WMARK nearly.trade

wmark.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 20 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

  • +20
    Trade tax 1.00% buy / 1.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 33.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 100, sell_bps 100, creator_bps 3300).
    Evidence: launch wmark.nearlytrade.near

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 40 % (792 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 12.91 NEAR.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
  • Sold by: wagemark.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-10-28 13:46:37 UTC, 16.5 min after the launch: FxfzanDt3fXGR…ymhzS.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -12.91 NEAR · insiders' net result: -0.45 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-10-28 13:30:06 UTC · block 221982110 · history: launch only
Transaction13ZJaX8DhaYCR…Ea5bo
Creatorwagemark.near explorer
Poolwmark.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy23.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 33.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:50 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-28 15:01 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-10-28 15:01 UTC
Price now0.98x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.51x the peak
Outside buyers in profit15 of 31 · 48.4%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group0% · 0 of 24 hold
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%0%100%100%100%
Dev's first sell after launch——16.5 min16.5 min16.5 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)2831313131
Buyers spent342.12 NEAR408.62 NEAR408.62 NEAR408.62 NEAR408.62 NEAR
Buyers net result+100.94 NEAR-10.43 NEAR-12.91 NEAR-12.91 NEAR-12.92 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%0%100%100%100%
Insiders' net result+17.27 NEAR+2.16 NEAR-0.45 NEAR-0.45 NEAR-0.45 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.81x1.93x1.93x1.93x1.93x
Holders277110
Top 10 holders' share73.1%100%100%100%—

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 2.1% · holds 2.1% · holds 0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 20.9% · 23 of 24 hold 2.3% · 4 of 24 hold 0.0% · 1 of 24 hold
Other early buyers 2.5% · 3 of 4 hold 1.7% · 2 of 6 hold 0% · 0 of 6 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)23.4% · 28 wallets4.0% · 30 wallets0.0% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)74.4%93.9%100.0%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)73.1%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder98.5% · 1 merged100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged

The dev sent tokens to other wallets: those are in the "got tokens from the dev" row, not in the dev's own.

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 tyty.sendler-b.near bot_wallet 3 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 14.2 min after buying · transaction +0.11 NEAR
pair bought within 0.6 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 307 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 249 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 207 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 13 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 396 of 533 launches (not put in a group)
2 jopka.sendler-b.near bot_wallet 3 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 14.2 min after buying · transaction +0.07 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 251 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of dolph.sendler-b.near · 196 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 192 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 294 of 644 launches (not put in a group)
3 wrapz-z.near independent_sniper 3 s · transaction 3.00 NEAR 14.2 min after buying · transaction +0.18 NEAR
pair bought within 0.6 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 207 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 13 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
4 dolph.sendler-b.near bot_wallet 3 s · transaction 0.50 NEAR 2.0 min after buying · transaction +0.09 NEAR
pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 196 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 179 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 141 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 212 of 335 launches (not put in a group)
5 c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 3 s · transaction 3.00 NEAR 16.5 min after buying · transaction -0.73 NEAR
pair bought within 0.6 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of jopka.sendler-b.near · 251 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 13 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
6 b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper 3 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 15.1 min after buying · transaction +0.05 NEAR
pair bought within 0.6 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of wrapz-z.near · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 307 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 13 more pairs · all pairs
early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
7 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 4 s · transaction 21.77 NEAR 16.0 min after buying · transaction -0.71 NEAR
pair bought within 1.2 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 194 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.6 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 158 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 1.2 s of wrapz-z.near · 119 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 13 more pairs · all pairs
8 flatbat5958.near 29 s · transaction 43.00 NEAR 13.7 min after buying · transaction +2.63 NEAR
group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 20 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of finequiche1009.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of lowfrog6012.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 9.1 s of alola.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 15 more pairs · all pairs
9 finequiche1009.near 29 s · transaction 25.00 NEAR 13.7 min after buying · transaction +6.85 NEAR
group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 20 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of flatbat5958.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of lowfrog6012.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 9.1 s of alola.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 15 more pairs · all pairs
10 lowfrog6012.near 29 s · transaction 33.00 NEAR 13.7 min after buying · transaction -3.99 NEAR
group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 20 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of finequiche1009.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of flatbat5958.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 9.1 s of alola.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 15 more pairs · all pairs
11 alola.near 38 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 13.6 min after buying · transaction -0.10 NEAR
pair bought within 34.7 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 35.3 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 35.3 s of wrapz-z.near · 138 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 17 more pairs · all pairs
12 dryoil1584.near 43 s · transaction 40.00 NEAR 13.5 min after buying · transaction +0.39 NEAR
group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 19 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of longquiche338.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of stillurial1675.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 14.0 s of finequiche1009.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 15 more pairs · all pairs
13 stillurial1675.near 43 s · transaction 30.00 NEAR 13.5 min after buying · transaction +0.32 NEAR
group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 19 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of dryoil1584.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of longquiche338.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 14.0 s of finequiche1009.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 15 more pairs · all pairs
14 longquiche338.near 43 s · transaction 25.00 NEAR 13.5 min after buying · transaction -4.72 NEAR
group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 19 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of dryoil1584.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.0 s of stillurial1675.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 14.0 s of finequiche1009.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 15 more pairs · all pairs
15 sickuser1627.near 50 s · transaction 24.00 NEAR 13.3 min after buying · transaction -3.53 NEAR
group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 17 of those launches
pair bought within 16.8 s of roughzone8076.near · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 6.9 s of longquiche338.near · 16 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 11.8 s of alola.near · 16 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 15 more pairs · all pairs
16 realsite8942.near 50 s · transaction 15.00 NEAR 13.3 min after buying · transaction +3.46 NEAR
group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 14 of those launches
pair bought within 16.3 s of roughzone8076.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 0.5 s of sickuser1627.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 7.4 s of dryoil1584.near · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 15 more pairs · all pairs
17 roundapp1514.near 53 s · transaction 15.00 NEAR 13.3 min after buying · transaction +3.50 NEAR
group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 8 of those launches
pair bought within 3.3 s of sickuser1627.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 10.2 s of dryoil1584.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 10.2 s of longquiche338.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 15 more pairs · all pairs
18 roughzone8076.near 67 s · transaction 10.00 NEAR 13.1 min after buying · transaction -0.63 NEAR
group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 18 of those launches
pair bought within 16.8 s of sickuser1627.near · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 23.7 s of longquiche338.near · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 28.6 s of alola.near · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 11 more pairs · all pairs
19 pinkzest7538.near 67 s · transaction 10.00 NEAR 13.1 min after buying · transaction -1.36 NEAR
group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 14 of those launches
pair bought within 0.0 s of roughzone8076.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 16.8 s of sickuser1627.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 23.7 s of dryoil1584.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 11 more pairs · all pairs
20 sparezest902.near 83 s · transaction 13.00 NEAR 12.8 min after buying · transaction -3.12 NEAR
group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 8 of those launches
pair bought within 15.9 s of pinkzest7538.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 15.9 s of roughzone8076.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 29.4 s of roundapp1514.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 11 more pairs · all pairs
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of wagemark.near

None known.