BABYNEARLY nearly.trade

babynearly-2.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

No risk signal fired for this launch.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 0 % (3 launches) — too few to judge (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders' sold share unknown and the insiders sold nothing; the price held at 96 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold — of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
  • Sold by: 575f33e985598f429f49d…a9953 (dev).
  • Outside buyers' net result: +0.10 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.01 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
  • Price at T+24 h: 96% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-09-23 15:26:13 UTC · block 216925094 · history: launch only
TransactionF2StmZCwRaUSy…9y53H
Creator575f33e985598f429f49d780b1b654c10baae042551ae00a59a9ee7a21da9953 explorer
Poolbabynearly-2.nearlytrade.near|nearly-993927.nearlytrade.near|10000
Dev buy0.00 NEAR

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:42 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-02 12:42 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-11-02 12:42 UTC
Price now0.99x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.78x the peak
Outside buyers in profit5 of 45 · 11.1%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group—
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)—————
Dev's first sell after launch————152.0 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)33448
Buyers spent1.33 NEAR1.33 NEAR1.48 NEAR1.48 NEAR2.69 NEAR
Buyers net result+0.05 NEAR+0.05 NEAR+0.02 NEAR+0.02 NEAR+0.10 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)—————
Insiders' net result0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR+0.0059 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.10x1.10x1.11x1.11x1.20x
Holders43348
Top 10 holders' share100%100%100%100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0% · holds nothing 0% · holds nothing 0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group — — —
Other early buyers 7.5% · 3 of 3 hold 5.6% · 2 of 3 hold 4.5% · 2 of 4 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)7.5% · 3 wallets5.6% · 3 wallets4.5% · 4 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)92.5%94.4%95.5%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 4 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 26e8df01044009d…8f3e3 55 s · transaction 0.34 NEAR 28.1 min after buying · transaction +0.02 NEAR
2 cutelace2414.near 83 s · transaction 0.34 NEAR 6.1 min after buying · transaction +0.02 NEAR
3 02164585252775b…cd7a8 84 s · transaction 0.66 NEAR not sold -0.02 NEAR
4 116811.near 17.1 min · transaction 0.15 NEAR 5.3 min after buying · transaction -0.0031 NEAR
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of 575f33e985598f429f49d…a9953

TimeLaunchpadTokenRiskOutcomeData
2026-09-23 11:49 UTC nearly.trade babynearly.nearlytrade.near 0 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-23 15:29 UTC nearly.trade nearlycat.nearlytrade.near 0 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-23 17:04 UTC nearly.trade nearlyguy.nearlytrade.near 0 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-27 01:30 UTC nearly.trade attention.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-27 01:37 UTC nearly.trade nearfi.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-27 02:02 UTC nearly.trade coder.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-27 02:05 UTC nearly.trade penguin.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-27 15:11 UTC nearly.trade teslarly.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 02:12 UTC nearly.trade ani.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 02:19 UTC nearly.trade launchnear.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 09:45 UTC nearly.trade beetle.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 09:48 UTC nearly.trade vista.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 09:53 UTC nearly.trade nearin.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 09:56 UTC nearly.trade nul.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 10:00 UTC nearly.trade launch.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 10:02 UTC nearly.trade keel.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 10:29 UTC nearly.trade outpost.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 11:45 UTC nearly.trade shards.nearlytrade.near 50 Elevated retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 11:55 UTC nearly.trade bot.nearlytrade.near 50 Elevated retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 13:02 UTC nearly.trade hectile.nearlytrade.near 50 Elevated retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 13:04 UTC nearly.trade core.nearlytrade.near 50 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 13:12 UTC nearly.trade nepbot.nearlytrade.near 50 Elevated retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 19:38 UTC nearly.trade neural.nearlytrade.near 50 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-07 05:54 UTC nearly.trade jev.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-23 01:19 UTC justhoot v2 vista.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only