The largest funder's (baxoff.near) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.
It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.
Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 3 % (352 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.
Outcome rug within 24 h
No rug.insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired by T+24 h, below the 80 % threshold.
Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 0% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Outside buyers' net result: -121.22 NEAR · insiders' net result: +16.07 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 34% of its peak.
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.
Launch
Launched
2026-09-28 14:19:44 UTC · block 217643231 · history: launch only
buy 2.00% · sell 2.00% · creator's share of the tax 50.00%
Live state not a forecast · as of 14:48 UTC
No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-18 08:23 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.
Facts now
Last trade
2026-10-18 08:23 UTC
Price now
1.07x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.23x the peak
Outside buyers in profit
44 of 149 · 29.5%
Last 15 min
0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min
0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour
0
Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far
Dev account
2.5% · 1 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev
—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side
—
Early buyers in a bundle
—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group
0% · 0 of 11 hold
What these facts are
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
What happened after the launch
Metric
T+5 min
T+15 min
T+30 min
T+60 min
T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Dev's first sell after launch
—
—
—
—
—
Buyers (other than the insiders)
10
35
75
111
149
Buyers spent
165.83 NEAR
762.73 NEAR
1,744.91 NEAR
2,506.31 NEAR
3,624.47 NEAR
Buyers net result
+18.84 NEAR
+298.62 NEAR
+1,021.43 NEAR
+656.38 NEAR
-121.22 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)
1
1
1
1
1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Insiders' net result
+8.63 NEAR
+38.19 NEAR
+83.10 NEAR
+66.31 NEAR
+16.07 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer
1.31x
2.41x
4.72x
4.72x
4.72x
Holders
11
31
67
82
44
Top 10 holders' share
100.0%
68.0%
50.3%
49.2%
67.6%
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far
Holder
T+5 min
T+15 min
T+60 min
Dev account
2.5% · holds
2.5% · holds
2.5% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev
—
—
—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side
—
—
—
Early buyers in a bundle
—
—
—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group
2.7% · 3 of 4 hold
7.4% · 8 of 11 hold
3.3% · 4 of 11 hold
Other early buyers
9.9% · 6 of 6 hold
21.2% · 17 of 19 hold
17.5% · 17 of 19 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)
12.6% · 10 wallets
28.5% · 30 wallets
20.8% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)
85.0%
69.0%
76.7%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)
100.0%
68.0%
49.2%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder
100.0% · 1 merged
68.0% · 2 merged
49.2% · 0 merged
How to read the table
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.