RHEATARD nearly.trade

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: High 75 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

• +50
  11 of the 15 earlier launches that were already decided at launch time ended as a rug (11 by the creator); smoothed rug share 67%.

  Evidence: launch neer-3.nearlytrade.near, launch rainbow-3.nearlyt….near, launch neartard-3.nearly….near, launch nearism-3.nearlyt….near, launch nearhouse-4.nearl….near
• +20
  Trade tax 3.00% buy / 3.00% sell; after the platform's 20.00% cut the creator gets 80.00% of it (2.400% per buy, 2.400% per sell; creator_bps 10000, platform_bps 2000).

  Evidence: launch rheatard-5.nearly….near
• +5
  The name 'rheatard' was already used 3.4 h earlier by another creator (rheatard-3.nearlytrade.near).

  Evidence: launch rheatard-3.nearly….near

The largest funder's (645069bebc431cc8adf82bcbff8bb4de31a15b395fc34305262d8cd00a2ad791) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.