BOME nearly.trade

bome-2.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 25 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

+20
Trade tax 1.00% buy / 3.00% sell; after the platform's 30.00% cut the creator gets 8.40% of it (0.084% per buy, 0.252% per sell; creator_bps 1200, platform_bps 3000).
Evidence: launch bome-2.nearlytrade.near
+5
The name 'bome' was already used 2.5 h earlier by another creator (bome.nearlytrade.near).
Evidence: launch bome.nearlytrade.near

The largest funder's (neardev2.near) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 25 % (728 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 30.05 NEAR.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
Sold by: bomenear.near (dev).
Passed the threshold at 2026-10-16 20:38:58 UTC, 4.4 min after the launch: 83KkLcKVgSqvX…5u4XR.
Outside buyers' net result: -30.05 NEAR · insiders' net result: +4.59 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-10-16 20:34:37 UTC · block 220271576 · history: launch only
Transaction	QcHGbdVXHzepS…iTKfw
Creator	bomenear.near explorer
Pool	bome-2.nearlytrade.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	35.00 NEAR
Tax options	buy 1.00% · sell 3.00% · creator's share of the tax 12.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:43 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-16 22:04 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-10-16 22:04 UTC
Price now	0.99x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.64x the peak
Outside buyers in profit	5 of 13 · 38.5%
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account	0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	0% · 0 of 10 hold

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Dev's first sell after launch	4.4 min	4.4 min	4.4 min	4.4 min	4.4 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)	8	12	13	13	13
Buyers spent	243.90 NEAR	455.90 NEAR	460.88 NEAR	460.88 NEAR	460.88 NEAR
Buyers net result	-17.38 NEAR	-29.47 NEAR	-30.05 NEAR	-30.05 NEAR	-30.10 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Insiders' net result	+4.59 NEAR	+4.59 NEAR	+4.59 NEAR	+4.59 NEAR	+4.59 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.29x	1.54x	1.54x	1.54x	1.54x
Holders	3	2	1	5	3
Top 10 holders' share	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing	0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	—	—	—
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	3.7% · 2 of 7 hold	0% · 0 of 10 hold	0% · 0 of 10 hold
Other early buyers	0.0% · 1 of 1 hold	0.2% · 2 of 2 hold	0.1% · 1 of 3 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	3.7% · 8 wallets	0.2% · 12 wallets	0.1% · 13 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	96.3%	99.8%	99.8%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	100%	100%	100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	100% · 1 merged	100% · 0 merged	100% · 0 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 13 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	wrapz-z.near independent sniper	4 s · transaction	0.60 NEAR	81 s after buying · transaction	+0.09 NEAR	pair bought within 0.5 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 454 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.5 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 442 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 34.4 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 67 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 560 of 1048 launches (not put in a group)
2	b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent sniper	4 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	6.5 min after buying · transaction	+0.38 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 528 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.5 s of wrapz-z.near · 454 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 33.8 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 73 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 739 of 1056 launches (not put in a group)
3	c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 trading bot developer	4 s · transaction	2.00 NEAR	89 s after buying · transaction	+0.25 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 528 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.5 s of wrapz-z.near · 442 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 33.8 s of d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6 · 107 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 1032 of 1422 launches (not put in a group)
4	hybrid.user.int….near	28 s · transaction	19.80 NEAR	107 s after buying · transaction	+1.56 NEAR	pair bought within 24.2 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 14 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 24.2 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 10 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 24.7 s of wrapz-z.near · 10 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
5	d45a2ac2ee72903…35fa6	38 s · transaction	30.00 NEAR	2.0 min after buying · transaction	-0.27 NEAR	pair bought within 33.8 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 107 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 33.8 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 73 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 34.4 s of wrapz-z.near · 67 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
6	567e43c697f4113…84e34	59 s · transaction	250.00 NEAR	83 s after buying · transaction	-23.47 NEAR	pair bought within 55.0 s of c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 · 26 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 55.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 23 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 55.5 s of wrapz-z.near · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence and 1 more pairs · all pairs
7	realmrhv2.tg	3.9 min · transaction	0.50 NEAR	18.2 min after buying · transaction	-0.13 NEAR	none found
8	colddress6080.near	5.0 min · transaction	40.00 NEAR	9.6 min after buying · transaction	-1.63 NEAR	group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 24 of those launches pair bought within 6.7 s of 81425ea8846c2cb…9077f · 10 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 41.3 s of bnearr.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 48.7 s of c56af31c5d7bb18…08101 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
9	81425ea8846c2cb…9077f	5.1 min · transaction	40.00 NEAR	2.9 min after buying · transaction	+9.65 NEAR	group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 14 of those launches pair bought within 6.7 s of colddress6080.near · 10 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 42.0 s of c56af31c5d7bb18…08101 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 34.6 s of bnearr.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
10	bnearr.near	5.7 min · transaction	35.00 NEAR	8.7 min after buying · transaction	-6.38 NEAR	group one of 7 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 14 of those launches pair bought within 41.3 s of colddress6080.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 34.6 s of 81425ea8846c2cb…9077f · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 7.4 s of c56af31c5d7bb18…08101 · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
11	c56af31c5d7bb18…08101	5.8 min · transaction	35.00 NEAR	8.7 min after buying · transaction	-9.26 NEAR	pair bought within 42.0 s of 81425ea8846c2cb…9077f · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 48.7 s of colddress6080.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 7.4 s of bnearr.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
12	hw22.near	10.4 min · transaction	2.00 NEAR	not sold	-0.41 NEAR	none found
13	4f860ce39bf1358…64b8c	15.5 min · transaction	4.98 NEAR	56 s after buying · transaction	-0.43 NEAR	none found

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of bomenear.near

Time	Launchpad	Token	Risk	Outcome	Data
2026-10-16 22:31 UTC	nearly.trade	bome-4.nearlytrade.near	55 Elevated retro	rug	history: launch only