N666 nearly.trade

n666-2.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 25 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

+20
Trade tax 2.00% buy / 2.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 33.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 200, sell_bps 200, creator_bps 3300).
Evidence: launch n666-2.nearlytrade.near
+5
The name 'n666' was already used 17.1 h earlier by another creator (n666.nearlytrade.near).
Evidence: launch n666.nearlytrade.near

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 21 % (1631 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing; the price held at 96 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold — of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Sold by: ashrimp.near (dev).
Outside buyers' net result: -0.61 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.04 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 96% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-10-01 05:53:23 UTC · block 218020980 · history: launch only
Transaction	9Tr4ZMuk8akuP…nASoN
Creator	ashrimp.near explorer
Pool	n666-2.nearlytrade.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	0.00 NEAR
Tax options	buy 2.00% · sell 2.00% · creator's share of the tax 33.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:46 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-01 22:13 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-10-01 22:13 UTC
Price now	1.07x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.96x the peak
Outside buyers in profit	3 of 6 · 50%
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account	0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	<0.01% · 1 of 5 hold

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	—	—	313.4 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)	3	6	6	6	6
Buyers spent	10.01 NEAR	65.02 NEAR	65.02 NEAR	65.02 NEAR	65.02 NEAR
Buyers net result	-0.47 NEAR	+1.81 NEAR	+0.64 NEAR	+0.20 NEAR	-0.61 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Insiders' net result	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	+0.04 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.01x	1.11x	1.11x	1.11x	1.11x
Holders	2	5	5	5	2
Top 10 holders' share	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	0.5% · 2 of 3 hold	0.9% · 4 of 5 hold	0.5% · 3 of 5 hold
Other early buyers	—	4.5% · 1 of 1 hold	4.5% · 1 of 1 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	0.5% · 3 wallets	5.4% · 6 wallets	4.9% · 6 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	99.5%	94.6%	95.1%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	100%	100%	100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	100% · 1 merged	100% · 1 merged	100% · 1 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 6 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	f17d0815e8d5bf4…b21f6	10 s · transaction	5.00 NEAR	3.2 min after buying · transaction	-0.25 NEAR	pair bought within 0.6 s of 0d76b5633dbe9a7…31d9a · 59 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 3.0 s of 6a701f7eb1c3f78…07b54 · 51 launches together · their buy · evidence early buyer in 334 of 709 launches (not put in a group)
2	0d76b5633dbe9a7…31d9a	10 s · transaction	5.00 NEAR	48.8 min after buying · transaction	+0.16 NEAR	group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 56 of those launches pair bought within 0.6 s of f17d0815e8d5bf4…b21f6 · 59 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 2.4 s of 6a701f7eb1c3f78…07b54 · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence
3	6a701f7eb1c3f78…07b54	13 s · transaction	0.01 NEAR	not sold	+0.0005 NEAR	group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 45 of those launches pair bought within 3.0 s of f17d0815e8d5bf4…b21f6 · 51 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 2.4 s of 0d76b5633dbe9a7…31d9a · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence
4	5d194c7b6c82ebe…2b4cc	5.1 min · transaction	4.18 NEAR	not sold	+0.03 NEAR	pair bought within 5.3 s of 6b62f94f8facdfa…09bdc · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
5	6b62f94f8facdfa…09bdc	5.2 min · transaction	0.83 NEAR	not sold	+0.04 NEAR	pair bought within 5.3 s of 5d194c7b6c82ebe…2b4cc · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
6	92bafa4a451e4aa…384c9	5.6 min · transaction	50.00 NEAR	not sold	+0.21 NEAR	none found

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of ashrimp.near

Time	Launchpad	Token	Risk	Outcome	Data
2026-09-27 20:50 UTC	nearly.trade	bninu-3.nearlytrade.near	25 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-09-30 20:44 UTC	nearly.trade	pilot.nearlytrade.near	20 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-01 08:18 UTC	nearly.trade	up-4.nearlytrade.near	20 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-01 11:15 UTC	nearly.trade	jadoodoo-2.nearlytrade.near	25 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-02 09:45 UTC	nearly.trade	lisa.nearlytrade.near	20 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-04 22:09 UTC	nearly.trade	fat.nearlytrade.near	20 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only