buyers net result
+24.54 NEAR
+223.31 NEAR
+126.92 NEAR
+385.23 NEAR
-54.03 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)
1
1
1
1
1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Insiders' net result
+0.60 NEAR
+0.60 NEAR
+0.60 NEAR
+0.60 NEAR
+0.60 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer
1.35x
2.53x
2.53x
3.38x
3.38x
Holders
6
26
25
45
24
Top 10 holders' share
100%
72.1%
74.3%
57.7%
92.3%
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far
Holder
T+5 min
T+15 min
T+60 min
Dev account
0% · holds nothing
0% · holds nothing
0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev
—
—
—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side
—
—
—
Early buyers in a bundle
—
—
—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group
8.8% · 1 of 1 hold
10.8% · 2 of 2 hold
0% · 0 of 2 hold
Other early buyers
6.5% · 4 of 4 hold
21.4% · 23 of 26 hold
9.8% · 11 of 28 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)
15.3% · 5 wallets
32.2% · 28 wallets
9.8% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)
84.7%
67.8%
90.2%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)
100%
72.1%
57.7%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder
100% · 0 merged
72.1% · 0 merged
57.7% · 0 merged
How to read the table
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.