NEPE nearly.trade

nepe-5.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Elevated 30 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 41 % (807 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 0.69 NEAR.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
  • Sold by: 0xsantos.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-10-28 21:18:58 UTC, 7.4 min after the launch: CwuTVjMidya6z…qzK6Q.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -0.69 NEAR · insiders' net result: -0.43 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-10-28 21:11:32 UTC · block 222029536 · history: launch only
TransactionDT1DZtXh3UJ8T…h9v1U
Creator0xsantos.near explorer
Poolnepe-5.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy5.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 3.00% · sell 3.00% · creator's share of the tax 50.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:47 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-02 06:32 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-11-02 06:32 UTC
Price now0.98x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.96x the peak
Outside buyers in profit0 of 9 · 0%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group0% · 0 of 7 hold
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%100%100%100%100%
Dev's first sell after launch—7.4 min7.4 min7.4 min7.4 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)77788
Buyers spent9.00 NEAR9.00 NEAR9.00 NEAR10.07 NEAR10.07 NEAR
Buyers net result-0.60 NEAR-0.64 NEAR-0.66 NEAR-0.69 NEAR-0.71 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%100%100%100%100%
Insiders' net result-0.25 NEAR-0.43 NEAR-0.43 NEAR-0.43 NEAR-0.43 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.02x1.02x1.02x1.02x1.02x
Holders31011
Top 10 holders' share100%100%—100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0.5% · holds 0% · holds nothing 0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 0.1% · 2 of 7 hold 0.0% · 1 of 7 hold 0% · 0 of 7 hold
Other early buyers — — 0.1% · 1 of 1 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)0.1% · 7 wallets0.0% · 7 wallets0.1% · 8 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)99.4%100.0%99.9%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 8 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 wrapz-z.near independent sniper 3 s · transaction 3.00 NEAR 3.2 min after buying · transaction -0.20 NEAR
2 onlyrekt.near 3 s · transaction 0.50 NEAR 29.4 min after buying · transaction -0.04 NEAR
3 pussy.sendler-b.near trading bot wallet 3 s · transaction 2.00 NEAR 3.0 min after buying · transaction -0.14 NEAR
4 c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 trading bot developer 3 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 5.1 min after buying · transaction -0.09 NEAR
5 dolph.sendler-b.near trading bot wallet 3 s · transaction 0.50 NEAR 3.0 min after buying · transaction -0.04 NEAR
6 tyty.sendler-b.near trading bot wallet 3 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 60 s after buying · transaction -0.08 NEAR
7 jopka.sendler-b.near trading bot wallet 3 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 60 s after buying · transaction -0.08 NEAR
8 ixslot1.nearlyops.near 59.5 min · transaction 1.07 NEAR not sold -0.03 NEAR
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of 0xsantos.near

TimeLaunchpadTokenRiskOutcomeData
2026-10-27 14:44 UTC nearly.trade gpill.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-10-28 15:35 UTC nearly.trade neairdrop.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-28 23:01 UTC nearly.trade gotham.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only