nearseazon.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near
Risk score: Low 25 / 100 issued 2026-11-05 22:49 UTC · config v0-default-1 · rules v0.1
v0 — weights are provisional; calibration in progress. Computed from what was known at launch time and frozen: it never changes. How it works.
Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 41 % (471 launches) (as of the card's issue time, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.
Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 2.17 NEAR.
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.
| Launched | 2026-11-05 22:49:51 UTC · block 223230666 · live |
|---|---|
| Transaction | GXJUwbvBCYDw2…mHtMe |
| Creator | itashidev.near explorer |
| Pool | nearseazon.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near|wrap.near|10000 |
| Dev buy | 72.48 NEAR |
No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-06 00:22 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.
| Last trade | 2026-11-06 00:22 UTC |
|---|---|
| Price now | 0.87x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.60x the peak |
| Outside buyers in profit | 3 of 13 · 23.1% |
| Last 15 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Last 60 min | 0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR) |
| Buyers in the last hour | 0 |
| Dev account | 0% · 0 of 1 hold |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 0% · 0 of 10 hold |
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
| Metric | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+30 min | T+60 min | T+24 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired) | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Dev's first sell after launch | — | 6.0 min | 6.0 min | 6.0 min | 6.0 min |
| Buyers (other than the insiders) | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| Buyers spent | 280.49 NEAR | 280.49 NEAR | 285.44 NEAR | 285.44 NEAR | 285.44 NEAR |
| Buyers net result | +43.57 NEAR | -2.08 NEAR | -2.17 NEAR | -2.17 NEAR | -2.18 NEAR |
| Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Insiders sold (share of what they acquired) | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Insiders' net result | +128.90 NEAR | +67.87 NEAR | +67.87 NEAR | +67.87 NEAR | +67.87 NEAR |
| Highest price vs first buyer | 1.45x | 1.45x | 1.45x | 1.45x | 1.45x |
| Holders | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Top 10 holders' share | 99.6% | 100% | 100% | 100% | — |
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
| Holder | T+5 min | T+15 min | T+60 min |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dev account | 8.5% · holds | 0% · holds nothing | 0% · holds nothing |
| Wallets that got tokens from the dev | — | — | — |
| Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a bundle | — | — | — |
| Early buyers in a pair or a trader group | 11.6% · 10 of 10 hold | 0.1% · 1 of 10 hold | 0.1% · 1 of 10 hold |
| Other early buyers | 0.1% · 1 of 2 hold | 0% · 0 of 2 hold | 0% · 0 of 3 hold |
| All early buyers (the six rows above) | 11.6% · 12 wallets | 0.1% · 12 wallets | 0.1% · 13 wallets |
| Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers) | 79.8% | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets) | 99.6% | 100% | 100% |
| Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder | 99.6% · 0 merged | 100% · 0 merged | 100% · 0 merged |
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
| # | Wallet | After the launch | Spent | First sell | Net result at T+60 | Links (recorded transfers and trades) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dolph.sendler-b.near trading bot wallet | 8 s · transaction | 0.50 NEAR | 5.9 min after buying · transaction | -0.05 NEAR |
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 212 of 335 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 2 | jopka.sendler-b.near trading bot wallet | 8 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 5.8 min after buying · transaction | +0.09 NEAR |
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 294 of 644 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 3 | wrapz-z.near independent sniper | 8 s · transaction | 5.00 NEAR | 5.8 min after buying · transaction | +0.43 NEAR |
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 558 of 1042 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 4 | b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent sniper | 11 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 5.9 min after buying · transaction | -0.11 NEAR |
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 734 of 1047 launches (not put in a group)
|
| 5 | 56c9a6ef438223b….near | 18 s · transaction | 154.00 NEAR | 5.3 min after buying · transaction | -0.65 NEAR |
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
|
| 6 | quick-rider-483….near | 67 s · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | 5.4 min after buying · transaction | -0.19 NEAR | |
| 7 | frozen_sentinel….near | 106 s · transaction | 0.99 NEAR | 4.7 min after buying · transaction | -0.19 NEAR | none found |
| 8 | alola.near | 2.1 min · transaction | 1.00 NEAR | not sold | -0.24 NEAR | |
| 9 | ba0f0d4ae4338b9…b33c8 | 2.5 min · transaction | 6.20 NEAR | 7.8 min after buying · transaction | -1.53 NEAR | |
| 10 | jack_spar-row.near | 2.7 min · transaction | 50.00 NEAR | 71 s after buying · transaction | +10.02 NEAR | none found |
| 11 | phbo.near | 2.8 min · transaction | 10.00 NEAR | 3.3 min after buying · transaction | -2.93 NEAR | |
| 12 | rekttin.near | 2.8 min · transaction | 49.80 NEAR | 3.0 min after buying · transaction | -6.73 NEAR | |
| 13 | hybrid.user.int….near | 22.3 min · transaction | 4.95 NEAR | 36 s after buying · transaction | -0.10 NEAR | none found |
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.
| Time | Launchpad | Token | Risk | Outcome | Data |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 16:48 UTC | justhoot v2 | believe.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near | 35 Elevated | rug | live |