ATTENTION nearly.trade

attention.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 20 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

  • +20
    Trade tax 2.00% buy / 2.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 50.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 200, sell_bps 200, creator_bps 5000).
    Evidence: launch attention.nearlyt….near

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 1 % (133 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. no outside buyers; the price held at 72 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 246.1% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
  • Sold by: 575f33e985598f429f49d…a9953 (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-09-27 01:39:37 UTC, 9.5 min after the launch: 3dfM37rkRVnB1…Vjuyv.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -9.15 NEAR · insiders' net result: +1.65 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
  • Price at T+24 h: 72% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-09-27 01:30:06 UTC · block 217419289 · history: launch only
Transaction2KMVezHuV7USY…KgtpX
Creator575f33e985598f429f49d780b1b654c10baae042551ae00a59a9ee7a21da9953 explorer
Poolattention.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy1.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 2.00% · sell 2.00% · creator's share of the tax 50.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:42 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-06 16:43 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-10-06 16:43 UTC
Price now0.96x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.56x the peak
Outside buyers in profit7 of 25 · 28%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group—
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%100%100%100%246.1%
Dev's first sell after launch—9.5 min9.5 min9.5 min9.5 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)000024
Buyers spent0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR581.61 NEAR
Buyers net result0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR0.00 NEAR-9.15 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%100%100%100%246.1%
Insiders' net result-0.02 NEAR-0.06 NEAR-0.06 NEAR-0.06 NEAR+1.65 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer————1.73x
Holders211110
Top 10 holders' share100%100%100%100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0.1% · holds 0% · holds nothing 0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group — — —
Other early buyers — — —
All early buyers (the six rows above)0% · 0 wallets0% · 0 wallets0% · 0 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)99.9%100%100%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Other launches of 575f33e985598f429f49d…a9953

TimeLaunchpadTokenRiskOutcomeData
2026-09-23 11:49 UTC nearly.trade babynearly.nearlytrade.near 0 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-23 15:26 UTC nearly.trade babynearly-2.nearlytrade.near 0 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-23 15:29 UTC nearly.trade nearlycat.nearlytrade.near 0 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-23 17:04 UTC nearly.trade nearlyguy.nearlytrade.near 0 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-27 01:37 UTC nearly.trade nearfi.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-27 02:02 UTC nearly.trade coder.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-27 02:05 UTC nearly.trade penguin.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-27 15:11 UTC nearly.trade teslarly.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 02:12 UTC nearly.trade ani.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 02:19 UTC nearly.trade launchnear.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 09:45 UTC nearly.trade beetle.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 09:48 UTC nearly.trade vista.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 09:53 UTC nearly.trade nearin.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 09:56 UTC nearly.trade nul.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 10:00 UTC nearly.trade launch.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 10:02 UTC nearly.trade keel.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 10:29 UTC nearly.trade outpost.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 11:45 UTC nearly.trade shards.nearlytrade.near 50 Elevated retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 11:55 UTC nearly.trade bot.nearlytrade.near 50 Elevated retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 13:02 UTC nearly.trade hectile.nearlytrade.near 50 Elevated retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 13:04 UTC nearly.trade core.nearlytrade.near 50 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 13:12 UTC nearly.trade nepbot.nearlytrade.near 50 Elevated retro rug history: launch only
2026-09-28 19:38 UTC nearly.trade neural.nearlytrade.near 50 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-07 05:54 UTC nearly.trade jev.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-23 01:19 UTC justhoot v2 vista.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near 30 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only