Passed the threshold at 2026-10-01 21:52:13 UTC, 18.6 min after the launch: FWkUyfJR9r2W2…wKPta.
Outside buyers' net result: -17.66 NEAR · insiders' net result: +3.00 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.
Launch
Launched
2026-10-01 21:33:37 UTC · block 218111982 · history: launch only
buy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 33.00%
Live state not a forecast · as of 14:43 UTC
No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-10 23:07 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.
Facts now
Last trade
2026-10-10 23:07 UTC
Price now
0.97x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.42x the peak
Outside buyers in profit
23 of 59 · 39.0%
Last 15 min
0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min
0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour
0
Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far
Dev account
0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev
—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side
—
Early buyers in a bundle
—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group
<0.01% · 1 of 4 hold
What these facts are
Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.
What happened after the launch
Metric
T+5 min
T+15 min
T+30 min
T+60 min
T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)
0%
0%
528.7%
581.7%
628.8%
Dev's first sell after launch
—
—
18.6 min
18.6 min
18.6 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)
20
56
56
57
59
Buyers spent
240.17 NEAR
656.54 NEAR
657.63 NEAR
658.63 NEAR
659.06 NEAR
Buyers net result
+46.01 NEAR
+84.96 NEAR
-11.46 NEAR
-17.66 NEAR
-20.70 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)
1
1
1
1
1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)
0%
0%
528.7%
581.7%
628.8%
Insiders' net result
+0.24 NEAR
+0.35 NEAR
+2.72 NEAR
+3.00 NEAR
+3.23 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer
1.49x
2.30x
2.30x
2.30x
2.30x
Holders
19
37
23
22
16
Top 10 holders' share
91.5%
83.4%
96.7%
96.1%
100.0%
Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.
Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far
Holder
T+5 min
T+15 min
T+60 min
Dev account
0.0% · holds
0.0% · holds
0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev
—
—
—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side
—
—
—
Early buyers in a bundle
—
—
—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group
2.4% · 4 of 4 hold
2.3% · 3 of 4 hold
2.3% · 3 of 4 hold
Other early buyers
16.0% · 15 of 16 hold
12.2% · 17 of 26 hold
0.7% · 11 of 26 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)
18.4% · 20 wallets
14.5% · 30 wallets
3.0% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)
81.6%
85.5%
97.0%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)
91.5%
83.4%
96.1%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder
91.6% · 1 merged
83.4% · 1 merged
96.1% · 1 merged
How to read the table
A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.
Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them
Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.