Trade tax 1.00% buy / 2.00% sell; after the platform's 40.00% cut the creator gets 48.00% of it (0.480% per buy, 0.960% per sell; creator_bps 8000, platform_bps 4000).
v2 signals (weights fitted on launch history before the split date) plus two expert rules whose points are set by hand, not fitted (a creator name that resembles a notable account; a fresh account funded through Intents or an exchange), and the creator's fee of justhoot launches. The score ranks risk; it is not a probability. Computed from what was known at launch time and frozen: it never changes. How it works.
Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 27 % (267 launches) (as of the card's issue time, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.
Outcome rug within 24 h
No rug.no outside buyers; no outside buyers.
Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Passed the threshold at 2026-11-11 20:12:56 UTC, 90.1 min after the launch: HTRB3zgWYWTqX…fHfEP.
Outside buyers' net result: +0.00 NEAR · insiders' net result: -0.02 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 98% of its peak.
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-12T18:42 UTC with config v2l-1.
buy 1.00% · sell 2.00% · creator's share of the tax 80.00%
Live state not a forecast · as of 14:48 UTC
No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-11 20:12 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.
Facts now
Last trade
2026-11-11 20:12 UTC
Price now
no outside buyer yet · 0.98x the peak
Outside buyers in profit
0 of 0
Last 15 min
0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min
0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour
0
Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far
Dev account
0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev
—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side
—
Early buyers in a bundle
—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group
—
What these facts are
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
What happened after the launch
Metric
T+5 min
T+15 min
T+30 min
T+60 min
T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)
0%
0%
0%
0%
100%
Dev's first sell after launch
—
—
—
—
90.1 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)
0
0
0
0
0
Buyers spent
0.00 NEAR
0.00 NEAR
0.00 NEAR
0.00 NEAR
0.00 NEAR
Buyers net result
0.00 NEAR
0.00 NEAR
0.00 NEAR
0.00 NEAR
0.00 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)
1
1
1
1
1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)
0%
0%
0%
0%
100%
Insiders' net result
-0.0050 NEAR
-0.0050 NEAR
-0.0050 NEAR
-0.0050 NEAR
-0.02 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer
—
—
—
—
—
Holders
1
1
1
1
0
Top 10 holders' share
100%
100%
100%
100%
—
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far
Holder
T+5 min
T+15 min
T+60 min
Dev account
0.0% · holds
0.0% · holds
0.0% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev
—
—
—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side
—
—
—
Early buyers in a bundle
—
—
—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group
—
—
—
Other early buyers
—
—
—
All early buyers (the six rows above)
0% · 0 wallets
0% · 0 wallets
0% · 0 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)
100%
100%
100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder
100% · 0 merged
100% · 0 merged
100% · 0 merged
How to read the table
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.