NCAT nearly.trade

ncat-19.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 25 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

  • +20
    Trade tax 1.00% buy / 1.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 70.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 100, sell_bps 100, creator_bps 7000).
    Evidence: launch ncat-19.nearlytrade.near
  • +5
    The name 'ncat' was already used 3.5 h earlier by another creator (ncat-18.nearlytrade.near).
    Evidence: launch ncat-18.nearlytrade.near

The largest funder's (601483a1b22699b636f1df800b9b709466eba4e1d5ce7c2e1e20317af8bbd1f3) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 16 % (1116 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; the price held at 77 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 132.6% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
  • Sold by: sun90.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-09-30 08:42:41 UTC, 1019.8 min after the launch: 3WVyEDU8wKyTH…Nnija.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -4.95 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.66 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
  • Price at T+24 h: 77% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-09-29 15:42:55 UTC · block 217796342 · history: launch only
Transaction5BBDaVQezX9Mu…LJeTk
Creatorsun90.near explorer
Poolncat-19.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy1.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 70.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:46 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade2026-09-30 08:42 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0 · no trade seen in our live data
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%0%0%0%132.6%
Dev's first sell after launch————1019.8 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)1313131313
Buyers spent137.29 NEAR137.29 NEAR137.29 NEAR137.29 NEAR137.29 NEAR
Buyers net result-4.95 NEAR-4.95 NEAR-4.95 NEAR-4.95 NEAR-4.95 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%0%0%0%132.6%
Insiders' net result-0.02 NEAR-0.02 NEAR-0.02 NEAR-0.02 NEAR+0.66 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.20x1.20x1.20x1.20x1.20x
Holders22243
Top 10 holders' share100%100%100%100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0.1% · holds 0.1% · holds 0.2% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 0% · 0 of 13 hold 0% · 0 of 13 hold 0% · 0 of 13 hold
Other early buyers — — —
All early buyers (the six rows above)0% · 13 wallets0% · 13 wallets0% · 13 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)99.9%99.9%99.8%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 13 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 00867ad7c43fe5a…cdd9c 38 s · transaction 59.40 NEAR 96 s after buying · transaction -1.93 NEAR
pair bought within 11.7 s of sessssssssss.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 6.4 s of 3347dd8076331ad…52407 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 9.9 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
2 8033c5e8d587f59…817b7 39 s · transaction 1.98 NEAR 64 s after buying · transaction +0.16 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 48 of those launches
pair bought within 5.3 s of 3347dd8076331ad…52407 · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 10.6 s of sessssssssss.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 8.8 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
3 3347dd8076331ad…52407 44 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 94 s after buying · transaction -0.14 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 55 of those launches
pair bought within 5.2 s of sessssssssss.near · 16 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 5.3 s of 8033c5e8d587f59…817b7 · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 3.5 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
4 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 48 s · transaction 7.99 NEAR 66 s after buying · transaction -0.03 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 63 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 60 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 58 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of b532e63ee0e12ec…78cd1 · 39 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 9 more pairs · all pairs
5 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 48 s · transaction 7.99 NEAR 66 s after buying · transaction -0.26 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 60 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 58 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 56 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 6cac4e44915931a…b5879 · 38 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
6 b532e63ee0e12ec…78cd1 48 s · transaction 7.99 NEAR 71 s after buying · transaction -0.47 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 39 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 38 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 35 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 9 more pairs · all pairs
7 6cac4e44915931a…b5879 48 s · transaction 7.99 NEAR 66 s after buying · transaction -0.15 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 43 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 38 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 38 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 9 more pairs · all pairs
8 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 48 s · transaction 7.99 NEAR 66 s after buying · transaction -0.37 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 77 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 60 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 56 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of 6cac4e44915931a…b5879 · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 9 more pairs · all pairs
9 sessssssssss.near 50 s · transaction 5.00 NEAR 60 s after buying · transaction -0.04 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 66 of those launches
pair bought within 5.2 s of 3347dd8076331ad…52407 · 16 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 21.6 s of 920b3a669f9f318…ce387 · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.8 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 10 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 9 more pairs · all pairs
10 darknes.near 56 s · transaction 10.00 NEAR 54 s after buying · transaction -0.34 NEAR
pair bought within 11.4 s of 3347dd8076331ad…52407 · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 7.9 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 7.9 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
11 cead6cd7da2a01a…5f486 64 s · transaction 4.95 NEAR 65 s after buying · transaction -0.64 NEAR
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 12 of those launches
pair bought within 16.4 s of 03712631d52c0ad…1b110 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 16.4 s of 3f39dba00ad8c19…e3735 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 16.4 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
12 920b3a669f9f318…ce387 71 s · transaction 5.00 NEAR 40 s after buying · transaction -0.33 NEAR
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 15 of those launches
pair bought within 21.6 s of sessssssssss.near · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 26.8 s of 3347dd8076331ad…52407 · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 32.2 s of 8033c5e8d587f59…817b7 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
13 teend.near 72 s · transaction 10.00 NEAR 28 s after buying · transaction -0.39 NEAR
pair bought within 22.9 s of sessssssssss.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 24.7 s of b532e63ee0e12ec…78cd1 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 16.8 s of darknes.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of sun90.near

TimeLaunchpadTokenRiskOutcomeData
2026-09-29 16:42 UTC nearly.trade nmusk.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-29 16:56 UTC nearly.trade cats-2.nearlytrade.near 25 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-29 17:08 UTC nearly.trade bcats.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-29 17:19 UTC nearly.trade ncat-21.nearlytrade.near 25 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-29 17:28 UTC nearly.trade ncat-22.nearlytrade.near 25 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-29 17:43 UTC nearly.trade ndog-6.nearlytrade.near 55 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-29 17:52 UTC nearly.trade girl.nearlytrade.near 50 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-29 18:07 UTC nearly.trade ncat-24.nearlytrade.near 75 High retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-29 20:33 UTC nearly.trade cate.nearlytrade.near 70 High retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-29 20:58 UTC nearly.trade hoot-13.nearlytrade.near 75 High retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-29 21:15 UTC nearly.trade hoot-14.nearlytrade.near 75 High retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-29 21:28 UTC nearly.trade nai-6.nearlytrade.near 75 High retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 07:17 UTC nearly.trade nhoot.nearlytrade.near 70 High retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 07:34 UTC nearly.trade kitties.nearlytrade.near 70 High retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 07:50 UTC nearly.trade bcat.nearlytrade.near 70 High retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 08:58 UTC nearly.trade hi.nearlytrade.near 70 High retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 09:13 UTC nearly.trade wcat.nearlytrade.near 70 High retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 11:50 UTC nearly.trade ncats.nearlytrade.near 70 High retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 12:13 UTC nearly.trade nai-7.nearlytrade.near 75 High retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 12:48 UTC nearly.trade n666.nearlytrade.near 70 High retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 13:34 UTC nearly.trade wwc.nearlytrade.near 70 High retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 13:49 UTC nearly.trade nguy.nearlytrade.near 70 High retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 15:58 UTC nearly.trade nmusk-2.nearlytrade.near 70 High retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 17:18 UTC nearly.trade dolla.nearlytrade.near 70 High retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 18:14 UTC nearly.trade nkat-3.nearlytrade.near 55 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 18:39 UTC nearly.trade loaf.nearlytrade.near 50 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 20:39 UTC nearly.trade pinu.nearlytrade.near 50 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 21:06 UTC nearly.trade bcat-2.nearlytrade.near 50 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-01 09:15 UTC nearly.trade njl.nearlytrade.near 50 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-01 11:51 UTC nearly.trade nbonk-2.nearlytrade.near 55 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-02 12:14 UTC nearly.trade kdog.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-04 14:15 UTC nearly.trade hcat-3.nearlytrade.near 25 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-13 20:13 UTC nearly.trade wax.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro rug history: launch only