NKH nearly.trade

nkh.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Risk score: Low 20 / 100 issued 2026-11-09 15:16 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

+20
The launch is set up so that the creator takes 33.00% of trades as a tax (nearly creator_bps = 3300).
Evidence: launch nkh.nearlytrade.near

The creator's history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

v1 — weights fitted on launch history. The score ranks risk; it is not a probability. Calibration in progress. Computed from what was known at launch time and frozen: it never changes. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 37 % (317 launches) (as of the card's issue time, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; the price held at 70 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 3; they sold 100.0% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Sold by: franky.user.intear.near (dev).
Passed the threshold at 2026-11-10 02:22:36 UTC, 666.5 min after the launch: 568DRZoRNFGic…qBqLM.
Received tokens from the dev: wallet.intear.near, dex-aggregator.intear.near.
Outside buyers' net result: -7.08 NEAR · insiders' net result: -0.75 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 70% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-10T15:16 UTC with config v1-fit-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-11-09 15:16:06 UTC · block 223784403 · live
Transaction	4MNV7AqQuV1zF…Qw91W
Creator	franky.user.intear.near explorer
Pool	nkh.nearlytrade.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	20.00 NEAR
Tax options	buy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 33.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:47 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-10 02:22 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-11-10 02:22 UTC
Price now	0.95x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.69x the peak
Outside buyers in profit	4 of 11 · 36.4%
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account	0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	<0.01% · 2 of 2 hold
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	<0.01% · 1 of 9 hold

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	0%	0%	0%	0%	100.0%
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	—	—	666.5 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)	11	11	11	11	11
Buyers spent	181.27 NEAR	186.27 NEAR	186.27 NEAR	186.27 NEAR	186.27 NEAR
Buyers net result	+23.56 NEAR	-5.73 NEAR	-7.07 NEAR	-7.07 NEAR	-7.08 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	3
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	0%	0%	0%	0%	100.0%
Insiders' net result	+7.02 NEAR	+2.87 NEAR	-0.07 NEAR	-0.07 NEAR	-0.75 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.36x	1.37x	1.37x	1.37x	1.37x
Holders	9	6	2	2	2
Top 10 holders' share	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	1.9% · holds	1.9% · holds	1.9% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	2.5% · 7 of 9 hold	0.7% · 5 of 9 hold	0.1% · 2 of 9 hold
Other early buyers	11.5% · 2 of 2 hold	0.2% · 1 of 2 hold	0% · 0 of 2 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	14.1% · 11 wallets	0.8% · 11 wallets	0.1% · 11 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	84.0%	97.3%	98.0%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	100%	100%	100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	100% · 0 merged	100% · 0 merged	100% · 0 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 11 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	yazaplakal.send….near bot_wallet	11 s · transaction	0.50 NEAR	17.0 min after buying · transaction	-0.0098 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 64 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 64 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of trade.sendler-b.near · 62 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
2	wrapz-z.near independent_sniper	11 s · transaction	5.00 NEAR	12.9 min after buying · transaction	+1.53 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 192 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
3	jopka.sendler-b.near bot_wallet	11 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	3.1 min after buying · transaction	+0.09 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 251 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 196 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 192 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 294 of 644 launches (not put in a group)
4	trade.sendler-b.near bot_wallet	11 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	3.0 min after buying · transaction	+0.0047 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 71 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 71 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 62 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 72 of 129 launches (not put in a group)
5	b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper	11 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	15.1 min after buying · transaction	-0.03 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 189 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
6	dolph.sendler-b.near bot_wallet	11 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	3.0 min after buying · transaction	-0.0004 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 196 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 179 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 141 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 212 of 335 launches (not put in a group)
7	c8bde0e9209ac73…01899	11 s · transaction	6.00 NEAR	19.2 min after buying · transaction	-1.49 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 251 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
8	toxic_sentinel.….near	57 s · transaction	20.00 NEAR	12.2 min after buying · transaction	+4.63 NEAR	pair bought within 46.5 s of wrapz-z.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 10.0 s of alola.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 46.5 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
9	alola.near	67 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	not sold	-0.08 NEAR	pair bought within 56.5 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 56.5 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 56.5 s of wrapz-z.near · 138 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs
10	56c9a6ef438223b….near	3.5 min · transaction	147.00 NEAR	11.2 min after buying · transaction	-10.91 NEAR	none found
11	trader.slmm.near	4.1 min · transaction	2.77 NEAR	17.9 min after buying · transaction	-0.80 NEAR	none found

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of franky.user.intear.near

None known.