BOME nearly.trade

bome-4.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Elevated 55 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

  • +30
    1 of the 1 earlier launches that were already decided at launch time ended as a rug (1 by the creator); smoothed rug share 47%.
  • +20
    Trade tax 1.00% buy / 3.00% sell; after the platform's 30.00% cut the creator gets 60.20% of it (0.602% per buy, 1.806% per sell; creator_bps 8600, platform_bps 3000).
  • +5
    The name 'bome' was already used 5 min earlier by another creator (bome-3.nearlytrade.near).

The largest funder's (neardev2.near) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 22 % (799 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 5.78 NEAR.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
  • Sold by: bomenear.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-10-16 22:49:46 UTC, 18.0 min after the launch: F78fJPsUS6cMk…GEJiZ.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -5.78 NEAR · insiders' net result: -0.79 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-10-16 22:31:48 UTC · block 220283213 · history: launch only
Transaction5hKUMu4f6Kf26…cgk6Z
Creatorbomenear.near explorer
Poolbome-4.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy36.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 1.00% · sell 3.00% · creator's share of the tax 86.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:43 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-18 12:33 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-10-18 12:33 UTC
Price now0.98x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.85x the peak
Outside buyers in profit0 of 11 · 0%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group0% · 0 of 2 hold
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%75.0%100%100%100%
Dev's first sell after launch—5.9 min5.9 min5.9 min5.9 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)36101111
Buyers spent57.00 NEAR93.53 NEAR124.66 NEAR125.44 NEAR125.44 NEAR
Buyers net result-2.82 NEAR-2.65 NEAR-6.45 NEAR-5.78 NEAR-8.38 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%75.0%100%100%100%
Insiders' net result+1.16 NEAR-0.64 NEAR-0.79 NEAR-0.79 NEAR-0.79 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.15x1.15x1.15x1.15x1.15x
Holders34386
Top 10 holders' share100%100%100%100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 3.3% · holds 0.8% · holds 0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 0.2% · 1 of 2 hold 0% · 0 of 2 hold 0% · 0 of 2 hold
Other early buyers 0.4% · 1 of 1 hold 3.3% · 3 of 4 hold 3.4% · 4 of 9 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)0.6% · 3 wallets3.3% · 6 wallets3.4% · 11 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)96.0%95.9%96.6%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 11 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 c8bde0e9209ac73…01899 bot_developer 3 s · transaction 2.00 NEAR 10.1 min after buying · transaction -0.04 NEAR
2 buyitall.near 19 s · transaction 50.00 NEAR 2.0 min after buying · transaction -2.91 NEAR
3 aranzimaxxing.u….near 2.4 min · transaction 5.00 NEAR 5.0 min after buying · transaction -0.52 NEAR
4 mackavelii.user….near 9.0 min · transaction 9.90 NEAR not sold +0.24 NEAR
5 bed97f5d7ab4e50…d7a44 12.7 min · transaction 25.43 NEAR not sold -0.13 NEAR
6 r3ndaik.tg 14.3 min · transaction 1.20 NEAR 7.0 min after buying · transaction -0.04 NEAR
7 seasam.near 15.2 min · transaction 5.00 NEAR 100 s after buying · transaction -0.10 NEAR
8 634c79eea54926a…6e448 15.2 min · transaction 0.98 NEAR not sold -0.04 NEAR
9 unisuomonotua.near 15.7 min · transaction 24.75 NEAR 10.1 min after buying · transaction -2.19 NEAR
10 ecbf57c4cb5973e…5a652 16.9 min · transaction 0.40 NEAR 10.4 min after buying · transaction -0.05 NEAR
11 i5229173676.tg 46.7 min · transaction 0.78 NEAR not sold +0.0003 NEAR
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of bomenear.near

TimeLaunchpadTokenRiskOutcomeData
2026-10-16 20:34 UTC nearly.trade bome-2.nearlytrade.near 25 Low retro rug history: launch only