SLIPP nearly.trade

slipp.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 20 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

+20
Trade tax 2.00% buy / 3.00% sell; after the platform's 30.00% cut the creator gets 70.00% of it (1.400% per buy, 2.100% per sell; creator_bps 10000, platform_bps 3000).
Evidence: launch slipp.nearlytrade.near

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 22 % (2676 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired by T+24 h, below the 80 % threshold.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 0% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
Outside buyers' net result: -57.81 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.79 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
Price at T+24 h: 43% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-10-08 08:04:58 UTC · block 219056954 · history: launch only
Transaction	DJH94Zkas9bf5…ce6k4
Creator	slipptrade.near explorer
Pool	slipp.nearlytrade.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	42.51 NEAR
Tax options	buy 2.00% · sell 3.00% · creator's share of the tax 100.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 17:07 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-11-13 15:33 UTC
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	—	—	—
Buyers (other than the insiders)	13	14	19	45	46
Buyers spent	124.42 NEAR	148.20 NEAR	354.40 NEAR	891.95 NEAR	926.60 NEAR
Buyers net result	+5.52 NEAR	-6.75 NEAR	+36.71 NEAR	-10.97 NEAR	-57.81 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Insiders' net result	+9.17 NEAR	+3.95 NEAR	+21.58 NEAR	+18.99 NEAR	+0.79 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.19x	1.19x	1.47x	2.29x	2.29x
Holders	11	7	20	23	9
Top 10 holders' share	95.9%	100%	82.9%	94.4%	100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	3.9% · holds	3.9% · holds	3.9% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	7.3% · 9 of 12 hold	0.5% · 1 of 12 hold	0.4% · 1 of 12 hold
Other early buyers	1.4% · 1 of 1 hold	3.4% · 2 of 2 hold	9.1% · 11 of 18 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	8.8% · 13 wallets	3.9% · 14 wallets	9.5% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	87.3%	92.2%	86.6%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	95.9%	100%	94.4%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	100% · 1 merged	100% · 0 merged	94.4% · 0 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	5d194c7b6c82ebe…2b4cc	14 s · transaction	6.00 NEAR	55.0 min after buying · transaction	+2.48 NEAR	pair bought within 1.9 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 18 launches together · their buy · evidence
2	70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b	16 s · transaction	2.50 NEAR	71 s after buying · transaction	-0.14 NEAR	pair bought within 1.9 s of 5d194c7b6c82ebe…2b4cc · 18 launches together · their buy · evidence
3	e8a162641a55288…58210	86 s · transaction	8.00 NEAR	2.4 min after buying · transaction	+0.62 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 145 of those launches pair bought within 23.9 s of d1de82541ee4575…a191b · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 6.4 s of b196fe8d7a4140c…f04ea · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 6.4 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
4	soundsite36.near	88 s · transaction	69.30 NEAR	4.5 min after buying · transaction	+9.79 NEAR	pair bought within 4.7 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 4.7 s of b196fe8d7a4140c…f04ea · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 4.7 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
5	b2a29568eb32627…0dda9	93 s · transaction	16.60 NEAR	3.8 min after buying · transaction	+4.34 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 43 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.2 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 2.3 s of 99fde2f219bf2de…57c0f · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
6	b196fe8d7a4140c…f04ea	93 s · transaction	16.60 NEAR	3.9 min after buying · transaction	+2.64 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 35 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 34 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.2 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs
7	2e6d3355d0e0fa4…ccbb1	93 s · transaction	16.60 NEAR	3.9 min after buying · transaction	+2.21 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 26 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 26 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.2 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 25 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
8	57b75e37532eb09…faeea	93 s · transaction	16.60 NEAR	3.9 min after buying · transaction	+2.75 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 42 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.7 s of 94feda709c301ed…63090 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.2 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs
9	82804aad087fc31…e82f3	94 s · transaction	16.60 NEAR	3.8 min after buying · transaction	+2.86 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 41 of those launches pair bought within 1.0 s of 99fde2f219bf2de…57c0f · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.2 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.5 s of 94feda709c301ed…63090 · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs
10	94feda709c301ed…63090	94 s · transaction	16.60 NEAR	3.8 min after buying · transaction	+2.71 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 42 of those launches pair bought within 1.7 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.5 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.5 s of 99fde2f219bf2de…57c0f · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence and 6 more pairs · all pairs
11	99fde2f219bf2de…57c0f	95 s · transaction	16.60 NEAR	3.8 min after buying · transaction	+3.21 NEAR	group one of 10 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 41 of those launches pair bought within 1.0 s of 82804aad087fc31…e82f3 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 2.3 s of b2a29568eb32627…0dda9 · 41 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.5 s of 94feda709c301ed…63090 · 40 launches together · their buy · evidence and 5 more pairs · all pairs
12	d1de82541ee4575…a191b	110 s · transaction	1.98 NEAR	2.1 min after buying · transaction	-0.17 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 58 of those launches pair bought within 23.9 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 15.8 s of 94feda709c301ed…63090 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 17.5 s of 57b75e37532eb09…faeea · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
13	johndoe1235.near	5.0 min · transaction	38.61 NEAR	52.1 min after buying · transaction	+6.57 NEAR	none found
14	cb404c1cd916a46…f4a64	8.5 min · transaction	23.79 NEAR	not sold	+7.07 NEAR	none found
15	889912.near	20.7 min · transaction	12.00 NEAR	not sold	+2.59 NEAR	none found
16	bf9c9b725df0744…ca524	26.4 min · transaction	9.25 NEAR	14.4 min after buying · transaction	+2.27 NEAR	none found
17	h2onear.near	27.4 min · transaction	10.00 NEAR	13.7 min after buying · transaction	-0.45 NEAR	none found
18	equalharbor5773.near	28.8 min · transaction	49.50 NEAR	11.6 min after buying · transaction	+8.60 NEAR	none found
19	443d98b9e8636ec…319b4	29.8 min · transaction	82.00 NEAR	not sold	-13.68 NEAR	none found
20	0aec2da507e7346…7ddf3	30.9 min · transaction	2.97 NEAR	24.0 min after buying · transaction	+0.05 NEAR	none found

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of slipptrade.near

None known.