NEARPUMP nearly.trade

nearpump-2.nearlytrade.near

Risk card risk of a rug within 24 h

Retroactive card. This card was computed retroactively as of the launch time (rules v1) — it is not a forecast published at the time.

Risk score: Low 25 / 100 retro computed 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC · config v1-fit-1 · rules v1.0

In-sample: this launch is older than the data the v1 weights were fitted on, so its score is not an out-of-sample result.

  • +20
    Trade tax 1.00% buy / 1.00% sell; the creator's share of that tax is 33.00% (nearly tax options: buy_bps 100, sell_bps 100, creator_bps 3300).
    Evidence: launch nearpump-2.nearly….near
  • +5
    The name 'nearpump' was already used 9.5 h earlier by another creator (nearpump.nearlytrade.near).
    Evidence: launch nearpump.nearlytr….near

The largest funder's (tin5co.near) history before 2026-09-22 is not loaded yet, so the history-based signals may be incomplete.

It uses only what was knowable at the launch time. It is a rebuildable analysis, not a prediction that was made then. How it works.

Market context: Rug rate, last 14 days: 22 % (2744 launches) (as of the launch, outcomes known by then). What the score is worth.

Outcome rug within 24 h

Rug — fast (by T+60 min). Outside buyers lost 0.51 NEAR.

  • Insiders (the dev and the wallets the dev sent tokens to): 1; they sold 100% of what they acquired (at T+60 min).
  • Sold by: rekttin.near (dev).
  • Passed the threshold at 2026-10-09 12:15:44 UTC, 15.6 min after the launch: F5Afd17SeTyUy…4FW1Q.
  • Outside buyers' net result: -0.51 NEAR · insiders' net result: -0.37 NEAR (a fact, not a condition).

A rug is the insiders selling into the other buyers, not any dump. Rules on the methodology page; how the forecasts did overall: accuracy. Computed 2026-11-08T18:10 UTC with config v0-default-1.

Launch

Launched2026-10-09 12:00:10 UTC · block 219227467 · history: launch only
Transaction4eurqevZdrXm1…JHnbR
Creatorrekttin.near explorer
Poolnearpump-2.nearlytrade.near|wrap.near|10000
Dev buy10.00 NEAR
Tax optionsbuy 1.00% · sell 1.00% · creator's share of the tax 33.00%

Live state not a forecast · as of 14:46 UTC

No trading · the last trade was 2026-10-10 21:46 UTC. No number is shown when nothing has traded for 24 hours. Formula ls-2 · how it is built.

Facts now

Last trade2026-10-10 21:46 UTC
Price now0.96x the first outside buyer's entry · 0.95x the peak
Outside buyers in profit0 of 6 · 0%
Last 15 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Last 60 min0 buys (0.00 NEAR) · 0 sells (0.00 NEAR)
Buyers in the last hour0

Who still holds the supply now, as a share of the tokens minted so far

Dev account0% · 0 of 1 hold
Wallets that got tokens from the dev—
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side—
Early buyers in a bundle—
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group0% · 0 of 3 hold
What these facts are

Facts about trades as of the time above. Not a forecast, not a grade, not part of the risk score. The same rules as in the table of holdings; the holdings are facts beside the number, not in it.

What happened after the launch

MetricT+5 minT+15 minT+30 minT+60 minT+24 h
Dev sold (share of what the dev acquired)0%0%100%100%100%
Dev's first sell after launch——15.6 min15.6 min15.6 min
Buyers (other than the insiders)45556
Buyers spent12.00 NEAR13.03 NEAR13.03 NEAR13.03 NEAR13.52 NEAR
Buyers net result-0.23 NEAR-0.50 NEAR-0.51 NEAR-0.51 NEAR-0.50 NEAR
Insiders (dev + wallets the dev sent tokens to)11111
Insiders sold (share of what they acquired)0%0%100%100%100%
Insiders' net result+0.12 NEAR-0.18 NEAR-0.37 NEAR-0.37 NEAR-0.37 NEAR
Highest price vs first buyer1.02x1.02x1.02x1.02x1.02x
Holders45556
Top 10 holders' share100%100%100%100%100%

Snapshots at 5, 15, 30 and 60 minutes and at 24 hours after the launch; missing columns are not due yet.

Who holds the supply tokens held, as a share of the tokens minted so far

HolderT+5 minT+15 minT+60 min
Dev account 0.9% · holds 0.9% · holds 0% · holds nothing
Wallets that got tokens from the dev — — —
Early buyers that received NEAR from the dev side — — —
Early buyers in a bundle — — —
Early buyers in a pair or a trader group 0.6% · 2 of 3 hold 0% · 0 of 3 hold 0% · 0 of 3 hold
Other early buyers 0.1% · 1 of 1 hold 0.1% · 1 of 2 hold 0.1% · 1 of 2 hold
All early buyers (the six rows above)0.7% · 4 wallets0.1% · 5 wallets0.1% · 5 wallets
Everyone else (the pool, service accounts, later buyers)98.4%99.0%99.9%
Top 10 holders, raw (of tokens held by wallets)100%100%100%
Top 10 holders, bundles and groups as one holder100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged100% · 0 merged
How to read the table

A wallet is counted once, in the first row that applies, in the order above. The early buyers are the first 30 wallets that bought within 60 minutes; wallets that bought later are in none of the rows. "Hold" means bought minus sold so far, from the trades. These are facts about trades and recorded transfers: they do not say who controls a wallet. How the table is built.

Early buyers the first 5 wallets that bought, and what links them

#WalletAfter the launchSpentFirst sellNet result at T+60Links (recorded transfers and trades)
1 30fa5c4f5bc5e32…57e92 11 s · transaction 5.00 NEAR 7.0 min after buying · transaction -0.17 NEAR
pair bought within 14.5 s of hooting.near · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence
2 177d0dba946d26e….near 18 s · transaction 5.00 NEAR 70 s after buying · transaction -0.19 NEAR
pair bought within 7.7 s of hooting.near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
3 hooting.near 26 s · transaction 1.00 NEAR 10.3 min after buying · transaction -0.06 NEAR
pair bought within 14.5 s of 30fa5c4f5bc5e32…57e92 · 33 launches together · their buy · evidence
pair bought within 7.7 s of 177d0dba946d26e….near · 3 launches together · their buy · evidence
4 i5229173676.tg 4.2 min · transaction 1.00 NEAR 4.3 min after buying · transaction -0.05 NEAR none found
5 memexxx.near 5.9 min · transaction 1.03 NEAR not sold -0.05 NEAR none found
What the links mean

Links are recorded transfers and trades (each with its transaction); they do not say who controls the wallets, and "none found" only means our data shows none: the funding of a wallet is loaded for the days before its first buy. How links are found.

Other launches of rekttin.near

TimeLaunchpadTokenRiskOutcomeData
2026-10-06 20:53 UTC nearly.trade qinu-2.nearlytrade.near 25 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-08 02:26 UTC nearly.trade qtc-2.nearlytrade.near 25 Low retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-08 23:34 UTC nearly.trade qday-2.nearlytrade.near 55 Elevated retro no rug history: launch only
2026-10-13 14:44 UTC nearly.trade peard-3.nearlytrade.near 25 Low retro rug history: launch only
2026-10-26 22:52 UTC nearly.trade neargemini.nearlytrade.near 30 Elevated retro rug history: launch only
2026-11-06 03:23 UTC justhoot v2 ilovealex.v2-launchpad.justhoot.near 0 Low rug live