LEGEND nearly.trade

legend.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 20 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

+20
Trade tax 2.00% buy / 2.00% sell; after the platform's 40.00% cut the creator gets 60.00% of it (1.200% per buy, 1.200% per sell; creator_bps 10000, platform_bps 4000).
Evidence: launch legend.nearlytrade.near

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 34 % (718 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing; insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing by T+24 h.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold — of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Outside buyers' net result: -1.18 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.00 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 95% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-10-23 08:05:19 UTC · block 221211713 · history: launch only
Transaction	G8H4B37KNLB86…m55uW
Creator	aallex.near explorer
Pool	legend.nearlytrade.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	0.00 NEAR
Tax options	buy 2.00% · sell 2.00% · creator's share of the tax 100.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:45 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-23 08:40 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-10-23 08:40 UTC
Price now	0.98x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.94x the peak
Outside buyers in profit	0 of 10 · 0%
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account	0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	0% · 0 of 9 hold

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	—	—	—
Buyers (other than the insiders)	10	10	10	10	10
Buyers spent	20.40 NEAR	20.40 NEAR	20.40 NEAR	20.40 NEAR	20.40 NEAR
Buyers net result	-1.06 NEAR	-1.12 NEAR	-1.12 NEAR	-1.18 NEAR	-1.18 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Insiders' net result	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.04x	1.04x	1.04x	1.04x	1.04x
Holders	3	2	2	0	0
Top 10 holders' share	100%	100%	100%	—	—

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	0.4% · 3 of 9 hold	0.3% · 2 of 9 hold	0% · 0 of 9 hold
Other early buyers	0% · 0 of 1 hold	0% · 0 of 1 hold	0% · 0 of 1 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	0.4% · 10 wallets	0.3% · 10 wallets	0% · 10 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	99.6%	99.7%	100%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	100%	100%	—
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	100% · 0 merged	100% · 0 merged	—

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 10 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	wrapz-z.near independent_sniper	3 s · transaction	2.00 NEAR	109 s after buying · transaction	-0.06 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 207 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
2	jopka.sendler-b.near bot_wallet	3 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	3.0 min after buying · transaction	-0.04 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 251 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 192 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 189 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 294 of 644 launches (not put in a group)
3	b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper	3 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	3.1 min after buying · transaction	-0.04 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 307 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
4	bright-panda-28….near bot_wallet	3 s · transaction	2.00 NEAR	60 s after buying · transaction	-0.06 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 110 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 90 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 85 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 125 of 223 launches (not put in a group)
5	c8bde0e9209ac73…01899	3 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	5.1 min after buying · transaction	-0.06 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 251 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
6	tyty.sendler-b.near bot_wallet	3 s · transaction	0.50 NEAR	65 s after buying · transaction	-0.02 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 307 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 249 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 207 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 396 of 533 launches (not put in a group)
7	onlyrekt.near	6 s · transaction	2.00 NEAR	35.0 min after buying · transaction	-0.14 NEAR	pair bought within 2.8 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 118 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 2.8 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 2.8 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 90 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 123 of 395 launches (not put in a group)
8	fastest.user.in….near	20 s · transaction	8.91 NEAR	2.9 min after buying · transaction	-0.60 NEAR	pair bought within 17.2 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 17.2 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 17.2 s of wrapz-z.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
9	magnetic_overlo….near	22 s · transaction	0.99 NEAR	70 s after buying · transaction	-0.06 NEAR	none found
10	alola.near	29 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	30.1 min after buying · transaction	-0.09 NEAR	pair bought within 25.4 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 25.4 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 25.4 s of wrapz-z.near · 138 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of aallex.near

None known.