NITRO nearly.trade

nitro.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 20 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

  • +20
    Trade tax 1.00% buy / 1.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 35.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 100, sell_bps 100, creator_bps 3500).

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 29 % (750 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 4.54 NEAR.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
  • Sold by: nitroonnear.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-10-21 18:16:06 UTC, 7.5 min after the launch: 6B24EmuELdKEo…sLbKB.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -4.54 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.14 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-10-21 18:08:38 UTC · block 220979805 · history: launch only
TransactionF1BjdNCbwnJEZ…N62tq
Creatornitroonnear.near explorer
Poolnitro.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy40.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 35.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:47 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-22 00:45 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-10-22 00:45 UTC
Price now0.98x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.78x the peak
Outside buyers in profit5 of 12 · 41.7%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group0% · 0 of 11 hold
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%100%100%100%100%
Dev's first sell after launch—7.5 min7.5 min7.5 min7.5 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)1212121212
Buyers spent97.13 NEAR97.13 NEAR97.13 NEAR97.13 NEAR97.13 NEAR
Buyers net result+6.30 NEAR-4.41 NEAR-4.48 NEAR-4.54 NEAR-5.19 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%100%100%100%100%
Insiders' net result+7.66 NEAR+0.14 NEAR+0.14 NEAR+0.14 NEAR+0.14 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.26x1.26x1.26x1.26x1.26x
Holders113320
Top 10 holders' share99.3%100%100%100%—

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 3.7% · holds 0% · holds nothing 0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 7.0% · 9 of 11 hold 1.6% · 2 of 11 hold 1.6% · 1 of 11 hold
Other early buyers 0.4% · 1 of 1 hold 0.4% · 1 of 1 hold 0.4% · 1 of 1 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)7.4% · 12 wallets2.0% · 12 wallets2.0% · 12 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)89.0%98.0%98.0%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)99.3%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 1 merged100% · 1 merged100% · 0 merged

The dev sent tokens to other wallets: those are in the "got tokens from the dev" row, not in the dev's own.

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 12 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 bright-panda-28….near bot_wallet 3 s · transaction 2.00 NEAR 5.0 min after buying · transaction +0.43 NEAR
2 c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 3 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 7.5 min after buying · transaction +0.0078 NEAR
3 ro52.near 3 s · transaction 2.00 NEAR 3.1 min after buying · transaction +0.42 NEAR
4 b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper 3 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 7.5 min after buying · transaction -0.07 NEAR
5 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 4 s · transaction 18.63 NEAR 6.7 min after buying · transaction +0.02 NEAR
6 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b 21 s · transaction 1.50 NEAR 7.4 min after buying · transaction -0.16 NEAR
7 d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 23 s · transaction 30.00 NEAR 5.7 min after buying · transaction +0.44 NEAR
8 axxe.near 27 s · transaction 20.00 NEAR not sold -3.34 NEAR
9 alola.near 38 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 30.3 min after buying · transaction -0.19 NEAR
10 51206134269a0d4….near 40 s · transaction 5.00 NEAR 2.7 min after buying · transaction -0.13 NEAR
11 525be0f25e7adf4…c36ef 56 s · transaction 10.00 NEAR 5.7 min after buying · transaction -0.97 NEAR
12 yildirimoflu.near 4.0 min · transaction 5.00 NEAR not sold -0.99 NEAR
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of nitroonnear.near

None known.