near6-5aac3c.launchpad.….near justhoot v1

near6-5aac3c.launchpad.justhoot.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

No risk signal fired for this launch.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 23 % (1590 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 14.99 NEAR.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 181.4% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
  • Sold by: e8a162641a55288eed941…58210 (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-10-13 12:54:58 UTC, 30.0 min after the launch: BGy16LRo7u5y2…X8ore.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -14.99 NEAR · insiders' net result: +9.41 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-10-13 12:24:56 UTC · block 219816292 · history: launch only
Transaction97MzFnQ7yp4wR…QYBMa
Creatore8a162641a55288eed9413f36ac8c19376fd09bbbffa74be53d507b26a058210 explorer
Poolnear6-5aac3c.launchpad.justhoot.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy10.35 NEAR

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:46 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade2026-10-13 15:54 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0 · no trade seen in our live data
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%0%0%181.4%181.4%
Dev's first sell after launch———30.0 min30.0 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)1920202121
Buyers spent237.76 NEAR303.50 NEAR303.50 NEAR304.50 NEAR304.50 NEAR
Buyers net result+5.72 NEAR-14.16 NEAR-14.24 NEAR-14.99 NEAR-15.01 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%0%0%181.4%181.4%
Insiders' net result+2.34 NEAR-0.83 NEAR-0.94 NEAR+9.41 NEAR+9.41 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.49x1.49x1.49x1.49x1.49x
Holders124311
Top 10 holders' share98.5%100%100%100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0.9% · holds 1.2% · holds 0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 5.3% · 7 of 14 hold 0.2% · 2 of 14 hold 0% · 0 of 14 hold
Other early buyers 4.3% · 5 of 5 hold 0.4% · 1 of 6 hold 0.1% · 1 of 7 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)9.6% · 19 wallets0.6% · 20 wallets0.1% · 21 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)89.5%98.1%99.9%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)98.5%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 3 merged100% · 1 merged100% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 trading bot developer 4 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 5.0 min after buying · transaction +0.13 NEAR
pair bought within 12.0 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 254 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 41.8 s of alola.near · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 29.5 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 107 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
2 hooting.near 14 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 4.6 min after buying · transaction +0.25 NEAR
pair bought within 10.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 97 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.0 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 42 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 31.8 s of alola.near · 22 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
3 56c9a6ef438223b….near 14 s · transaction 20.00 NEAR 4.8 min after buying · transaction +2.17 NEAR
group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 21 of those launches
pair bought within 10.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 79 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 31.8 s of alola.near · 56 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 19.4 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 36 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
4 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b 16 s · transaction 1.50 NEAR 15.2 min after buying · transaction -0.09 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 212 of those launches
pair bought within 12.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 254 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 29.8 s of alola.near · 103 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 17.4 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 73 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
5 kulesh_off.user….near 21 s · transaction 22.77 NEAR 4.2 min after buying · transaction +1.93 NEAR
pair bought within 25.3 s of alola.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 16.5 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 4.5 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
6 js1112s.near 32 s · transaction 10.00 NEAR 4.2 min after buying · transaction +1.86 NEAR
group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 24 of those launches
pair bought within 27.6 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 47 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 14.2 s of alola.near · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 15.6 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
7 d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 34 s · transaction 10.25 NEAR 6.0 min after buying · transaction +0.41 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 194 of those launches
pair bought within 12.4 s of alola.near · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 29.5 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 107 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 17.4 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 73 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
8 177d0dba946d26e….near 36 s · transaction 5.00 NEAR 3.0 min after buying · transaction +1.24 NEAR
pair bought within 19.1 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.7 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 10.7 s of alola.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
9 rekttin.near 40 s · transaction 60.00 NEAR 4.0 min after buying · transaction +0.06 NEAR
pair bought within 5.8 s of alola.near · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 6.6 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 36.1 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
10 alola.near 46 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 30.2 min after buying · transaction -0.20 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches
pair bought within 41.8 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 12.4 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 29.8 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 103 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
11 4f6d6da2b2dd46d…97d2f 86 s · transaction 19.80 NEAR 3.8 min after buying · transaction -1.63 NEAR
pair bought within 40.2 s of alola.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 54.4 s of js1112s.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 44.5 s of warmcatt.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
12 rangishere.user….near 92 s · transaction 5.94 NEAR 36.5 min after buying · transaction -1.65 NEAR none found
13 hybrid.user.int….near 95 s · transaction 45.54 NEAR 3.3 min after buying · transaction -2.46 NEAR
pair bought within 48.3 s of alola.near · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 40.5 s of rusty_drone.use….near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 54.1 s of rekttin.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
14 warmcatt.near 2.2 min · transaction 5.00 NEAR 91 s after buying · transaction +0.24 NEAR
group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 5 of those launches
pair bought within 54.3 s of km686.tg · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 44.5 s of 4f6d6da2b2dd46d…97d2f · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
15 rusty_drone.use….near 2.2 min · transaction 9.90 NEAR 6.4 min after buying · transaction -2.13 NEAR
pair bought within 40.5 s of hybrid.user.int….near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
16 tuyulz.near 2.5 min · transaction 9.90 NEAR 2.5 min after buying · transaction -1.42 NEAR none found
17 fucktrench.near 2.9 min · transaction 30.00 NEAR 3.6 min after buying · transaction -5.03 NEAR none found
18 km686.tg 3.1 min · transaction 25.00 NEAR 5.0 min after buying · transaction -4.43 NEAR
group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 8 of those launches
pair bought within 54.3 s of warmcatt.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
19 jacobfx.near 3.6 min · transaction 10.00 NEAR 5.3 min after buying · transaction -3.26 NEAR none found
20 softdove3960.near 7.0 min · transaction 9.90 NEAR 84 s after buying · transaction -0.90 NEAR none found
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of e8a162641a55288eed941…58210

TimeLaunchpadTokenRiskOutcomeData
2026-10-18 08:42 UTC justhoot v1 hoot-61d17c.launchpad.justhoot.near 40 Elevated retro rug history: launch only
2026-10-31 16:24 UTC nearly.trade panda-2.nearlytrade.near 85 High retro no rug live
2026-10-31 16:28 UTC justhoot v2 panda.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near 65 High retro no rug live
2026-10-31 16:35 UTC justhoot v2 mon.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near 60 High retro no rug live
2026-10-31 16:45 UTC nearly.trade monk-2.nearlytrade.near 80 High retro no rug live
2026-10-31 16:47 UTC justhoot v2 hhhhhh.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near 60 High retro no rug live
2026-10-31 17:22 UTC nearly.trade hdhd.nearlytrade.near 80 High retro no rug live
2026-10-31 17:26 UTC justhoot v2 boring.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near 60 High retro no rug live
2026-11-01 04:21 UTC justhoot v2 by.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near 60 High retro no rug live
2026-11-01 11:39 UTC nearly.trade hou.nearlytrade.near 60 High retro rug live