RE nearly.trade

re.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 20 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

  • +20
    Trade tax 2.00% buy / 2.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 20.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 200, sell_bps 200, creator_bps 2000).
    Evidence: launch re.nearlytrade.near

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 12 % (945 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; the price held at 66 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 12798.8% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
  • Sold by: dev_tunz.tg (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-09-29 15:36:35 UTC, 160.6 min after the launch: J6ifFJq2Wt638…kG8JM.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -11.97 NEAR · insiders' net result: +1.19 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
  • Price at T+24 h: 66% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-09-29 12:55:58 UTC · block 217779693 · history: launch only
Transaction8A7dxCHsHBzNV…rM6PA
Creatordev_tunz.tg explorer
Poolre.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy0.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 2.00% · sell 2.00% · creator's share of the tax 20.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:48 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade2026-09-29 15:36 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0 · no trade seen in our live data
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)—0%0%0%12798.8%
Dev's first sell after launch————160.6 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)1111121213
Buyers spent239.74 NEAR239.74 NEAR239.84 NEAR239.84 NEAR239.94 NEAR
Buyers net result-11.86 NEAR-11.96 NEAR-11.97 NEAR-11.97 NEAR-11.97 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)—0%0%0%12798.8%
Insiders' net result0.00 NEAR-0.0002 NEAR-0.0004 NEAR-0.0004 NEAR+1.19 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.42x1.42x1.42x1.42x1.42x
Holders22444
Top 10 holders' share100%100%100%100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0% · holds nothing <0.01% · holds <0.01% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 0.4% · 1 of 11 hold 0% · 0 of 11 hold 0% · 0 of 11 hold
Other early buyers — — 0% · 0 of 1 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)0.4% · 11 wallets0% · 11 wallets0% · 12 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)99.6%100%100%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 12 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 supremegay.near 35 s · transaction 44.64 NEAR 4.0 min after buying · transaction -0.82 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 49 of those launches
pair bought within 11.6 s of syndi95.near · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 6.5 s of 3347dd8076331ad…52407 · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 59.3 s of lorenzo18.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
2 3347dd8076331ad…52407 41 s · transaction 0.50 NEAR 3.9 min after buying · transaction -0.06 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 55 of those launches
pair bought within 6.5 s of supremegay.near · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 5.1 s of syndi95.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 44.7 s of louduser4868.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
3 syndi95.near 47 s · transaction 34.72 NEAR 3.2 min after buying · transaction +2.00 NEAR
group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 6 of those launches
pair bought within 11.6 s of supremegay.near · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 5.1 s of 3347dd8076331ad…52407 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 35.8 s of snuffdog.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
4 snuffdog.near 82 s · transaction 9.92 NEAR 3.2 min after buying · transaction -1.66 NEAR
group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 6 of those launches
pair bought within 41.8 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 11.9 s of lorenzo18.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 35.8 s of syndi95.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
5 wolfgangamadeus.near 85 s · transaction 4.96 NEAR 3.6 min after buying · transaction -0.94 NEAR
pair bought within 33.0 s of luckyfrog8326.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.0 s of louduser4868.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 9.1 s of lorenzo18.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
6 louduser4868.near 86 s · transaction 10.00 NEAR 2.2 min after buying · transaction +0.46 NEAR
group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 17 of those launches
pair bought within 33.8 s of meteorrrr.near · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 8.1 s of lorenzo18.near · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 32.0 s of luckyfrog8326.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
7 lorenzo18.near 94 s · transaction 20.00 NEAR 116 s after buying · transaction +0.92 NEAR
group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 12 of those launches
pair bought within 8.1 s of louduser4868.near · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 23.9 s of luckyfrog8326.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 25.7 s of meteorrrr.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
8 luckyfrog8326.near 118 s · transaction 50.00 NEAR 2.5 min after buying · transaction -7.72 NEAR
pair bought within 23.9 s of lorenzo18.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 6.0 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 32.0 s of louduser4868.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
9 meteorrrr.near 2.0 min · transaction 10.00 NEAR 106 s after buying · transaction -1.03 NEAR
group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 12 of those launches
pair bought within 33.8 s of louduser4868.near · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 25.7 s of lorenzo18.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.8 s of luckyfrog8326.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
10 e8a162641a55288…58210 2.1 min · transaction 5.00 NEAR 53 s after buying · transaction +0.10 NEAR
pair bought within 41.8 s of snuffdog.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 6.0 s of luckyfrog8326.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 29.9 s of lorenzo18.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
11 ebisidiaidi.near 2.3 min · transaction 50.00 NEAR 48 s after buying · transaction -3.22 NEAR
pair bought within 43.2 s of lorenzo18.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 55.0 s of snuffdog.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 13.2 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
12 b36fdf21d80019a…46eff 18.1 min · transaction 0.10 NEAR 23 s after buying · transaction -0.0058 NEAR none found
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of dev_tunz.tg

TimeLaunchpadTokenRiskOutcomeData
2026-09-29 16:17 UTC nearly.trade lgbtqia.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-01 16:44 UTC nearly.trade cronos.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-02 11:12 UTC nearly.trade halloween.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-03 15:22 UTC nearly.trade rheanna.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only