Trade tax 1.00% buy / 1.00% sell; after the platform's 40.00% cut the creator gets 60.00% of it (0.600% per buy, 0.600% per sell; creator_bps 10000, platform_bps 4000).
Received 1.70 NEAR 318.6 h before the launch from 0419b17aa5dc9407cc3c81fc57ef989c91b611b42712d1a88974eda7427e9fc9, whose earlier launch hoot-61d17c.launchpad.justhoot.near (made by e8a162641a55288eed9413f36ac8c19376fd09bbbffa74be53d507b26a058210, linked to him) ended as a rug.
It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.
Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 44 % (720 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.
Outcome rug within 24 h
No rug.no outside buyers; no outside buyers.
Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold — of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Outside buyers' net result: +0.00 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.00 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.
buy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 100.00%
Live state not a forecast · as of 14:45 UTC
No trading · nothing has traded yet. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.
Facts now
Last trade
—
Price now
no outside buyer yet
Outside buyers in profit
0 of 0
Last 15 min
0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min
0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour
0
Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far
Dev account
0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev
—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side
—
Early buyers in a bundle
—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group
—
What these facts are
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
What happened after the launch
Metric
T+5 min
T+15 min
T+30 min
T+60 min
T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)
—
—
—
—
—
Dev's first sell after launch
—
—
—
—
—
Buyers (other than the insiders)
0
0
0
0
0
Buyers spent
0.00 NEAR
0.00 NEAR
0.00 NEAR
0.00 NEAR
0.00 NEAR
Buyers net result
0.00 NEAR
0.00 NEAR
0.00 NEAR
0.00 NEAR
0.00 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)
1
1
1
1
1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)
—
—
—
—
—
Insiders' net result
0.00 NEAR
0.00 NEAR
0.00 NEAR
0.00 NEAR
0.00 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer
—
—
—
—
—
Holders
0
0
0
0
0
Top 10 holders' share
—
—
—
—
—
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far
Holder
T+5 min
T+15 min
T+60 min
Dev account
0% · holds nothing
0% · holds nothing
0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev
—
—
—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side
—
—
—
Early buyers in a bundle
—
—
—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group
—
—
—
Other early buyers
—
—
—
All early buyers (the six rows above)
0% · 0 wallets
0% · 0 wallets
0% · 0 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)
100%
100%
100%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)
—
—
—
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder
—
—
—
How to read the table
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.