COOK nearly.trade

cook-3.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 25 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

  • +20
    Trade tax 2.00% buy / 2.00% sell; after the platform's 20.00% cut the creator gets 80.00% of it (1.600% per buy, 1.600% per sell; creator_bps 10000, platform_bps 2000).
    Evidence: launch cook-3.nearlytrade.near
  • +5
    The name 'cook' was already used 117 min earlier by another creator (cook-2.nearlytrade.near).
    Evidence: launch cook-2.nearlytrade.near

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 5 % (449 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 16.29 NEAR.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 1237.6% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
  • Sold by: fastvinegar4517.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-09-28 18:31:00 UTC, 19.2 min after the launch: GW8uJCnGsMUXe…GkEqN.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -16.29 NEAR · insiders' net result: +40.85 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-09-28 18:11:46 UTC · block 217666631 · history: launch only
Transaction2GYcdMcwhwfb8…CsgGX
Creatorlaunchbot.nearlytrade.near explorer
Owner (paid the launch bot)fastvinegar4517.near
evidence: 6JUjreWh1awwyMwKcDezsAmuZzWdmJm3p3rYHXhaqRTW
Poolcook-3.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy42.51 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 2.00% · sell 2.00% · creator's share of the tax 100.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:43 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-09-28 20:06 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-09-28 20:06 UTC
Price now0.87x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.60x the peak
Outside buyers in profit6 of 18 · 33.3%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group0% · 0 of 16 hold
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)—0%1237.6%1237.6%1237.6%
Dev's first sell after launch——19.2 min19.2 min19.2 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)1818181818
Buyers spent317.75 NEAR327.90 NEAR327.90 NEAR327.90 NEAR327.90 NEAR
Buyers net result-15.29 NEAR-16.04 NEAR-16.29 NEAR-16.29 NEAR-16.34 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)—0%1237.6%1237.6%1237.6%
Insiders' net result0.00 NEAR-0.07 NEAR+40.85 NEAR+40.85 NEAR+40.85 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.46x1.46x1.46x1.46x1.46x
Holders75333
Top 10 holders' share100%100%100%100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0% · holds nothing 0.3% · holds 0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 0.4% · 4 of 16 hold 0.1% · 2 of 16 hold 0.1% · 1 of 16 hold
Other early buyers 0.1% · 1 of 2 hold 0.1% · 1 of 2 hold 0.1% · 1 of 2 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)0.5% · 18 wallets0.2% · 18 wallets0.1% · 18 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)99.5%99.5%99.8%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 2 merged100% · 2 merged100% · 1 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 18 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 59 s · transaction 39.60 NEAR 2.6 min after buying · transaction +12.50 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 77 of those launches
pair bought within 34.2 s of 5b9d43abb215de7…4c173 · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
2 5b9d43abb215de7…4c173 93 s · transaction 30.00 NEAR 3.2 min after buying · transaction -2.91 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 34 of those launches
pair bought within 32.6 s of alola.near · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 48.9 s of 6dae7aab94c318e…8ff5d · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 34.2 s of 7edb53f9c719bb6…a73a8 · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
3 4282ce57357f41f…87b2d 108 s · transaction 14.92 NEAR 2.2 min after buying · transaction -0.16 NEAR
pair bought within 15.2 s of 5b9d43abb215de7…4c173 · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 16.8 s of sessssssssss.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 33.6 s of 6dae7aab94c318e…8ff5d · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
4 ee0a4fe1198ae97…5d0be 116 s · transaction 20.00 NEAR 116 s after buying · transaction +2.83 NEAR
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 13 of those launches
pair bought within 49.9 s of aceng03.near · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 10.6 s of d71fbe7fbda8d12…8c90a · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 5.5 s of teend.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
5 teend.near 2.0 min · transaction 16.00 NEAR 2.2 min after buying · transaction -1.79 NEAR
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 10 of those launches
pair bought within 28.1 s of 5b9d43abb215de7…4c173 · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 44.5 s of aceng03.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 3.9 s of sessssssssss.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
6 sessssssssss.near 2.1 min · transaction 5.00 NEAR 98 s after buying · transaction +0.66 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 66 of those launches
pair bought within 0.6 s of alola.near · 21 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 9.7 s of kimpet77.near · 16 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 16.9 s of 6dae7aab94c318e…8ff5d · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
7 alola.near 2.1 min · transaction 1.50 NEAR not sold -0.38 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 241 of those launches
pair bought within 0.6 s of sessssssssss.near · 21 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 9.2 s of kimpet77.near · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 16.3 s of 6dae7aab94c318e…8ff5d · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
8 d71fbe7fbda8d12…8c90a 2.1 min · transaction 20.00 NEAR 107 s after buying · transaction +0.89 NEAR
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 28 of those launches
pair bought within 39.3 s of aceng03.near · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 8.5 s of kimpet77.near · 10 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 10.6 s of ee0a4fe1198ae97…5d0be · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
9 kimpet77.near 2.2 min · transaction 10.00 NEAR 101 s after buying · transaction -0.23 NEAR
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 19 of those launches
pair bought within 9.2 s of alola.near · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 9.7 s of sessssssssss.near · 16 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 30.8 s of aceng03.near · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 6 more pairs · all pairs
10 c964f0a446c4f56…8802e 2.3 min · transaction 5.00 NEAR 82 s after buying · transaction +0.62 NEAR
group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 8 of those launches
pair bought within 2.3 s of 6dae7aab94c318e…8ff5d · 16 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 46.6 s of 5b9d43abb215de7…4c173 · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 14.0 s of alola.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 5 more pairs · all pairs
11 6dae7aab94c318e…8ff5d 2.4 min · transaction 40.00 NEAR 79 s after buying · transaction +0.27 NEAR
pair bought within 16.3 s of alola.near · 17 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 2.3 s of c964f0a446c4f56…8802e · 16 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 16.9 s of sessssssssss.near · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 7 more pairs · all pairs
12 8892f9d61bc0e42…aef18 2.7 min · transaction 0.40 NEAR 5.1 min after buying · transaction -0.09 NEAR
group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 6 of those launches
pair bought within 22.5 s of 6dae7aab94c318e…8ff5d · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 39.4 s of sessssssssss.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 56.2 s of 4282ce57357f41f…87b2d · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 4 more pairs · all pairs
13 aceng03.near 2.8 min · transaction 15.00 NEAR 93 s after buying · transaction -3.08 NEAR
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 33 of those launches
pair bought within 39.3 s of d71fbe7fbda8d12…8c90a · 20 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 30.8 s of kimpet77.near · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 49.9 s of ee0a4fe1198ae97…5d0be · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 9 more pairs · all pairs
14 a56af80bbfe8aef…157d2 3.0 min · transaction 34.82 NEAR 95 s after buying · transaction -9.10 NEAR none found
15 ruggerino.near 3.2 min · transaction 2.00 NEAR 109 s after buying · transaction -0.71 NEAR
pair bought within 24.8 s of aceng03.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 48.5 s of 6dae7aab94c318e…8ff5d · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
16 a00142af8f67f1b…98b3b 3.4 min · transaction 1.00 NEAR not sold -0.40 NEAR none found
17 barrey.near 3.5 min · transaction 3.00 NEAR 103 s after buying · transaction -1.08 NEAR
pair bought within 45.1 s of aceng03.near · 9 launches together · their buy · evidence
18 7ce0a3e28d6a9e6…f6633 3.6 min · transaction 69.65 NEAR 25 s after buying · transaction -14.12 NEAR
pair bought within 51.0 s of aceng03.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of fastvinegar4517.near

None known.