ZEARLANA nearly.trade

zearlana.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Elevated 30 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

+20
Trade tax 1.00% buy / 1.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 33.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 100, sell_bps 100, creator_bps 3300).
Evidence: launch zearlana.nearlytr….near
+10
Received 6.36 NEAR 42.9 h before the launch from robin_hoot.near, whose earlier launch baldman-027fe1.launchpad.justhoot.near (made by kuill.near, linked to him) ended as a rug; 4 such funders in all.
Evidence: transaction GPcELDZWBmeF7JMbD…mvenv, launch baldman-027fe1.la….near

The largest funder's (kudd.near) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 22 % (820 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing; the price held at 18 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold — of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Sold by: kuill.near (dev).
Outside buyers' net result: -94.39 NEAR · insiders' net result: +6.79 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 18% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-10-16 17:11:16 UTC · block 220251123 · history: launch only
Transaction	EzREfZs93h5AT…x7WpR
Creator	kuill.near explorer
Pool	wrap.near\|zearlana.nearlytrade.near\|10000
Dev buy	0.00 NEAR
Tax options	buy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 33.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:50 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-30 00:31 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-10-30 00:31 UTC
Price now	1.00x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.18x the peak
Outside buyers in profit	27 of 77 · 35.1%
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account	0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	<0.01% · 2 of 2 hold
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	0% · 0 of 1 hold
Early buyers in a bundle	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	0% · 0 of 20 hold

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	—	—	61.2 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)	36	61	77	77	77
Buyers spent	921.70 NEAR	1,930.89 NEAR	2,536.16 NEAR	2,610.96 NEAR	2,610.96 NEAR
Buyers net result	+353.28 NEAR	+1,232.81 NEAR	-73.36 NEAR	-91.26 NEAR	-94.39 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	—	—	—	—	—
Insiders' net result	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	0.00 NEAR	+6.79 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	2.70x	5.45x	5.45x	5.45x	5.45x
Holders	28	36	13	6	7
Top 10 holders' share	89.8%	85.3%	99.1%	100%	100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	0.4% · 1 of 1 hold	0% · 0 of 1 hold	0% · 0 of 1 hold
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	28.1% · 16 of 20 hold	24.8% · 11 of 20 hold	<0.01% · 1 of 20 hold
Other early buyers	4.2% · 7 of 9 hold	3.6% · 4 of 9 hold	0% · 0 of 9 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	32.8% · 30 wallets	28.4% · 30 wallets	0% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	67.2%	71.6%	100%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	89.8%	85.3%	100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	90.3% · 1 merged	85.3% · 1 merged	100% · 0 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 trading bot developer	4 s · transaction	2.00 NEAR	75 s after buying · transaction	+0.46 NEAR	pair bought within 1.2 s of 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 · 194 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 36.3 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 100 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 13.8 s of 56c9a6ef438223b….near · 79 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
2	976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8	6 s · transaction	19.96 NEAR	3.2 min after buying · transaction	+14.22 NEAR	pair bought within 1.2 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 194 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 35.1 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 30 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 12.6 s of 56c9a6ef438223b….near · 22 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
3	56c9a6ef438223b….near	18 s · transaction	32.00 NEAR	52 s after buying · transaction	+6.00 NEAR	pair bought within 13.8 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 79 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 12.6 s of 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 · 22 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 22.6 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 16 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
4	96952333f9d9862…d9f77	29 s · transaction	6.00 NEAR	3.0 min after buying · transaction	+5.97 NEAR	pair bought within 1.2 s of 3ab30e9ce2099d0…c3804 · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 24.7 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 11.6 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
5	3ab30e9ce2099d0…c3804	30 s · transaction	114.82 NEAR	3.2 min after buying · transaction	+102.91 NEAR	dev side received 1.00 NEAR from kuill.near (the dev), 4094.8 min before its first buy · transaction pair bought within 25.9 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 24 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.2 s of 96952333f9d9862…d9f77 · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 10.5 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
6	e8a162641a55288…58210	41 s · transaction	8.00 NEAR	80 s after buying · transaction	-0.60 NEAR	pair bought within 36.3 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 100 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 35.1 s of 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 · 30 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 22.6 s of 56c9a6ef438223b….near · 16 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
7	62d1b9c88f35252…f6973	49 s · transaction	9.97 NEAR	13.8 min after buying · transaction	+22.05 NEAR	pair bought within 44.8 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 18.9 s of 3ab30e9ce2099d0…c3804 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
8	bravox3.near	107 s · transaction	5.94 NEAR	22.8 min after buying · transaction	-1.00 NEAR	none found
9	alola.near	115 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	3.4 min after buying · transaction	+0.61 NEAR	pair bought within 44.1 s of beenhere.near · 24 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 50.2 s of 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 · 21 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 24.7 s of 5807dd1bbba54c9….near · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
10	807c0817f8b8bc8…eefc9	2.0 min · transaction	4.99 NEAR	56 s after buying · transaction	+0.53 NEAR	none found
11	shikigima.near	2.2 min · transaction	95.00 NEAR	3.1 min after buying · transaction	+14.54 NEAR	pair bought within 15.8 s of alola.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
12	5807dd1bbba54c9….near	2.3 min · transaction	10.00 NEAR	14.0 min after buying · transaction	-0.83 NEAR	pair bought within 24.7 s of alola.near · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 25.4 s of 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
13	525be0f25e7adf4…c36ef	2.5 min · transaction	7.00 NEAR	58 s after buying · transaction	+1.55 NEAR	pair bought within 15.5 s of 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 34.7 s of alola.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
14	beenhere.near	2.6 min · transaction	2.00 NEAR	4.5 min after buying · transaction	+1.61 NEAR	pair bought within 44.1 s of alola.near · 24 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 46.6 s of h2onear.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
15	bcf727798c6534c…70f7f	2.7 min · transaction	5.00 NEAR	3.2 min after buying · transaction	+3.98 NEAR	pair bought within 45.3 s of alola.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
16	ba0f0d4ae4338b9…b33c8	2.7 min · transaction	535.37 NEAR	13.2 min after buying · transaction	+187.64 NEAR	pair bought within 45.3 s of alola.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 4.8 s of 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 52.0 s of darkoasis5043.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
17	4ae627b0c091dac…352f4	2.8 min · transaction	17.00 NEAR	5.0 min after buying · transaction	+6.27 NEAR	group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 17 of those launches pair bought within 50.2 s of alola.near · 21 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 40.5 s of h2onear.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 15.5 s of 525be0f25e7adf4…c36ef · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs
18	satirexxx.near	2.9 min · transaction	19.80 NEAR	13.6 min after buying · transaction	+1.10 NEAR	none found
19	frigid_polar1.u….near	3.2 min · transaction	4.95 NEAR	12.9 min after buying · transaction	-1.42 NEAR	pair bought within 12.9 s of h2onear.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
20	goodtower8351.near	3.4 min · transaction	10.00 NEAR	2.6 min after buying · transaction	-0.75 NEAR	none found

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of kuill.near

Time	Launchpad	Token	Risk	Outcome	Data
2026-10-04 22:21 UTC	nearly.trade	lili.nearlytrade.near	20 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-05 13:02 UTC	justhoot v1	hootrev-0916a9.launchpad.justhoot.near	0 Low retro	undefined	history: launch only
2026-10-05 21:23 UTC	nearly.trade	potato.nearlytrade.near	20 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-09 16:37 UTC	justhoot v1	quanthoot-9a8887.launchpad.justhoot.near	0 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-11 22:53 UTC	justhoot v1	illiadance-b8e4c5.launchpad.justh….near	0 Low retro	undefined	history: launch only
2026-10-11 22:56 UTC	justhoot v1	illiadance-b1e5d7.launchpad.justh….near	0 Low retro	undefined	history: launch only
2026-10-14 00:40 UTC	nearly.trade	dogillia.nearlytrade.near	20 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-14 14:48 UTC	justhoot v1	silentswap-553827.launchpad.justh….near	0 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-16 11:45 UTC	justhoot v1	baldman-027fe1.launchpad.justhoot.near	0 Low retro	rug	history: launch only
2026-10-22 13:46 UTC	justhoot v2	nearswaps.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near	10 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-23 18:02 UTC	justhoot v2	illiapolos.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near	10 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only