NEARGEMINI nearly.trade

neargemini.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Elevated 30 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

+20
Trade tax 1.00% buy / 1.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 33.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 100, sell_bps 100, creator_bps 3300).
Evidence: launch neargemini.nearly….near
+10
Received 110.00 NEAR 211.5 h before the launch from 0859d692c061dd77c9f103f28b9554dd4697e4d8432ddd937f607f7e49f84d60, whose earlier launch peard-3.nearlytrade.near (made by rekttin.near, linked to him) ended as a rug.
Evidence: transaction G4BpfSHbcEtHd153x…XaQHL, launch peard-3.nearlytrade.near

The largest funder's (tin5co.near) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 40 % (811 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 9.37 NEAR.

Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
Sold by: rekttin.near (dev).
Passed the threshold at 2026-10-26 23:15:10 UTC, 23.0 min after the launch: 2wud9ZA5Ky932…deQ1Q.
Outside buyers' net result: -9.37 NEAR · insiders' net result: +0.21 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched	2026-10-26 22:52:12 UTC · block 221753511 · history: launch only
Transaction	3ekZCCMQJzv2q…tz5FH
Creator	rekttin.near explorer
Pool	neargemini.nearlytrade.near\|wrap.near\|10000
Dev buy	10.00 NEAR
Tax options	buy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 33.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:46 UTC

Live state: history incomplete before 2026-10-30.

Why there is no number

This launch happened before our live data starts; the trades after its first 24 hours up to that day are missing, so no number is shown. Only the facts that do not need them are below. Why.

Facts now

Last trade	2026-10-27 04:52 UTC (in the launch's first 24 hours; nothing seen since in our live data)
Last 15 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min	0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour	0 · no trade seen in our live data

What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

Metric	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+30 min	T+60 min	T+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)	0%	0%	100%	100%	100%
Dev's first sell after launch	—	—	23.0 min	23.0 min	23.0 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)	14	15	15	15	15
Buyers spent	244.18 NEAR	244.68 NEAR	244.68 NEAR	244.68 NEAR	244.68 NEAR
Buyers net result	+3.92 NEAR	+3.44 NEAR	-9.21 NEAR	-9.37 NEAR	-9.46 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)	1	1	1	1	1
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)	0%	0%	100%	100%	100%
Insiders' net result	+2.09 NEAR	+2.05 NEAR	+0.21 NEAR	+0.21 NEAR	+0.21 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer	1.39x	1.39x	1.39x	1.39x	1.39x
Holders	11	10	5	4	3
Top 10 holders' share	100.0%	100%	100%	100%	100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Holder	T+5 min	T+15 min	T+60 min
Dev account	0.9% · holds	0.9% · holds	0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev	—	—	—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side	4.2% · 1 of 1 hold	4.2% · 1 of 1 hold	0% · 0 of 1 hold
Early buyers in a bundle	—	—	—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group	4.6% · 8 of 13 hold	4.2% · 6 of 13 hold	0.5% · 2 of 13 hold
Other early buyers	—	0.0% · 1 of 1 hold	0.0% · 1 of 1 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)	8.8% · 14 wallets	8.4% · 15 wallets	0.6% · 15 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)	90.3%	90.6%	99.4%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)	100.0%	100%	100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder	100% · 2 merged	100% · 2 merged	100% · 1 merged

How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 15 wallets that bought, and what links them

#	Wallet	After the launch	Spent	First sell	Net result at T+60	Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1	tyty.sendler-b.near trading bot wallet	3 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	61 s after buying · transaction	+0.19 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 307 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 207 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 42.1 s of alola.near · 94 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 396 of 533 launches (not put in a group)
2	b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 independent sniper	3 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	5.5 min after buying · transaction	+0.16 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of wrapz-z.near · 452 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 307 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 42.1 s of alola.near · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 734 of 1047 launches (not put in a group)
3	wrapz-z.near independent sniper	3 s · transaction	3.00 NEAR	5.5 min after buying · transaction	+0.46 NEAR	pair bought within 0.0 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 452 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.0 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 207 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 42.1 s of alola.near · 138 launches together · their buy · evidence and 4 more pairs · all pairs early buyer in 558 of 1042 launches (not put in a group)
4	976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8	4 s · transaction	22.44 NEAR	22.9 min after buying · transaction	-1.09 NEAR	group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 140 of those launches pair bought within 0.9 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 158 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.9 s of wrapz-z.near · 119 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 0.9 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 93 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
5	5d194c7b6c82ebe…2b4cc	14 s · transaction	6.00 NEAR	not sold	-0.51 NEAR	group one of 6 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 69 of those launches pair bought within 10.8 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 79 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 10.8 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 71 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 9.9 s of 976b2ad5b28f766…93fe8 · 46 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
6	0xsantos.near	23 s · transaction	49.80 NEAR	20.7 min after buying · transaction	-2.14 NEAR	dev side received 172.85 NEAR from gottalightsir.near (a member of the dev's linked group), 7624.7 min before its first buy · transaction pair bought within 20.1 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 20.1 s of wrapz-z.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 22.0 s of alola.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
7	bb69606c2ee37dd…1ad9a	24 s · transaction	14.94 NEAR	20.5 min after buying · transaction	-0.67 NEAR	pair bought within 21.5 s of alola.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
8	5807dd1bbba54c9….near	35 s · transaction	20.00 NEAR	34 s after buying · transaction	-0.12 NEAR	pair bought within 9.8 s of alola.near · 12 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 32.3 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 6 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 32.3 s of wrapz-z.near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence and 3 more pairs · all pairs
9	alola.near	45 s · transaction	1.00 NEAR	30.3 min after buying · transaction	-0.23 NEAR	pair bought within 42.1 s of b4adf54a4ccc38c…70486 · 160 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 42.1 s of wrapz-z.near · 138 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 42.1 s of tyty.sendler-b.near · 94 launches together · their buy · evidence and 8 more pairs · all pairs
10	4ae627b0c091dac…352f4	69 s · transaction	20.00 NEAR	99 s after buying · transaction	-0.59 NEAR	group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 17 of those launches pair bought within 24.3 s of alola.near · 21 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 24.4 s of h2onear.near · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 34.1 s of 5807dd1bbba54c9….near · 5 launches together · their buy · evidence
11	567e43c697f4113…84e34	82 s · transaction	50.00 NEAR	33 s after buying · transaction	+0.86 NEAR	pair bought within 37.3 s of alola.near · 11 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 11.4 s of h2onear.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
12	h2onear.near	94 s · transaction	5.00 NEAR	17.9 min after buying · transaction	-0.76 NEAR	group one of 4 wallets in which every two bought the same launches within seconds of each other; this wallet was in 13 of those launches pair bought within 48.7 s of alola.near · 15 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 24.4 s of 4ae627b0c091dac…352f4 · 8 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 11.4 s of 567e43c697f4113…84e34 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence and 2 more pairs · all pairs
13	ab2295f07e95ecb…8fa65	111 s · transaction	30.00 NEAR	44 s after buying · transaction	-2.58 NEAR	pair bought within 17.5 s of h2onear.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 20.6 s of hungcoiiii1.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
14	hungcoiiii1.near	2.2 min · transaction	20.00 NEAR	2.1 min after buying · transaction	-2.24 NEAR	pair bought within 20.6 s of ab2295f07e95ecb…8fa65 · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence pair bought within 38.1 s of h2onear.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
15	c71c9b8bbd0c99a…d81dd	13.1 min · transaction	0.50 NEAR	not sold	-0.10 NEAR	none found

What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of rekttin.near

Time	Launchpad	Token	Risk	Outcome	Data
2026-10-06 20:53 UTC	nearly.trade	qinu-2.nearlytrade.near	25 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-08 02:26 UTC	nearly.trade	qtc-2.nearlytrade.near	25 Low retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-08 23:34 UTC	nearly.trade	qday-2.nearlytrade.near	55 Elevated retro	no rug	history: launch only
2026-10-09 12:00 UTC	nearly.trade	nearpump-2.nearlytrade.near	25 Low retro	rug	history: launch only
2026-10-13 14:44 UTC	nearly.trade	peard-3.nearlytrade.near	25 Low retro	rug	history: launch only
2026-11-06 03:23 UTC	justhoot v2	ilovealex.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near	0 Low	rug	live