CURSOR nearly.trade

cursor.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: High 80 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 3 % (353 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 19.12 NEAR.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 103.5% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
  • Sold by: autocursortrade.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-09-28 14:36:15 UTC, 2.0 min after the launch: HAisfTP1uC1bw…VDsM5.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -19.12 NEAR · insiders' net result: +5.81 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-09-28 14:34:14 UTC · block 217644697 · history: launch only
TransactionFngBQUSHkYmZp…LXbgZ
Creatorautocursortrade.near explorer
Poolcursor.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy33.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 2.00% · sell 2.00% · creator's share of the tax 100.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:43 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade2026-09-29 11:05 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0 · no trade seen in our live data
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)100%103.5%103.5%103.5%105.0%
Dev's first sell after launch2.0 min2.0 min2.0 min2.0 min2.0 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)1420202020
Buyers spent227.23 NEAR321.13 NEAR321.13 NEAR321.13 NEAR321.13 NEAR
Buyers net result-11.55 NEAR-13.09 NEAR-19.12 NEAR-19.12 NEAR-26.24 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)100%103.5%103.5%103.5%105.0%
Insiders' net result+4.46 NEAR+5.81 NEAR+5.81 NEAR+5.81 NEAR+6.28 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.25x1.25x1.25x1.25x1.25x
Holders87554
Top 10 holders' share100%100%100%100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0% · holds nothing 0% · holds nothing 0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 3.4% · 4 of 10 hold 1.6% · 1 of 10 hold 1.6% · 1 of 10 hold
Other early buyers 2.5% · 3 of 4 hold 7.5% · 6 of 10 hold 5.4% · 4 of 10 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)5.8% · 14 wallets9.2% · 20 wallets7.0% · 20 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)94.2%90.8%93.0%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 2 merged100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 20 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 x0xdead.near 28 s · transaction 5.00 NEAR 2.1 min after buying · transaction -0.02 NEAR
pair bought within 4.0 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 88 launches together · their buy · evidence
early buyer in 242 of 729 launches (not put in a group)
2 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b 32 s · transaction 1.50 NEAR 5.1 min after buying · transaction -0.0089 NEAR
pair bought within 4.0 s of x0xdead.near · 88 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 57.4 s of kimpet77.near · 16 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 30.9 s of 80289da0a50f047…d6989 · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
3 80289da0a50f047…d6989 63 s · transaction 20.00 NEAR 3.7 min after buying · transaction +0.06 NEAR
pair bought within 30.9 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 13 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 26.5 s of kimpet77.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 57.2 s of aceng03.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence
4 f4564bc79a3988e…b4a98 73 s · transaction 9.95 NEAR not sold -0.26 NEAR none found
5 nihalchand.near 84 s · transaction 20.00 NEAR not sold -0.88 NEAR
pair bought within 5.8 s of kimpet77.near · 4 launches together · their buy · evidence
6 kimpet77.near 89 s · transaction 25.00 NEAR 3.8 min after buying · transaction -2.82 NEAR
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 19 of those launches
pair bought within 57.4 s of 70b40f9d14ce134…aaa3b · 16 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 59.7 s of sessssssssss.near · 16 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 30.7 s of aceng03.near · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 3 more pairs · all pairs
7 kakashkin.near 90 s · transaction 40.80 NEAR 53 s after buying · transaction -4.25 NEAR
pair bought within 1.1 s of kimpet77.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 29.7 s of aceng03.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
8 aceng03.near 2.0 min · transaction 8.00 NEAR 2.5 min after buying · transaction -0.93 NEAR
group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 33 of those launches
pair bought within 30.7 s of kimpet77.near · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 38.3 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 29.0 s of sessssssssss.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence
and 2 more pairs · all pairs
9 sessssssssss.near 2.5 min · transaction 5.00 NEAR 5.0 min after buying · transaction +0.02 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 66 of those launches
pair bought within 9.3 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 59.7 s of kimpet77.near · 16 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 29.0 s of aceng03.near · 7 launches together · their buy · evidence
10 e8a162641a55288…58210 2.6 min · transaction 10.00 NEAR 101 s after buying · transaction +0.30 NEAR
group one of 17 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 145 of those launches
pair bought within 9.3 s of sessssssssss.near · 19 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 38.3 s of aceng03.near · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 57.0 s of ee0a4fe1198ae97…5d0be · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
11 8e9629d2c32c1ff…ec3a5 2.7 min · transaction 50.00 NEAR 87 s after buying · transaction +0.57 NEAR none found
12 629b89cdea5186a…9c580 3.1 min · transaction 1.99 NEAR 5.0 min after buying · transaction -0.24 NEAR none found
13 quazord.tg 3.3 min · transaction 20.00 NEAR 11.9 min after buying · transaction -2.60 NEAR none found
14 ee0a4fe1198ae97…5d0be 3.6 min · transaction 20.00 NEAR 47 s after buying · transaction -2.73 NEAR
pair bought within 57.0 s of e8a162641a55288…58210 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
15 cryptopoorency.near 5.3 min · transaction 8.00 NEAR 13.4 min after buying · transaction -0.30 NEAR none found
16 c4072ff00f4bca9…ec63c 7.4 min · transaction 46.00 NEAR not sold -2.59 NEAR none found
17 9746b41510679a6…cac9b 8.2 min · transaction 9.90 NEAR not sold -0.91 NEAR none found
18 d3418c8da337c0b…fe2ee 9.2 min · transaction 14.92 NEAR 100 s after buying · transaction -1.02 NEAR none found
19 d97a0bd5587c40e…62b2e 9.5 min · transaction 4.97 NEAR 95 s after buying · transaction -0.49 NEAR none found
20 wandakencana.tg 10.6 min · transaction 0.10 NEAR not sold -0.01 NEAR none found
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of autocursortrade.near

None known.