RHEASCOT nearly.trade

rheascot-3c1058.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 0 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

No risk signal fired for this launch.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 0 % (2 launches) — too few to judge (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

No rug. insiders had sold 0.0 % of what they acquired, below the 80 % threshold; the price held at 79 % of its peak (a rug needs 10 % or less).

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 275.2% of what they acquired (at T+24 h).
  • Sold by: testrunner.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-09-23 11:32:10 UTC, 119.7 min after the launch: AA2TkB5triX6H…Sff4J.
  • Outside buyers' net result: +0.02 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.00 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).
  • Price at T+24 h: 79% of its peak.

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-09-23 09:32:26 UTC · block 216891455 · history: launch only
Transactionccz29FNNcCmGY…ohn5s
Creatortestrunner.near explorer
Poolrheascot-3c1058.nearlytrade.near|token.rhealab.near|10000
Dev buy0.00 NEAR

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:48 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-11-08 11:52 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-11-08 11:52 UTC
Price now1.14x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.28x the peak
Outside buyers in profit71 of 239 · 29.7%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group—
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%0%0%0%275.2%
Dev's first sell after launch————119.7 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)4203449101
Buyers spent0.0044 NEAR0.03 NEAR0.04 NEAR0.06 NEAR0.14 NEAR
Buyers net result+0.0002 NEAR+0.01 NEAR+0.0094 NEAR+0.01 NEAR+0.02 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%0%0%0%275.2%
Insiders' net result+0.0000 NEAR+0.0001 NEAR+0.0001 NEAR+0.0001 NEAR+0.0006 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.08x1.90x1.96x1.98x2.88x
Holders622323750
Top 10 holders' share100%84.9%78.9%81.5%63.3%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0.2% · holds 0.2% · holds 0.2% · holds
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group — — —
Other early buyers 5.7% · 4 of 4 hold 28.3% · 20 of 20 hold 17.3% · 17 of 30 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)5.7% · 4 wallets28.3% · 20 wallets17.3% · 30 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)94.1%71.5%82.5%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%84.9%81.5%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 0 merged84.9% · 0 merged81.5% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 dullnook6662.near 48 s · transaction 0.0027 NEAR not sold +0.0023 NEAR
2 coldpant65.near 105 s · transaction 0.0006 NEAR 18.6 min after buying · transaction +0.0002 NEAR
3 onstransa.near 2.8 min · transaction 0.0005 NEAR 16.4 min after buying · transaction +0.0003 NEAR
4 a9ser.near 4.2 min · transaction 0.0015 NEAR 19.4 min after buying · transaction +0.0009 NEAR
5 sonofgrace001.near 5.0 min · transaction 0.0032 NEAR not sold +0.0023 NEAR
6 baxoff.near 5.6 min · transaction 0.0006 NEAR not sold +0.0002 NEAR
7 923016f6c047238…4e0cb 6.4 min · transaction 0.0029 NEAR 13.6 min after buying · transaction +0.0007 NEAR
8 km686.tg 7.1 min · transaction 0.0003 NEAR 45.2 min after buying · transaction +0.0001 NEAR
9 moving_forward.near 7.4 min · transaction 0.0079 NEAR 16.6 min after buying · transaction +0.0002 NEAR
10 nftkin.near 7.8 min · transaction 0.0009 NEAR 25.6 min after buying · transaction +0.0003 NEAR
11 renegrade.near 8.4 min · transaction 0.0007 NEAR 16.1 min after buying · transaction +0.0001 NEAR
12 1cf45f965182d62…25e28 8.6 min · transaction 0.0031 NEAR not sold +0.0013 NEAR
13 hungcoiiii1.near 9.6 min · transaction 0.0003 NEAR 40.6 min after buying · transaction +0.0000 NEAR
14 ashawo.near 10.2 min · transaction 0.0003 NEAR not sold +0.0001 NEAR
15 tightmeat7446.near 11.2 min · transaction 0.0015 NEAR not sold +0.0003 NEAR
16 cutelace2414.near 12.7 min · transaction 0.0036 NEAR 7.0 min after buying · transaction +0.0002 NEAR
17 theark.near 13.1 min · transaction 0.0001 NEAR 9.5 min after buying · transaction +0.0000 NEAR
18 rrrrfwefwef.near 13.7 min · transaction 0.0022 NEAR not sold +0.0003 NEAR
19 openuser.near 14.6 min · transaction 0.0012 NEAR not sold +0.0001 NEAR
20 buymorerhea.near 14.9 min · transaction 0.0007 NEAR not sold +0.0000 NEAR
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of testrunner.near

TimeLaunchpadTokenRiskOutcomeData
2026-10-01 21:33 UTC nearly.trade bnn.nearlytrade.near 20 Low retro rug history: launch only