RHEATARD nearly.trade

rheatard-9.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 25 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

  • +20
    Trade tax 1.00% buy / 1.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 8.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 100, sell_bps 100, creator_bps 800).
    Evidence: launch rheatard-9.nearly….near
  • +5
    The name 'rheatard' was already used 53.2 h earlier by another creator (rheatard-8.nearlytrade.near).
    Evidence: launch rheatard-8.nearly….near

The largest funder's (99a359ed5b80ba8688b8e321fd945cfd1926eba5d5858f3c34d3d35e5357cf9e) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 22 % (2407 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired by T+24 h, below the 80 % threshold.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-10-03 23:01:09 UTC · block 218414641 · history: launch only
TransactionHB5Uu9onc4K6N…W5VoJ
Creatorpinky2291.near explorer
Pooldiarhea.nearlytrade.near|rheatard-9.nearlytrade.near|10000
Dev buy0.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 8.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:48 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-02 17:07 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-11-02 17:07 UTC
Price now0.93x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.43x the peak
Outside buyers in profit15 of 49 · 30.6%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0.3% · 1 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev1.6% · 6 of 8 hold
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group0% · 0 of 11 hold
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%0%0%0%0%
Dev's first sell after launch—————
Buyers (other than the insiders)112172244
Buyers spent0.0075 NEAR2.08 NEAR3.23 NEAR4.34 NEAR8.17 NEAR
Buyers net result-0.0001 NEAR+0.32 NEAR+0.14 NEAR+0.17 NEAR+0.47 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11118
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%0%0%0%0%
Insiders' net result+0.04 NEAR+0.32 NEAR+0.27 NEAR+0.30 NEAR+0.47 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.00x1.45x1.67x1.67x2.17x
Holders2138928
Top 10 holders' share100%94.3%100%100%94.6%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 7.0% · holds 7.0% · holds 7.0% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group — 11.4% · 9 of 9 hold 3.8% · 3 of 11 hold
Other early buyers 0.1% · 1 of 1 hold 6.8% · 3 of 3 hold 10.5% · 5 of 11 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)0.1% · 1 wallets18.2% · 12 wallets14.3% · 22 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)93.0%74.8%78.7%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%94.3%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 0 merged100% · 1 merged100% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 percipience.near 3.6 min · transaction 0.03 NEAR 41.5 min after buying · transaction -0.0027 NEAR none found
2 a61602ebdc9b583…012fc 8.4 min · transaction 0.11 NEAR 9.2 min after buying · transaction +0.06 NEAR
group one of 8 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 29 of those launches
pair bought within 0.6 s of c75d6d60e9aebcb…db3c4 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of fd5c09668cb779b…28411 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.2 s of 7f67f9b532d1560…cccc6 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
3 fd5c09668cb779b…28411 8.4 min · transaction 0.11 NEAR 9.9 min after buying · transaction +0.03 NEAR
group one of 8 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 29 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of c75d6d60e9aebcb…db3c4 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of a61602ebdc9b583…012fc · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of 7f67f9b532d1560…cccc6 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
4 c75d6d60e9aebcb…db3c4 8.4 min · transaction 0.11 NEAR 10.9 min after buying · transaction +0.0095 NEAR
group one of 8 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 29 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of fd5c09668cb779b…28411 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of a61602ebdc9b583…012fc · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of 7f67f9b532d1560…cccc6 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
5 7f67f9b532d1560…cccc6 8.4 min · transaction 0.11 NEAR 10.1 min after buying · transaction +0.03 NEAR
group one of 8 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 29 of those launches
pair bought within 0.6 s of c75d6d60e9aebcb…db3c4 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of fd5c09668cb779b…28411 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.2 s of 9a46d7f36dfa77a…79607 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
6 9a46d7f36dfa77a…79607 8.4 min · transaction 0.11 NEAR 10.1 min after buying · transaction +0.02 NEAR
group one of 8 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 29 of those launches
pair bought within 1.2 s of 7f67f9b532d1560…cccc6 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.8 s of c75d6d60e9aebcb…db3c4 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.8 s of fd5c09668cb779b…28411 · 29 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
7 7ed179cee50dad9…3cd27 8.5 min · transaction 0.11 NEAR 10.1 min after buying · transaction +0.02 NEAR
group one of 8 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 28 of those launches
pair bought within 1.8 s of 9a46d7f36dfa77a…79607 · 28 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 3.0 s of 7f67f9b532d1560…cccc6 · 28 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 3.6 s of c75d6d60e9aebcb…db3c4 · 28 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
8 886fd94398f173c…35c2c 8.5 min · transaction 0.11 NEAR 10.1 min after buying · transaction +0.01 NEAR
group one of 8 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 26 of those launches
pair bought within 4.1 s of 7ed179cee50dad9…3cd27 · 26 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 5.9 s of 9a46d7f36dfa77a…79607 · 26 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 7.1 s of 7f67f9b532d1560…cccc6 · 26 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
9 lambadaa.near 9.7 min · transaction 0.82 NEAR 8.6 min after buying · transaction +0.08 NEAR
pair bought within 49.3 s of 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
10 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 10.5 min · transaction 0.08 NEAR 7.7 min after buying · transaction +0.0055 NEAR
pair bought within 49.3 s of lambadaa.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
11 iagipero.near 12.1 min · transaction 0.61 NEAR 36.0 min after buying · transaction -0.07 NEAR none found
12 5068c6c80623833…e0874 14.6 min · transaction 0.70 NEAR not sold -0.02 NEAR none found
13 37ad34677f7b97c…08674 15.1 min · transaction 0.23 NEAR 3.6 min after buying · transaction -0.05 NEAR none found
14 slyxbt.near 15.5 min · transaction 0.01 NEAR 33.8 min after buying · transaction -0.0044 NEAR none found
15 barrey.near 17.1 min · transaction 0.10 NEAR 2.1 min after buying · transaction -0.02 NEAR none found
16 satirexxx.near 22.8 min · transaction 0.27 NEAR 21.9 min after buying · transaction -0.01 NEAR none found
17 teend2.near 24.2 min · transaction 0.11 NEAR 2.5 min after buying · transaction -0.0010 NEAR none found
18 mamasboy9.tg 38.2 min · transaction 0.0034 NEAR not sold +0.0001 NEAR none found
19 89e35553f4ab019…351b5 40.2 min · transaction 0.0070 NEAR 10.6 min after buying · transaction -0.0015 NEAR none found
20 lowegg4402.near 56.3 min · transaction 0.37 NEAR not sold +0.07 NEAR none found
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of pinky2291.near

TimeLaunchpadTokenRiskOutcomeData
2026-09-30 21:12 UTC nearly.trade nearlee.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-06 01:37 UTC nearly.trade pinkasso.nearlytrade.near 0 Low retro no rug history: launch only