SLUG nearly.trade

slug-10.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 25 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

  • +20
    Trade tax 1.00% buy / 1.00% sell; after the platform's 20.00% cut the creator gets 80.00% of it (0.800% per buy, 0.800% per sell; creator_bps 10000, platform_bps 2000).
    Evidence: launch slug-10.nearlytrade.near
  • +5
    The name 'slug' was already used 21 min earlier by another creator (slug-9.nearlytrade.near).
    Evidence: launch slug-9.nearlytrade.near

The largest funder's (b739676bb39641605df79cdefa769d343465e326e20c871b5ef901a247a08ea3) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 20 % (1458 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 16.63 NEAR.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 117.7% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
  • Sold by: d_dvach-hot1.tg (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-09-30 16:20:25 UTC, 7.3 min after the launch: CnZJFq7WgMBvS…tYoKo.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -16.63 NEAR · insiders' net result: +4.68 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-09-30 16:13:06 UTC · block 217937658 · history: launch only
TransactionAbJzoJArm9GWq…8yjmT
Creatord_dvach-hot1.tg explorer
Poolslug-10.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy10.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 100.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:49 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade2026-09-30 22:40 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0 · no trade seen in our live data
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%100%100%117.7%117.7%
Dev's first sell after launch—7.3 min7.3 min7.3 min7.3 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)3131313131
Buyers spent385.35 NEAR385.85 NEAR385.85 NEAR385.85 NEAR385.85 NEAR
Buyers net result+42.97 NEAR-16.50 NEAR-16.54 NEAR-16.63 NEAR-17.11 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%100%100%117.7%117.7%
Insiders' net result+4.93 NEAR+2.93 NEAR+2.93 NEAR+4.68 NEAR+4.68 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.78x1.78x1.78x1.78x1.78x
Holders223443
Top 10 holders' share84.6%100%100%100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0.9% · holds 0% · holds nothing 0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 14.7% · 16 of 24 hold 0.1% · 1 of 24 hold 0.1% · 1 of 24 hold
Other early buyers 2.4% · 4 of 6 hold 1.6% · 2 of 6 hold 1.6% · 2 of 6 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)17.2% · 30 wallets1.7% · 30 wallets1.7% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)81.9%98.3%98.3%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)84.6%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder93.5% · 2 merged100% · 1 merged100% · 1 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 f17d0815e8d5bf4…b21f6 14 s · transaction 5.00 NEAR 41 s after buying · transaction -0.13 NEAR
pair bought within 33.6 s of 8033c5e8d587f59…817b7 · 24 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 22.3 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 22 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 41.7 s of d1de82541ee4575…a191b · 18 launches together · their buy · evidence
early buyer in 334 of 709 launches (not put in a group)
2 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b 36 s · transaction 2.50 NEAR 3.9 min after buying · transaction +0.59 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 212 of those launches
pair bought within 22.3 s of f17d0815e8d5bf4…b21f6 · 22 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 11.4 s of 8033c5e8d587f59…817b7 · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 19.4 s of d1de82541ee4575…a191b · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence
3 8033c5e8d587f59…817b7 47 s · transaction 4.95 NEAR 3.8 min after buying · transaction +3.44 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 48 of those launches
pair bought within 33.6 s of f17d0815e8d5bf4…b21f6 · 24 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 8.1 s of d1de82541ee4575…a191b · 18 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 11.4 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence
4 d1de82541ee4575…a191b 55 s · transaction 0.99 NEAR 12.1 min after buying · transaction -0.03 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 58 of those launches
pair bought within 8.1 s of 8033c5e8d587f59…817b7 · 18 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 41.7 s of f17d0815e8d5bf4…b21f6 · 18 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 53.7 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
5 579b7294974b54d…30203 109 s · transaction 15.00 NEAR 8.0 min after buying · transaction -0.0049 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 55 of those launches
pair bought within 45.2 s of alola.near · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 53.7 s of d1de82541ee4575…a191b · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 46.5 s of kimpet77.near · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
6 d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 2.2 min · transaction 28.35 NEAR 6.0 min after buying · transaction +2.01 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 194 of those launches
pair bought within 21.6 s of alola.near · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 22.8 s of kimpet77.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 4.1 s of sessssssssss.near · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 9 more pairs · all pairs
7 sessssssssss.near 2.3 min · transaction 5.00 NEAR 2.5 min after buying · transaction +2.10 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 66 of those launches
pair bought within 17.5 s of alola.near · 21 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 4.1 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 18.7 s of kimpet77.near · 16 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 9 more pairs · all pairs
8 84730cb083829b6…d761e 2.5 min · transaction 3.46 NEAR 2.9 min after buying · transaction +0.23 NEAR
pair bought within 13.9 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 7.7 s of alola.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 8.9 s of kimpet77.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
9 bem1ne.near 2.5 min · transaction 9.90 NEAR 7.8 min after buying · transaction -0.71 NEAR
pair bought within 26.3 s of 6dae7aab94c318e…8ff5d · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.5 s of 84730cb083829b6…d761e · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 6.4 s of kimpet77.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 1 more pairs · all pairs
10 2fa1d1e486a70f9…14f7c 2.5 min · transaction 30.00 NEAR 2.4 min after buying · transaction +8.95 NEAR
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 11 of those launches
pair bought within 41.2 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 13.4 s of sessssssssss.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 19.3 s of 920b3a669f9f318…ce387 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 10 more pairs · all pairs
11 alola.near 2.6 min · transaction 1.00 NEAR not sold -0.18 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches
pair bought within 21.6 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 17.5 s of sessssssssss.near · 21 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.2 s of kimpet77.near · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 10 more pairs · all pairs
12 kimpet77.near 2.6 min · transaction 10.00 NEAR 2.6 min after buying · transaction +0.94 NEAR
pair bought within 22.8 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.2 s of alola.near · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 18.7 s of sessssssssss.near · 16 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 10 more pairs · all pairs
13 nicemouse6015.near 2.6 min · transaction 1.00 NEAR 2.4 min after buying · transaction +0.20 NEAR none found
14 supremegay.near 2.6 min · transaction 39.68 NEAR 2.5 min after buying · transaction +3.71 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 49 of those launches
pair bought within 21.6 s of syndi95.near · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.3 s of alola.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 47.5 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 10 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
15 localdome493.near 2.7 min · transaction 3.50 NEAR 8.0 min after buying · transaction -0.88 NEAR
pair bought within 53.0 s of 579b7294974b54d…30203 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 6.5 s of kimpet77.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 11.8 s of 2fa1d1e486a70f9…14f7c · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
16 920b3a669f9f318…ce387 2.8 min · transaction 5.00 NEAR 2.0 min after buying · transaction +0.95 NEAR
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 15 of those launches
pair bought within 32.7 s of sessssssssss.near · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 5.8 s of 6dae7aab94c318e…8ff5d · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 15.3 s of alola.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 9 more pairs · all pairs
17 e53f4e2dade71ca…cd5f7 2.8 min · transaction 30.00 NEAR 108 s after buying · transaction +6.79 NEAR
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 12 of those launches
pair bought within 15.8 s of alola.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 33.3 s of sessssssssss.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 37.4 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
18 a3cb153394cd999…41e6c 2.9 min · transaction 2.00 NEAR 118 s after buying · transaction +0.24 NEAR
pair bought within 38.5 s of sessssssssss.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 5.2 s of e53f4e2dade71ca…cd5f7 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 19.8 s of kimpet77.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
19 6dae7aab94c318e…8ff5d 2.9 min · transaction 30.00 NEAR 109 s after buying · transaction +1.01 NEAR
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 13 of those launches
pair bought within 21.0 s of alola.near · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 38.5 s of sessssssssss.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 42.6 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 8 more pairs · all pairs
20 syndi95.near 3.0 min · transaction 29.76 NEAR 4.8 min after buying · transaction -4.99 NEAR
pair bought within 21.6 s of supremegay.near · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 41.3 s of sessssssssss.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 23.8 s of alola.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of d_dvach-hot1.tg

TimeLaunchpadTokenRiskOutcomeData
2026-09-30 16:33 UTC nearly.trade looongcat.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 16:56 UTC nearly.trade jarvis.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 17:00 UTC nearly.trade stockcat.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 17:11 UTC nearly.trade cashcat.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 17:58 UTC nearly.trade nai-8.nearlytrade.near 75 High retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 18:21 UTC nearly.trade nomo-4.nearlytrade.near 75 High retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 18:24 UTC nearly.trade amc-2.nearlytrade.near 75 High retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 18:26 UTC nearly.trade rma.nearlytrade.near 70 High retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 18:33 UTC nearly.trade ni-6.nearlytrade.near 70 High retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 18:36 UTC nearly.trade slug-12.nearlytrade.near 75 High retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 18:40 UTC justhoot v1 neartifica-31e9e4.launchpad.justh….near 50 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 19:01 UTC nearly.trade mooncoin.nearlytrade.near 70 High retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 19:07 UTC justhoot v1 upsidedown-1e2e13.launchpad.justh….near 50 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 19:15 UTC nearly.trade nearlotto.nearlytrade.near 70 High retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-30 19:23 UTC justhoot v1 serioscat-44a6a6.launchpad.justhoot.near 50 Elevated retro undefined history: launch only
2026-10-02 22:35 UTC nearly.trade slug-13.nearlytrade.near 65 High retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-04 23:23 UTC nearly.trade titcat.nearlytrade.near 60 High retro no rug history: launch only