BLINDKEY nearly.trade

blindkey-2.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 25 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

+20
Trade tax 1.00% buy / 1.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 33.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 100, sell_bps 100, creator_bps 3300).
Evidence: launch blindkey-2.nearly….near
+5
The name 'blindkey' was already used 8 min earlier by another creator (blindkey.nearlytrade.near).
Evidence: launch blindkey.nearlytr….near

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 28 % (747 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 41.29 NEAR.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
Sold by: blindkey.near (dev).
Passed the threshold at 2026-10-20 13:46:58 UTC, 9.0 min after the launch: 2qtMBLLU2aTJm…YdnB8.
Outside buyers' net result: -41.29 NEAR · insiders' net result: +5.38 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-10-20 13:37:56 UTC · block 220809774 · history: launch only
Transaction	4w3EgjyEurUEE…v8qeM
Creator	blindkey.near explorer
Pool	blindkey-2.nearlytrade.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	23.00 NEAR
Tax options	buy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 33.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:43 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-21 11:28 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-10-21 11:28 UTC
Price now	0.99x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.44x the peak
Outside buyers in profit	19 of 41 · 46.3%
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account	0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	3.5% · 2 of 26 hold

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	0%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Dev's first sell after launch	—	9.0 min	9.0 min	9.0 min	9.0 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)	29	38	38	38	41
Buyers spent	452.52 NEAR	644.41 NEAR	644.41 NEAR	644.41 NEAR	650.51 NEAR
Buyers net result	+178.47 NEAR	-28.87 NEAR	-40.78 NEAR	-41.29 NEAR	-40.50 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	0%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Insiders' net result	+23.15 NEAR	+5.38 NEAR	+5.38 NEAR	+5.38 NEAR	+5.38 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	2.10x	2.23x	2.23x	2.23x	2.23x
Holders	28	11	3	2	3
Top 10 holders' share	62.2%	99.8%	100%	100%	100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	2.1% · holds	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	19.9% · 23 of 26 hold	4.0% · 6 of 26 hold	3.5% · 3 of 26 hold
Other early buyers	7.3% · 4 of 4 hold	3.5% · 2 of 4 hold	2.6% · 1 of 4 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	27.2% · 30 wallets	7.5% · 30 wallets	6.1% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	70.6%	92.5%	93.9%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	62.2%	99.8%	100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	94.3% · 3 merged	100% · 1 merged	100% · 1 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	wrapz-z.near independent_sniper	3 s · transaction	2.00 NEAR	9.0 min after buying · transaction	+0.49 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of ro52.near · 171 launches together · their buy · evidence and 13 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 557 of 1039 launches (not put in a group)
2	c8bde0e9209ac73…01899	3 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	9.0 min after buying · transaction	+0.25 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 440 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 14.3 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 254 launches together · their buy · evidence and 13 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 1030 of 1414 launches (not put in a group)
3	b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent_sniper	3 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	15.8 min after buying · transaction	+0.10 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 526 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 451 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of ro52.near · 206 launches together · their buy · evidence and 13 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 733 of 1044 launches (not put in a group)
4	ro52.near	3 s · transaction	5.00 NEAR	12.7 min after buying · transaction	+0.46 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 206 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 191 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 171 launches together · their buy · evidence and 12 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 231 of 314 launches (not put in a group)
5	70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b	18 s · transaction	1.50 NEAR	17.8 min after buying · transaction	+0.03 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 212 of those launches pair bought within 14.3 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 254 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 14.3 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 142 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 17.9 s of alola.near · 103 launches together · their buy · evidence and 14 more pairs · all pairs
6	d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6	24 s · transaction	30.00 NEAR	8.8 min after buying · transaction	+3.10 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 194 of those launches pair bought within 11.2 s of alola.near · 113 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 21.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 107 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 6.7 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 73 launches together · their buy · evidence and 16 more pairs · all pairs
7	finequiche1009.near	27 s · transaction	17.00 NEAR	3.9 min after buying · transaction	+11.16 NEAR	group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 20 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of flatbat5958.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.2 s of lowfrog6012.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 8.3 s of alola.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence and 15 more pairs · all pairs
8	flatbat5958.near	27 s · transaction	17.00 NEAR	4.7 min after buying · transaction	+13.73 NEAR	group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 20 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of finequiche1009.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.2 s of lowfrog6012.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 8.3 s of alola.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence and 15 more pairs · all pairs
9	lowfrog6012.near	28 s · transaction	17.00 NEAR	4.8 min after buying · transaction	+11.67 NEAR	group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 20 of those launches pair bought within 1.2 s of finequiche1009.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.2 s of flatbat5958.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 7.1 s of alola.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence and 15 more pairs · all pairs
10	alola.near	36 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	7.8 min after buying · transaction	+0.18 NEAR	group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches pair bought within 32.3 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 32.3 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 32.3 s of wrapz-z.near · 138 launches together · their buy · evidence and 17 more pairs · all pairs
11	dryoil1584.near	43 s · transaction	19.00 NEAR	5.0 min after buying · transaction	+10.10 NEAR	group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 19 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of stillurial1675.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.2 s of longquiche338.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 14.9 s of lowfrog6012.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence and 16 more pairs · all pairs
12	stillurial1675.near	43 s · transaction	19.00 NEAR	6.4 min after buying · transaction	+10.19 NEAR	group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 19 of those launches pair bought within 0.0 s of dryoil1584.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.2 s of longquiche338.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 14.9 s of lowfrog6012.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence and 16 more pairs · all pairs
13	longquiche338.near	45 s · transaction	19.00 NEAR	6.4 min after buying · transaction	+8.20 NEAR	group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 19 of those launches pair bought within 1.2 s of dryoil1584.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 1.2 s of stillurial1675.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 16.1 s of lowfrog6012.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence and 16 more pairs · all pairs
14	sickuser1627.near	59 s · transaction	20.00 NEAR	6.9 min after buying · transaction	+7.41 NEAR	group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 17 of those launches pair bought within 3.5 s of roughzone8076.near · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 14.8 s of longquiche338.near · 16 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 23.8 s of alola.near · 16 launches together · their buy · evidence and 16 more pairs · all pairs
15	realsite8942.near	59 s · transaction	20.00 NEAR	7.2 min after buying · transaction	+3.35 NEAR	group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 14 of those launches pair bought within 3.5 s of roughzone8076.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of sickuser1627.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 10.9 s of pinkzest7538.near · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence and 16 more pairs · all pairs
16	h2onear.near	61 s · transaction	3.80 NEAR	18.2 min after buying · transaction	-1.14 NEAR	pair bought within 25.6 s of alola.near · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 57.9 s of wrapz-z.near · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 57.9 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs
17	roughzone8076.near	63 s · transaction	20.00 NEAR	6.8 min after buying · transaction	+4.61 NEAR	group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 18 of those launches pair bought within 3.5 s of sickuser1627.near · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 18.3 s of longquiche338.near · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 27.3 s of alola.near · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence and 16 more pairs · all pairs
18	sharpharbor717.near	70 s · transaction	19.00 NEAR	7.0 min after buying · transaction	+1.04 NEAR	group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 13 of those launches pair bought within 6.7 s of roughzone8076.near · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.7 s of pinkzest7538.near · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 10.2 s of realsite8942.near · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence and 12 more pairs · all pairs
19	pinkzest7538.near	70 s · transaction	19.00 NEAR	7.0 min after buying · transaction	-0.11 NEAR	group one of 13 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 14 of those launches pair bought within 7.3 s of roughzone8076.near · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 10.9 s of sickuser1627.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 25.7 s of longquiche338.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence and 12 more pairs · all pairs
20	hungcoiiii1.near	83 s · transaction	15.00 NEAR	4.3 min after buying · transaction	+2.35 NEAR	group one of 3 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 6 of those launches pair bought within 47.0 s of alola.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 17.4 s of km686.tg · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 13.0 s of sharpharbor717.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence and 9 more pairs · all pairs

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of blindkey.near

None known.