REAN nearly.trade

rean.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 20 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

  • +20
    Trade tax 1.00% buy / 0.00% sell; after the platform's 20.00% cut the creator gets 4.00% of it (0.040% per buy, 0.000% per sell; creator_bps 500, platform_bps 2000).
    Evidence: launch rean.nearlytrade.near

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 1 % (146 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 12.90 NEAR.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 136.6% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
  • Sold by: mangusxbt.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-09-27 13:41:14 UTC, 2.1 min after the launch: CzEmvTiXguMzf…cY852.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -12.90 NEAR · insiders' net result: +4.25 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-09-27 13:39:10 UTC · block 217493269 · history: launch only
TransactionB7fTSce9sWEcp…ir4Wv
Creatormangusxbt.near explorer
Poolrean.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy5.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 1.00% · sell 0.00% · creator's share of the tax 5.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:48 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade2026-09-27 22:21 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0 · no trade seen in our live data
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)100%136.6%136.6%136.6%136.6%
Dev's first sell after launch2.1 min2.1 min2.1 min2.1 min2.1 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)1718181819
Buyers spent407.05 NEAR429.05 NEAR429.05 NEAR429.05 NEAR429.15 NEAR
Buyers net result+137.10 NEAR-12.85 NEAR-12.90 NEAR-12.90 NEAR-12.94 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)100%136.6%136.6%136.6%136.6%
Insiders' net result+2.42 NEAR+4.25 NEAR+4.25 NEAR+4.25 NEAR+4.25 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.86x1.89x1.89x1.89x1.89x
Holders183356
Top 10 holders' share93.4%100%100%100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0% · holds nothing 0% · holds nothing 0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 20.3% · 9 of 9 hold 0% · 0 of 9 hold 0% · 0 of 9 hold
Other early buyers 6.9% · 8 of 8 hold 0.6% · 2 of 9 hold 0.6% · 2 of 9 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)27.1% · 17 wallets0.6% · 18 wallets0.6% · 18 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)72.9%99.4%99.4%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)93.4%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder98.0% · 1 merged100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 18 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 internisactive.near 28 s · transaction 14.00 NEAR 101 s after buying · transaction +4.47 NEAR
pair bought within 14.3 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 16.9 s of nolifekrisu.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
2 e8a162641a55288…58210 43 s · transaction 5.00 NEAR 4.7 min after buying · transaction +3.61 NEAR
pair bought within 14.3 s of internisactive.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 37.6 s of acd876fa672624e…fa933 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 59.1 s of coolnook7072.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
3 nolifekrisu.near 45 s · transaction 120.00 NEAR 5.3 min after buying · transaction -0.18 NEAR
pair bought within 16.9 s of internisactive.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.5 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 35.0 s of acd876fa672624e…fa933 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
4 7c514f45d519861…22d81 75 s · transaction 29.85 NEAR 3.9 min after buying · transaction +11.79 NEAR
group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 7 of those launches
pair bought within 5.4 s of acd876fa672624e…fa933 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 27.0 s of coolnook7072.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 54.9 s of awwamer.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
5 acd876fa672624e…fa933 80 s · transaction 29.85 NEAR 4.2 min after buying · transaction +5.92 NEAR
group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 8 of those launches
pair bought within 21.6 s of coolnook7072.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 5.4 s of 7c514f45d519861…22d81 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 37.6 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
6 coolnook7072.near 102 s · transaction 13.00 NEAR 4.3 min after buying · transaction -1.13 NEAR
group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 8 of those launches
pair bought within 21.6 s of acd876fa672624e…fa933 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 27.0 s of 7c514f45d519861…22d81 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 59.1 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
7 newear.near 104 s · transaction 8.00 NEAR 4.3 min after buying · transaction -1.31 NEAR none found
8 real_4monya.near 108 s · transaction 12.00 NEAR 3.9 min after buying · transaction +0.92 NEAR none found
9 hardgrain5781.near 115 s · transaction 19.90 NEAR 3.5 min after buying · transaction +2.86 NEAR none found
10 latejaguar8401.near 2.1 min · transaction 1.00 NEAR not sold -0.35 NEAR none found
11 awwamer.near 2.2 min · transaction 5.00 NEAR 4.0 min after buying · transaction -1.63 NEAR
group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 6 of those launches
pair bought within 49.5 s of acd876fa672624e…fa933 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 27.9 s of coolnook7072.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 28.4 s of raretie1442.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
12 46d73ac6b755fff…7dd32 2.2 min · transaction 50.00 NEAR 3.6 min after buying · transaction -1.41 NEAR none found
13 c1f54e85e93419f…b3405 2.5 min · transaction 9.95 NEAR 5.9 min after buying · transaction -4.32 NEAR none found
14 raretie1442.near 2.6 min · transaction 75.00 NEAR 3.2 min after buying · transaction -15.00 NEAR
pair bought within 27.4 s of aceng03.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 28.4 s of awwamer.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
15 zambona.near 3.1 min · transaction 10.00 NEAR not sold -4.68 NEAR none found
16 aceng03.near 3.1 min · transaction 1.50 NEAR 3.7 min after buying · transaction -0.69 NEAR
pair bought within 27.4 s of raretie1442.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 55.9 s of awwamer.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
17 9a1585ac284fa42…eba4f 3.6 min · transaction 3.00 NEAR 2.7 min after buying · transaction -1.36 NEAR none found
18 0xfrex.near 5.0 min · transaction 22.00 NEAR 88 s after buying · transaction -10.40 NEAR none found
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of mangusxbt.near

TimeLaunchpadTokenRiskOutcomeData
2026-09-27 13:23 UTC nearly.trade np500.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only