In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.
+10
Received 46.00 NEAR 4 min before the launch from jackfriar.near, whose earlier launch zearlana-2.nearlytrade.near (made by nearlyceo.near, linked to him) ended as a rug.
Passed the threshold at 2026-10-17 15:05:47 UTC, 510.7 min after the launch: 8WRH7XScZHxxd…cqdqu.
Outside buyers' net result: -44.98 NEAR · insiders' net result: +24.68 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 59% of its peak.
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.
Launch
Launched
2026-10-17 06:35:06 UTC · block 220331825 · history: launch only
buy 2.00% · sell 3.00% · creator's share of the tax 0.00%
Live state not a forecast · as of 14:48 UTC
No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-08 21:23 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.
Facts now
Last trade
2026-11-08 21:23 UTC
Price now
0.99x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.53x the peak
Outside buyers in profit
5 of 24 · 20.8%
Last 15 min
0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min
0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour
0
Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far
Dev account
0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev
—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side
0% · 0 of 1 hold
Early buyers in a bundle
—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group
0% · 0 of 2 hold
What these facts are
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
What happened after the launch
Metric
T+5 min
T+15 min
T+30 min
T+60 min
T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)
0%
0%
0%
0%
102.3%
Dev's first sell after launch
—
—
—
—
510.7 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)
4
6
6
8
24
Buyers spent
28.99 NEAR
38.99 NEAR
43.78 NEAR
76.17 NEAR
380.59 NEAR
Buyers net result
+0.33 NEAR
-0.26 NEAR
+0.49 NEAR
+1.41 NEAR
-44.98 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)
1
1
1
1
1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)
0%
0%
0%
0%
102.3%
Insiders' net result
+2.86 NEAR
+2.59 NEAR
+3.60 NEAR
+5.23 NEAR
+24.68 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer
1.14x
1.15x
1.16x
1.20x
1.86x
Holders
5
5
5
6
9
Top 10 holders' share
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far
Holder
T+5 min
T+15 min
T+60 min
Dev account
3.7% · holds
3.7% · holds
3.7% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev
—
—
—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side
—
0.4% · 1 of 1 hold
1.0% · 1 of 1 hold
Early buyers in a bundle
—
—
—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group
0.3% · 2 of 2 hold
0.2% · 1 of 2 hold
0% · 0 of 2 hold
Other early buyers
2.2% · 2 of 2 hold
2.5% · 2 of 3 hold
5.0% · 4 of 5 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)
2.5% · 4 wallets
3.1% · 6 wallets
5.9% · 8 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)
93.8%
93.1%
90.3%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)
100%
100%
100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder
100% · 0 merged
100% · 0 merged
100% · 0 merged
How to read the table
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
Early buyers the first 8 wallets that bought, and what links them
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.