NENU nearly.trade

nenu.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 20 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

+20
Trade tax 2.00% buy / 2.00% sell; after the platform's 20.00% cut the creator gets 80.00% of it (1.600% per buy, 1.600% per sell; creator_bps 10000, platform_bps 2000).
Evidence: launch nenu.nearlytrade.near

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 8 % (852 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 35.92 NEAR.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
Sold by: neartificial.near (dev).
Passed the threshold at 2026-09-29 09:29:15 UTC, 16.9 min after the launch: 6cJWn7xC7Ekwr…z6nKr.
Outside buyers' net result: -35.92 NEAR · insiders' net result: +15.37 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-09-29 09:12:22 UTC · block 217757365 · history: launch only
Transaction	2s3VrBycfRT3F…NULRH
Creator	neartificial.near explorer
Pool	nenu.nearlytrade.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	41.00 NEAR
Tax options	buy 2.00% · sell 2.00% · creator's share of the tax 100.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:47 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-09-29 23:18 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0 · no trade seen in our live data

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	0%	0%	100%	100%	100%
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	16.9 min	16.9 min	16.9 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)	12	20	22	22	22
Buyers spent	210.57 NEAR	348.41 NEAR	365.33 NEAR	365.33 NEAR	365.33 NEAR
Buyers net result	+36.73 NEAR	+33.81 NEAR	-34.85 NEAR	-35.92 NEAR	-36.32 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	0%	0%	100%	100%	100%
Insiders' net result	+18.91 NEAR	+19.83 NEAR	+15.37 NEAR	+15.37 NEAR	+15.37 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.43x	1.73x	1.73x	1.73x	1.73x
Holders	14	17	8	6	8
Top 10 holders' share	98.5%	98.2%	100%	100%	100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	3.8% · holds	3.8% · holds	0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	14.8% · 9 of 10 hold	10.4% · 6 of 10 hold	0.6% · 1 of 10 hold
Other early buyers	0.7% · 3 of 3 hold	6.1% · 9 of 10 hold	1.1% · 4 of 12 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	15.5% · 13 wallets	16.6% · 20 wallets	1.7% · 22 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	80.8%	79.7%	98.3%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	98.5%	98.2%	100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	100% · 3 merged	99.5% · 2 merged	100% · 0 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b	34 s · transaction	2.50 NEAR	8.1 min after buying · transaction	+0.28 NEAR	none found
2	snuffdog.near	93 s · transaction	9.92 NEAR	13.3 min after buying · transaction	+3.76 NEAR	group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 6 of those launches pair bought within 57.2 s of mumbay.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
3	032000ab67b2fdc…ba8ca	2.1 min · transaction	4.75 NEAR	not sold	-0.43 NEAR	none found
4	3347dd8076331ad…52407	2.2 min · transaction	0.10 NEAR	6.1 min after buying · transaction	+0.05 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 55 of those launches pair bought within 15.7 s of barrey.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
5	barrey.near	2.5 min · transaction	4.96 NEAR	15.7 min after buying · transaction	-0.33 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 47 of those launches pair bought within 15.7 s of 3347dd8076331ad…52407 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 21.2 s of 1abb937e7aebae7…3416e · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
6	mumbay.near	2.5 min · transaction	42.66 NEAR	11.8 min after buying · transaction	+15.43 NEAR	group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 4 of those launches pair bought within 57.2 s of snuffdog.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
7	1abb937e7aebae7…3416e	2.9 min · transaction	45.00 NEAR	14.3 min after buying · transaction	-1.05 NEAR	group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 11 of those launches pair bought within 1.6 s of nonearforyou.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 21.2 s of barrey.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
8	nonearforyou.near	2.9 min · transaction	39.68 NEAR	14.3 min after buying · transaction	-1.01 NEAR	group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 10 of those launches pair bought within 1.6 s of 1abb937e7aebae7…3416e · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence
9	5b9d43abb215de7…4c173	3.8 min · transaction	35.00 NEAR	14.0 min after buying · transaction	-8.92 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 34 of those launches pair bought within 48.4 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
10	iagipero.near	4.4 min · transaction	10.00 NEAR	not sold	-3.26 NEAR	pair bought within 11.0 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
11	579b7294974b54d…30203	4.6 min · transaction	15.00 NEAR	13.8 min after buying · transaction	-4.86 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 55 of those launches pair bought within 48.4 s of 5b9d43abb215de7…4c173 · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 11.0 s of iagipero.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 24.7 s of panjipetualang.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
12	89e35553f4ab019…351b5	4.8 min · transaction	1.00 NEAR	not sold	-0.35 NEAR	none found
13	panjipetualang.near	5.0 min · transaction	2.00 NEAR	8.1 min after buying · transaction	+0.27 NEAR	pair bought within 24.7 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
14	hatersgonnahate.near	6.0 min · transaction	29.70 NEAR	16.0 min after buying · transaction	-10.89 NEAR	none found
15	mmaker.near	7.0 min · transaction	63.00 NEAR	10.4 min after buying · transaction	-20.34 NEAR	none found
16	b3ad7da656ca612…e6839	7.5 min · transaction	0.99 NEAR	28.9 min after buying · transaction	-0.39 NEAR	none found
17	deepvest2222.near	7.7 min · transaction	10.91 NEAR	5.4 min after buying · transaction	-0.60 NEAR	none found
18	farcastmage.near	8.9 min · transaction	39.68 NEAR	5.2 min after buying · transaction	-2.42 NEAR	none found
19	frost-racer-685….near	9.5 min · transaction	0.49 NEAR	6.3 min after buying · transaction	-0.10 NEAR	none found
20	7eb5e8b92efe5b7…661af	14.3 min · transaction	0.99 NEAR	5.0 min after buying · transaction	-0.37 NEAR	none found

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of neartificial.near

None known.