MONKE nearly.trade

monke.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 20 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

  • +20
    Trade tax 1.00% buy / 1.00% sell; after the platform's 30.00% cut the creator gets 35.00% of it (0.350% per buy, 0.350% per sell; creator_bps 5000, platform_bps 3000).
    Evidence: launch monke.nearlytrade.near

The largest funder's (c4edb0d6d5f88dc27195b42badb33137061f0290aa45bc6b63d7d5b181c258a4) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 22 % (827 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 8.17 NEAR.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 103.6% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
  • Sold by: trustmememe.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-10-16 17:59:39 UTC, 118 s after the launch: 7qtL2qrEFrJmU…UaedY.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -8.17 NEAR · insiders' net result: +2.51 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-10-16 17:57:42 UTC · block 220255794 · history: launch only
Transaction7tpmd9bWdRzYJ…nckKU
Creatortrustmememe.near explorer
Poolmonke.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy25.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 50.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:46 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-17 12:45 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-10-17 12:45 UTC
Price now0.94x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.72x the peak
Outside buyers in profit3 of 13 · 23.1%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group0% · 0 of 11 hold
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)100%100%103.6%103.6%103.6%
Dev's first sell after launch118 s118 s118 s118 s118 s
Buyers (other than the insiders)1212121213
Buyers spent160.60 NEAR160.60 NEAR160.60 NEAR160.60 NEAR165.55 NEAR
Buyers net result-7.07 NEAR-8.16 NEAR-8.17 NEAR-8.17 NEAR-8.22 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)100%100%103.6%103.6%103.6%
Insiders' net result+1.65 NEAR+1.65 NEAR+2.51 NEAR+2.51 NEAR+2.51 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.31x1.31x1.31x1.31x1.31x
Holders51433
Top 10 holders' share100%100%100%100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0% · holds nothing 0% · holds nothing 0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 2.1% · 4 of 11 hold 0.1% · 1 of 11 hold 0% · 0 of 11 hold
Other early buyers 0.2% · 1 of 1 hold 0% · 0 of 1 hold 0% · 0 of 1 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)2.4% · 12 wallets0.1% · 12 wallets0% · 12 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)97.7%99.9%100%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 1 merged100% · 1 merged100% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 12 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper 4 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 10.1 min after buying · transaction -0.04 NEAR
pair bought within 1.1 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 32.3 s of alola.near · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.1 s of 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 · 158 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
2 sickvilla1308.near 4 s · transaction 5.00 NEAR 74 s after buying · transaction +0.94 NEAR
group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 6 of those launches
pair bought within 0.6 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 53 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 13.2 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 21.0 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
3 c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 5 s · transaction 2.00 NEAR 10.0 min after buying · transaction -0.10 NEAR
pair bought within 1.1 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 12.6 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 254 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 · 194 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
4 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 5 s · transaction 19.85 NEAR 11.1 min after buying · transaction -1.78 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 194 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.1 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 158 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 12.6 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 70 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
5 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b 17 s · transaction 2.50 NEAR 2.5 min after buying · transaction -0.17 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 212 of those launches
pair bought within 12.6 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 254 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 13.7 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 142 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 18.6 s of alola.near · 103 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
6 pramsndut.near 24 s · transaction 34.65 NEAR 70 s after buying · transaction +0.26 NEAR
group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 8 of those launches
pair bought within 19.2 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 16 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 6.5 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 12.1 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
7 d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 25 s · transaction 30.00 NEAR 2.2 min after buying · transaction -4.29 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 194 of those launches
pair bought within 10.8 s of alola.near · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 20.4 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 107 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 7.8 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 73 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
8 56c9a6ef438223b….near 27 s · transaction 24.00 NEAR 20 s after buying · transaction +0.60 NEAR
pair bought within 21.7 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 79 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 22.8 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 64 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 9.5 s of alola.near · 56 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
9 p0tz.near 27 s · transaction 29.70 NEAR 60 s after buying · transaction -2.51 NEAR
pair bought within 22.3 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 9.0 s of alola.near · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 9.6 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
10 alola.near 36 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 30.2 min after buying · transaction -0.30 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches
pair bought within 31.3 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 32.3 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 10.8 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
11 e8a162641a55288…58210 36 s · transaction 8.00 NEAR 36 s after buying · transaction -0.62 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 145 of those launches
pair bought within 31.3 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 100 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 18.6 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 68 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of alola.near · 55 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
12 bojes_saheng.tg 2.9 min · transaction 2.90 NEAR 4.3 min after buying · transaction -0.17 NEAR none found
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of trustmememe.near

TimeLaunchpadTokenRiskOutcomeData
2026-10-16 17:53 UTC justhoot v1 optiroad-d18592.launchpad.justhoot.near 0 Low retro undefined history: launch only
2026-10-16 18:04 UTC nearly.trade monke-2.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-10-16 18:06 UTC justhoot v1 monke-89a2d9.launchpad.justhoot.near 0 Low retro undefined history: launch only
2026-10-16 18:18 UTC nearly.trade trolley.nearlytrade.near 60 High retro rug history: launch only