ZEARLANA nearly.trade

zearlana-2.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 15 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

+10
Received 38.00 NEAR 5.3 h before the launch from jackfriar.near, whose earlier launch ansem-2.nearlytrade.near (made by nearlyceo.near, linked to him) ended as a rug.
Evidence: transaction tnL2oHRXF4mGrEV83…DMmnT, launch ansem-2.nearlytrade.near
+5
The name 'zearlana' was already used 29 min earlier by another creator (zearlana.nearlytrade.near).
Evidence: launch zearlana.nearlytr….near

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 22 % (825 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 15.20 NEAR.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
Sold by: nearlyceo.near (dev).
Passed the threshold at 2026-10-16 18:10:04 UTC, 30.0 min after the launch: 2CV674Jf63Jw2…LS1Vs.
Outside buyers' net result: -15.20 NEAR · insiders' net result: -0.03 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-10-16 17:40:03 UTC · block 220254017 · history: launch only
Transaction	9JAVNyqK4QHMC…kKAyS
Creator	nearlyceo.near explorer
Pool	wrap.near\|zearlana-2.nearlytrade.near\|10000
Dev buy	40.00 NEAR
Tax options	buy 1.00% · sell 3.00% · creator's share of the tax 0.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:50 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-10-16 21:24 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0 · no trade seen in our live data

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	0%	0%	0%	100%	102.6%
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	—	30.0 min	30.0 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)	23	25	27	27	27
Buyers spent	189.18 NEAR	204.05 NEAR	213.05 NEAR	213.05 NEAR	213.05 NEAR
Buyers net result	+17.95 NEAR	+8.28 NEAR	-10.16 NEAR	-15.20 NEAR	-16.24 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	0%	0%	0%	100%	102.6%
Insiders' net result	+13.75 NEAR	+11.10 NEAR	+2.89 NEAR	-0.03 NEAR	+0.95 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.30x	1.32x	1.32x	1.32x	1.32x
Holders	19	13	8	7	4
Top 10 holders' share	91.2%	98.3%	100%	100%	100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	3.7% · holds	3.7% · holds	0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	0% · 0 of 2 hold
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	9.7% · 12 of 17 hold	8.0% · 7 of 17 hold	1.7% · 2 of 17 hold
Other early buyers	2.1% · 6 of 6 hold	2.3% · 5 of 8 hold	1.1% · 2 of 8 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	11.8% · 23 wallets	10.4% · 25 wallets	2.8% · 27 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	84.4%	85.9%	97.2%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	91.2%	98.3%	100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	95.3% · 2 merged	99.8% · 1 merged	100% · 0 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 trading bot developer	5 s · transaction	2.00 NEAR	3.3 min after buying · transaction	+0.39 NEAR	pair bought within 13.0 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 254 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 29.5 s of js1112s.near · 47 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 59.7 s of 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
2	70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b	18 s · transaction	2.50 NEAR	20.4 min after buying · transaction	+0.09 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 212 of those launches pair bought within 13.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 254 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 50.5 s of alola.near · 103 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 51.0 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 68 launches together · their buy · evidence and 7 more pairs · all pairs
3	ba0f0d4ae4338b9…b33c8	24 s · transaction	59.76 NEAR	18.6 min after buying · transaction	-2.58 NEAR	pair bought within 44.2 s of alola.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 40.4 s of 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 19.3 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
4	js1112s.near	34 s · transaction	10.00 NEAR	2.6 min after buying · transaction	+1.54 NEAR	pair bought within 29.5 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 47 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 16.5 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 33.9 s of alola.near · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
5	4fff4175970134e…82fa3	35 s · transaction	20.00 NEAR	not sold	-2.86 NEAR	pair bought within 32.8 s of alola.near · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 17.7 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.1 s of js1112s.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
6	barrey.near	45 s · transaction	8.00 NEAR	8.6 min after buying · transaction	+0.65 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 47 of those launches pair bought within 22.7 s of alola.near · 22 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 27.8 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 23.2 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
7	frigid_polar1.u….near	58 s · transaction	1.98 NEAR	2.8 min after buying · transaction	+0.11 NEAR	pair bought within 40.8 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 9.7 s of alola.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 10.2 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
8	0xfrex.near	60 s · transaction	6.50 NEAR	47.2 min after buying · transaction	-1.49 NEAR	pair bought within 8.5 s of alola.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 41.9 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 55.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
9	4ae627b0c091dac…352f4	64 s · transaction	14.00 NEAR	2.3 min after buying · transaction	-0.15 NEAR	group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 17 of those launches pair bought within 3.8 s of alola.near · 21 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 59.7 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 4.3 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence and 8 more pairs · all pairs
10	alola.near	68 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	30.1 min after buying · transaction	-0.23 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches pair bought within 50.5 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 103 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.5 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 55 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 33.9 s of js1112s.near · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence and 12 more pairs · all pairs
11	e8a162641a55288…58210	69 s · transaction	8.00 NEAR	16.3 min after buying · transaction	-0.41 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 145 of those launches pair bought within 51.0 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 68 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.5 s of alola.near · 55 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 34.4 s of js1112s.near · 16 launches together · their buy · evidence and 8 more pairs · all pairs
12	ddd677c8455ff08…63c01	69 s · transaction	4.95 NEAR	4.0 min after buying · transaction	-0.0055 NEAR	group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 10 of those launches pair bought within 0.5 s of alola.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 51.0 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
13	destruktor.near	71 s · transaction	5.00 NEAR	26.8 min after buying · transaction	-1.14 NEAR	pair bought within 2.9 s of alola.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
14	sixways.near	78 s · transaction	1.30 NEAR	6.5 min after buying · transaction	-0.0076 NEAR	pair bought within 9.6 s of alola.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 9.1 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 13.4 s of 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
15	darkoasis5043.near	83 s · transaction	5.00 NEAR	114 s after buying · transaction	-0.18 NEAR	pair bought within 15.1 s of alola.near · 10 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 14.6 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 18.9 s of 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
16	525be0f25e7adf4…c36ef	83 s · transaction	4.00 NEAR	4.1 min after buying · transaction	-0.12 NEAR	pair bought within 18.9 s of 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 15.1 s of alola.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
17	i12345678910111…19.tg	96 s · transaction	0.15 NEAR	5.9 min after buying · transaction	-0.0031 NEAR	none found
18	i1156173191.tg	97 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	6.7 min after buying · transaction	-0.04 NEAR	none found
19	2f826272c46bfc2…f9b4c	106 s · transaction	15.20 NEAR	not sold	-4.15 NEAR	none found
20	ab2295f07e95ecb…8fa65	2.1 min · transaction	4.96 NEAR	4.8 min after buying · transaction	-0.24 NEAR	pair bought within 58.2 s of alola.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of nearlyceo.near

Time	Launchpad	Token	Risk	Outcome	Data
2026-10-16 11:43 UTC	nearly.trade	ansem-2.nearlytrade.near	0 Low retro	rug	history: launch only
2026-10-16 12:06 UTC	nearly.trade	3digits.nearlytrade.near	0 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-16 16:14 UTC	nearly.trade	roadster.nearlytrade.near	10 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only